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FRM Part 2 Sample Questions with Detailed Solutions

MidhaFin 107 questions Updated October 2026

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107 exam-style questions, one from every chapter of the FRM Part 2 curriculum. Each question names the chapter it tests and comes with the correct answer, a full worked solution and the reason each of the other three options is wrong.

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3,850+questions in the chapter banks
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Choose an option to check your answer, and the solution opens straight away. To read a solution without answering, open Show answer and detailed solution under the question. The module filter lets you practice one module at a time, and the score counter keeps a tally of your answers during this visit.

The FRM Part 2 exam gives you four hours for 80 questions, so aim for about three minutes per question. When you get one wrong, read why your option is wrong as carefully as why the right one is right, because each wrong option is built on a specific mistake.

From the full question bank

These 107 questions are a sample. The MidhaFin FRM Part 2 chapter-wise question bank carries more than 3,850 questions, between 30 and 56 for every chapter, each with the same detailed solution. It comes with both the live classes and the self-paced course.

Module

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Market Risk Measurement and Management 18 questions

VaR and expected shortfall estimation, extreme value theory, backtesting and model validation, VaR mapping, correlation, regression hedging, term structure models, volatility smiles and the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book.

Question 1

MR 1 Estimating Market Risk Measures: An Introduction and Overview

A risk analyst is reviewing a counterparty's risk report. The report says that a long-only equity position currently worth USD 80 million has a one-year 95% lognormal VaR of USD 21.016 million. The report also says the position's geometric (log) returns are assumed normally distributed with an expected return of 9% per year, but the volatility figure has been blacked out.

The analyst wants to find the volatility the counterparty used. Assume z = 1.645 at 95% confidence. What annual volatility of log returns does the reported VaR imply?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. 24.0%

Here the VaR is given and the volatility is missing, so the lognormal VaR formula has to be rearranged and solved for σ<sub>R</sub>.

Start from the lognormal VaR formula:

VaR = P × (1 − exp(μ<sub>R</sub> − σ<sub>R</sub> × z))

Write the reported VaR as a fraction of the position value:

VaR / P = 21.016 / 80 = 0.26270

Substitute and get the exponential term on its own:

0.26270 = 1 − exp(0.09 − 1.645 × σ<sub>R</sub>)

exp(0.09 − 1.645 × σ<sub>R</sub>) = 1 − 0.26270 = 0.73730

Take the natural log of both sides:

0.09 − 1.645 × σ<sub>R</sub> = ln(0.73730) = −0.30476

Solve for σ<sub>R</sub>:

1.645 × σ<sub>R</sub> = 0.09 + 0.30476 = 0.39476

σ<sub>R</sub> = 0.39476 / 1.645 = 0.2400

The volatility implied by the reported VaR is 24.0%.

Check: run it forward to confirm. VaR = 80 × (1 − exp(0.09 − 1.645 × 0.24)) = 80 × (1 − exp(−0.30480)) = 80 × (1 − 0.73727) = 80 × 0.26273 = USD 21.02 million, which matches the report.

The one step to be careful with is the drift term. The exponent is μ<sub>R</sub> − σ<sub>R</sub> × z, so when you move things around to isolate σ<sub>R</sub>, the +0.09 drift crosses over and adds to the +0.30476. Both end up on the same side. A student who forgets the drift term lands on the wrong volatility.

Note

The forward and backward versions of this formula test different things. Going forward (parameters to VaR) tests whether you know the formula. Going backward (VaR to a parameter) tests whether you understand it well enough to rearrange it, which is the sharper test. The reversal is feasible by hand because the BA II Plus does the ln and the e<sup>x</sup> steps directly: take ln(0.73730) with the LN key, then isolate σ<sub>R</sub>. Get comfortable with those two keystrokes so the rearrangement does not eat time on exam day.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Uses z = 2.326, the 99% value, instead of z = 1.645 for 95%. Solving 0.39476 / 2.326 = 0.170. The arithmetic is otherwise correct; the error is pulling the wrong confidence level off the z table.
  • B. Forgets the drift term. Solves 1.645 × σ<sub>R</sub> = 0.30476 without adding back the 0.09, giving 0.30476 / 1.645 = 0.185. The drift is easy to lose when the formula is rearranged.
  • D. Uses z = 1.282, the 90% value, instead of z = 1.645 for 95%. Solving 0.39476 / 1.282 = 0.308. It is the same type of error as A in the other direction: the method is right and z is wrong.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 1: Estimating Market Risk Measures: An Introduction and Overview
Learning objective
Estimate VaR using a parametric approach for both normal and lognormal return distributions
Question 2

MR 2 Non-Parametric Approaches

A risk team wants to report a coherent risk measure for a corporate bond portfolio instead of VaR. Their approach is the average-quantile route: choose a weighting function over the probability range, split the probability range into slices, estimate the quantile at each slice, and take the weighted average. They have 250 daily P/L observations and they want 500 slices so that the weighting function is applied finely across the tail.

Their junior analyst reports that the calculation ran and produced a number, but that the estimate looks unstable when he repeats it on subsamples.

What is the binding constraint here, and what is the standard fix?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 250 observations support at most 250 distinct quantiles, so 500 slices force repeated or interpolated quantiles carrying no information. The remedy is to bootstrap from the sample.

A coherent risk measure of this kind is a weighted average of quantiles, with the weighting function chosen by the risk measurer and applied over the probability range. The average-quantile route to it is the one the team is using: select the weighting function, decide the number of probability slices, estimate the quantile at each slice, and take the weighted average with a numerical algorithm.

The machinery is sound where the risk measurer can choose the number of slices freely, but in a non-parametric setting that choice is not free. The number of slices is limited by the data set, and each quantile has to be read off an actual observation, so 250 observations give at most 250 distinct quantiles.

500 minus 250 = 250

Those 250 extra slices land back on quantiles that have already been used, or on interpolations between adjacent observations. Either way they carry no new information about the tail, and constraints of this kind limit the accuracy of the resulting risk measure. The estimate is not being computed at a finer resolution. It is being computed at the same resolution and reported with more decimal places, which is why it moves about when the junior analyst repeats it on subsamples.

The remedy is the bootstrap. Resampling with replacement from the 250 observations builds a much larger effective data set out of the same underlying returns, and a larger effective data set supports a finer set of distinct quantiles for the weighting function to act on.

Note

The bootstrap does more than enlarge the sample. It also delivers standard errors and confidence intervals for the risk measure, which the average-quantile calculation on its own does not give at any slice count.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Correctly states that the weighting function has to be normalized but incorrectly makes that the binding constraint. Normalization holds at any slice count and does nothing about a sample that cannot resolve 500 distinct quantiles.
  • C. Incorrectly requires a parametric distribution. The weighting function is chosen by the risk measurer over the probability range, and the quantiles it weights can be read off a purely non-parametric sample.
  • D. Gives the correct diagnosis but incorrectly resolves it by lengthening the window, which reaches a further year back into data whose relevance to current market conditions is what is in doubt. Resampling enlarges the effective sample without reaching further into the past.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 2: Non-Parametric Approaches
Learning objective
Apply the bootstrap historical simulation approach to estimate coherent risk measures
Question 3

MR 3 Parametric Approaches (II): Extreme Value

A commodities desk models daily percentage losses on its book using the peaks-over-threshold approach, with the scale and the tail index estimated by maximum likelihood on the excess losses. The desk reports VaR at the 99% confidence level, all loss figures are a percentage of portfolio value, and the head of the desk wants the figure before the position is increased.

ParameterSymbolValue
Total daily observationsn1,000
Loss thresholdu2.20%
Observations exceeding the thresholdN_u60
Scalebeta0.85
Tail indexxi0.20

Which of the following is closest to the desk's 99% VaR?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. 4.032%

The peaks-over-threshold VaR is the threshold plus a scaled adjustment:

VaR = u + ( beta / xi ) × { [ ( n / N_u ) × ( 1 − alpha ) ]^(−xi) − 1 }

The first thing to settle is the ratio. It is total observations over exceedances, not the exceedance fraction. Here that is 1,000 / 60 = 16.667. Getting this the wrong way up is the single most destructive error available in this formula, because the term is raised to a negative power and inverting the base sends the answer off by a factor of four.

Work through it.

( n / N_u ) × ( 1 − alpha ) = 16.667 × 0.01 = 0.16667

0.16667^(−0.20) = 1.43100

Subtract 1: 0.43100

beta / xi = 0.85 / 0.20 = 4.25

VaR = 2.20 + 4.25 × 0.43100 = 2.20 + 1.832 = 4.032%

Check: VaR must exceed the threshold. The threshold is the level exceeded by 6% of the sample, and a 99% VaR is by construction deeper than that, so anything at or below 2.20% is wrong before the arithmetic is even examined.

Calculator: 0.16667, y^x, 0.2, +|−, =, then −1, × 4.25, + 2.2.

Note

Read the formula as a decomposition rather than a recipe and it stops being something to memorize. The threshold is where the tail model starts. Everything after the plus sign is how far past that starting point the chosen confidence level pushes, and the tail index controls how fast that distance grows as the confidence level deepens.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 1.832% is the adjustment term without the threshold added back. It is the distance past the threshold, not the loss level, and it sits below the threshold itself, which makes it impossible as a 99% VaR on this book.
  • C. 4.936% applies the formula at 99.5% rather than 99%. Correct method, wrong confidence level, and the 0.9 percentage point gap between the two shows how quickly the tail deepens once the tail index is positive.
  • D. 7.589% applies the formula at 99.9%. Same error as the previous option, one step further out, and the gap between 99% and 99.9% here is worth more than three and a half percentage points of portfolio value.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 3: Parametric Approaches (II): Extreme Value
Learning objective
Describe the peaks-over-threshold (POT) approach
Question 4

MR 4 Backtesting VaR

A bank reports a 97 percent VaR. Its validation team backtests the model using a decision rule set at the 95 percent test confidence level. A newly joined analyst objects that the two confidence levels should be aligned, and that either the VaR should be recomputed at 95 percent or the decision rule should be moved to 97 percent, because otherwise the test is internally inconsistent.

Which statement correctly addresses the objection?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. The analyst is wrong, because the 95 percent refers to the decision rule for rejecting the model, while the 97 percent sets the tail probability of 3 percent at which exceptions are expected to occur.

These are two different numbers doing two different jobs, and they happen to be written in the same units.

The VaR confidence level fixes p. At 97 percent, exceptions should occur on 3 percent of days, so over T days a correct model produces 0.03T of them on average. That is the null hypothesis.

The test confidence level fixes how much departure from that null the validation team is willing to attribute to sampling variation before calling the model wrong. At 95 percent, the team wants to be 95 percent confident that the observed count differs from 0.03T for a reason other than chance.

Nothing links the two choices. A 97 percent VaR can be tested at 95 percent, and a 95 percent VaR can be tested at 97 percent. Under the supervisory framework a 99 percent VaR is tested with a rule whose Type 1 error rate sits near 11 percent, and the mismatch is deliberate rather than an oversight.

Remember

The exception probability p belongs to the model. The test confidence level belongs to the decision about the model. Keep them in separate boxes and the whole topic gets easier.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. The probability of an exception under the null comes from the VaR confidence level alone. The test confidence level then decides how far the observed count has to stray from that null before the model is rejected, which is a separate choice.
  • B. There is no ordering requirement between the two levels in either direction. They can be equal, or either one can be higher, with no effect on the internal consistency of the test.
  • C. This reverses the roles. The expected number of exceptions comes from the VaR confidence level, and the test confidence level does not enter that calculation at all.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 4: Backtesting VaR
Learning objective
Evaluate the accuracy of a VaR model based on exceptions or failure rates by using a model verification test
Question 5

MR 5 VaR Mapping

A risk manager holds a USD 200 million two-bond portfolio: a USD 100 million 5-year 6% issue and a USD 100 million 1-year 4% issue. Both issues are selling at par. The portfolio has an average maturity of 3 years and a duration of 2.733 years.

The zero-coupon spot curve and the monthly VaR of each zero at the 95% confidence level are as follows.

Term (year)Spot rateMonthly VaR of the zero (%)
14.000%0.4696
24.618%0.9868
35.192%1.4841
45.716%1.9714
56.112%2.4261

The manager applies principal mapping. Which is closest to the monthly VaR of the portfolio at the 95% confidence level?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. USD 2.97 million

Principal mapping looks only at when the principal comes back. Coupons are stripped out and ignored. The portfolio is then treated as a single zero-coupon exposure sitting at the average maturity of the redemption payments.

Average maturity here is 3 years, so the whole USD 200 million is placed on the 3-year vertex and charged the 3-year risk:

VaR = USD 200 million × 1.4841 / 100 = USD 2.97 million

One step, one lookup, and that is the entire method. Its only virtue is that simplicity.

Note

This number is the highest of the three mapping approaches for this portfolio, and the reason is structural rather than accidental. Ignoring the coupons pushes the portfolio's effective exposure out to the redemption dates, which is longer than where the money actually sits once you weight by present value. On an upward-sloping volatility curve, longer means riskier, so principal mapping overstates.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. USD 0.94 million puts everything on the 1-year vertex at 0.4696%. That is the shortest redemption date and it ignores the 5-year issue entirely.
  • B. USD 2.70 million is the duration-mapped figure. It uses the portfolio duration of 2.733 years rather than the average maturity of 3 years, and requires interpolating the risk between the 2-year and 3-year vertices.
  • D. USD 4.85 million puts the whole USD 200 million on the 5-year vertex at 2.4261%. That is the longest maturity in the portfolio, not the average maturity of the redemption payments, and it ignores the fact that half the principal comes back in one year.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 5: VaR Mapping
Learning objective
Differentiate among the three methods of mapping portfolios of fixed-income securities
Question 6

MR 6 Validating Bank Holding Companies' Value-at-Risk Models for Market Risk

A hypothetical fund follows a dynamic strategy of selling out-of-the-money put options. Over several years it reports a long run of modest gains with very few losing months, and risk measures computed from its realized return history report low risk.

A subsequent analysis showed that the risk measures do reflect the true riskiness of the strategy once one change is made to how they are computed. What is that change?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. The series of portfolio value changes is recomputed from the option positions actually held whenever those positions change, rather than being read from the realized return history.

Everything turns on where the risk lives. Selling an out-of-the-money put earns a premium on almost every day and loses heavily on the rare day the option finishes in the money. A history of realized returns from such a strategy is a long string of small gains, so any measure computed from that history reports low risk. The measure is not broken. It has been fed a series that does not contain the exposure.

Now revalue the option positions the fund is holding right now through history. The historical dates on which the underlying fell hard produce very large negative value changes for a short put, and those entries land in the tail of the series. The risk appears, because the positions carrying it are now in the calculation.

The word dynamic is doing the work. Positions change, so the series has to be rebuilt each time they do. A series built once and left alone describes a book the fund no longer holds.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Pushing further into the tail of the wrong distribution does not help. The realized return history of the fund contains almost no large losses, so no quantile of it, however extreme, will show the exposure that the sold puts create.
  • B. A longer history helps only if the fund held the same positions through it, and a dynamic strategy by definition did not. The risk is in the positions held today, and no amount of history about different positions will surface it.
  • C. Subadditivity is about how a measure behaves when portfolios are combined. It has nothing to do with whether the measure can see a position that is not in the data it was computed from.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 6: Validating Bank Holding Companies' Value-at-Risk Models for Market Risk
Learning objective
Describe some important considerations for a bank in assessing the conceptual soundness of a VaR model during the validation process
Question 7

MR 7 Beyond Exceedance-Based Backtesting of Value-at-Risk Models

A model validation team is testing whether the probability integral transforms produced by a single equity derivatives desk are uniform on the zero to one interval. The full sample runs to 500 daily observations. To illustrate the mechanics to a new analyst, the team pulls a sub-sample of eight PIT values and sorts them from smallest to largest.

Rank j12345678
Ordered PIT0.090.240.350.420.490.570.680.88

The team computes the empirical CDF at the j-th ordered observation as j divided by n. On the full 500-observation sample, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer-von Mises tests both fail to reject uniformity at the 1% level, while the Anderson-Darling test rejects.

Using the same eight ordered PIT values, what is the Cramer-von Mises statistic?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. 0.0556

Where the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test keeps only the single largest gap, this one keeps all of them. Every observation contributes a squared deviation and the statistic is the sum, plus a correction term.

W² = Σ [ z_j − (2j − 1) / (2n) ]² + 1 / (12n), summed over j from 1 to n

Two details do the damage on this calculation, and they are independent of each other. The comparison point is the midpoint (2j − 1) / (2n), not j / n, so for eight observations it runs 0.0625, 0.1875, 0.3125 and so on in steps of one eighth. And there is a correction of 1 / (12n) that gets added once at the end, not per observation.

jOrdered PIT(2j − 1) / (2n)DeviationSquared
10.090.06250.02750.000756
20.240.18750.05250.002756
30.350.31250.03750.001406
40.420.4375-0.01750.000306
50.490.5625-0.07250.005256
60.570.6875-0.11750.013806
70.680.8125-0.13250.017556
80.880.9375-0.05750.003306
Sum0.045150

Then add the correction: 1 / (12 × 8) = 0.010417. So W² = 0.045150 + 0.010417 = 0.055567, which rounds to 0.0556.

Check the sign pattern in the deviation column. The first three are positive and the last five are negative, which says the observed values start out above the uniform grid and fall below it from the fourth observation onward. In this eight-point sub-sample that is a mild inward squeeze, and the two largest squared contributions come from the middle-to-upper ranks. Eight observations cannot settle the shape of a distribution, which is why the formal verdict on this desk comes from the full 500-observation sample.

Note

The statistic is a sum and not an average, so it grows with the sample size and its cutoffs are set for the sum. Dividing through by n to make it look like a mean squared error, which is how the test is often described in words, produces a number that no critical value table will accept.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. This is the sum of squared deviations without the correction term added at the end. The correction is one over twelve times the sample size, which is 0.0104 here, so leaving it out understates the statistic by roughly a fifth on a sample this small.
  • C. This uses j divided by n as the comparison point instead of the midpoint (2j − 1) divided by 2n. Borrowing the empirical CDF from the Kolmogorov-Smirnov calculation shifts every comparison point up by half a step, which more than doubles the sum of squared deviations.
  • D. This divides the sum of squared deviations by the sample size and stops there, taking the description of the test as a mean squared deviation literally. The statistic is a sum rather than an average, and the correction term is still missing as well.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 7: Beyond Exceedance-Based Backtesting of Value-at-Risk Models
Learning objective
Describe backtesting using PITs, and compare the various goodness-of-fit tests that can be used to evaluate the distribution of PITs: the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the Anderson-Darling test, and the Cramer-von Mises test
Question 8

MR 8 Correlation Basics: Definitions, Applications, and Terminology

Besides paying fixed in a correlation swap, there is another way to benefit from an increase in correlation using index and single-stock options. What is it?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. Buy puts on an index such as the Dow and sell puts on the individual stocks.

Another way to be long correlation is to buy index puts and sell puts on the individual stocks of that index. When correlation rises, the index moves more than the diversified sum of the individual names would suggest, so the long index puts gain relative to the short single-stock puts. Since correlation tends to rise when the market falls, this position also carries an indirect short-market tilt.

The structure captures the same exposure as paying fixed in a correlation swap: it profits when co-movement across the index increases.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. This reverses the legs. To be long correlation you buy the index puts and sell the single-stock puts, not the other way around.
  • C. Index futures alone carry directional market exposure, not a correlation position. The correlation trade uses index versus single-stock puts.
  • D. Buying calls on everything is a long-market, long-volatility position, not a targeted long-correlation trade. The correlation trade is long index puts against short single-stock puts.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 8: Correlation Basics: Definitions, Applications, and Terminology
Learning objective
Describe the structure, uses, and payoffs of a correlation swap
Question 9

MR 9 Empirical Properties of Correlation: How Do Correlations Behave in the Real World?

An analyst regresses the monthly change in the average correlation of the Dow stocks on the prior month's average correlation, using 534 months of data from 1972 to 2017. The fitted line is y = -0.7903x + 0.256, with an R-squared of 0.3948, where y is the change in correlation and x is the prior month's level. What is the mean reversion rate of the correlation series?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 79.03%.

The mean reversion rate equals minus the slope of the regression:

a = -β = -(−0.7903) = 0.7903 = 79.03%

The regression form of the mean reversion equation is S_t - S_t-1 = aμ_S - aS_t-1, so the coefficient on the prior level equals -a. A slope of -0.7903 therefore gives a positive rate of 79.03%, and the rate lies between 0 and 1.

On average, 79.03% of a deviation from the long-term mean is removed within one month. A rate of 1 would pull the series back to its mean completely at every time step, and a rate of 0 would mean no mean reversion at all.

Each figure in the fitted line has its own meaning:

FigureValueWhat it measures
Slope-0.7903minus the mean reversion rate
Intercept0.256the rate multiplied by the long-term mean
R-squared0.3948share of the variation in monthly changes explained by the prior level
1 - 0.79030.2097the lag-1 autocorrelation

At 79.03%, equity correlations show very strong mean reversion. An upward spike in correlation is typically followed by a sharp decline in the next month, and a downward spike by a sharp rise.

Note

The negative sign belongs to the slope, and the rate is reported as a positive number. The sign says the series reverts, and the size says how fast.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly reads the intercept of 0.256 as the rate, where the intercept equals the rate multiplied by the long-term mean.
  • B. Incorrectly keeps the sign of the slope, where the rate equals minus the slope and is reported as the positive 79.03%.
  • C. Gives the lag-1 autocorrelation, 1 - 0.7903 = 20.97%, which is the complement of the mean reversion rate rather than the rate itself.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 9: Empirical Properties of Correlation: How Do Correlations Behave in the Real World?
Learning objective
Calculate a mean reversion rate using standard regression and calculate the corresponding autocorrelation
Question 10

MR 10 Financial Correlation Modeling: Bottom-Up Approaches

A quantitative developer is writing the interface specification for the two-name copula routine on a credit desk. For companies B and Caa the routine is fed one-year marginal default probabilities of 6.51% and 23.83%, and the desk runs it with a Gaussian copula correlation of 0.4. Inside the routine, the two marginals are first placed on the standard normal axis at -1.5133 and -0.7118 before anything is joined. The specification has to state what the copula function itself takes in and what it hands back to the calling code.

Which description of the copula function is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. It takes the two marginal probabilities, each between 0 and 1, and returns one joint probability between 0 and 1 that describes both names together.

A copula function takes n marginal probabilities, each on the interval from 0 to 1, and returns one number on that same interval. In symbols it maps [0, 1]^n into [0, 1], which is how an n-dimensional problem becomes a unit-dimensional one. That one number is the joint probability, so the copula is the device that joins several univariate distributions into a single multivariate distribution.

For the desk's two names, n = 2 and the routine runs as follows:

StageValues for B and CaaRange
Input to the copula6.51% and 23.83%each between 0 and 1
Inside the routine, after the inverse normal-1.5133 and -0.7118anywhere on the real line
Output of the copula, at a correlation of 0.43.44%between 0 and 1

The standard normal values are an intermediate step. They are where the two marginals sit while the joint normal distribution combines them with the correlation of 0.4, and the calling code never receives them.

The correlation is a parameter of the function rather than one of its outputs. It decides how the two names are joined, so changing it moves the output while the inputs stay where they are. At a correlation of 0.6 the same two marginals of 6.51% and 23.83% go in and 4.61% comes out, a rise of 4.61% - 3.44% = 1.17 percentage points in the joint probability alone.

Note

Whatever the number of names, the copula returns one number. With 125 names it still takes 125 marginal probabilities in and hands one joint probability back, which is how a single, although multidimensional, function was expected to correlate all the names in a CDO.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats the standard normal values as the inputs and a correlation as the output, when -1.5133 and -0.7118 are produced inside the routine and the correlation of 0.4 is supplied to it as a parameter.
  • B. Incorrectly has the copula return two revised marginals, when it returns one joint probability and leaves 6.51% and 23.83% as they were supplied.
  • C. Incorrectly runs the function backward from the correlation to the marginals, when the marginals are inputs estimated for each name and the correlation only decides how they are joined.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 10: Financial Correlation Modeling: Bottom-Up Approaches
Learning objective
Explain the purpose of copula functions and how they are applied in finance
Question 11

MR 11 Regression Hedging and Principal Component Analysis

A trader holds USD 100 million face amount of a corporate bond with a DV01 of 0.2124 and intends to hedge it by selling a government bond with a DV01 of 0.1910. A change-on-change regression of daily changes in the corporate yield on daily changes in the government yield over 82 observations returns an estimated constant of 0.060 with a standard error of 0.223 and an estimated slope of 0.842 with a standard error of 0.051.

Using intervals of two standard errors on each side, what do the data say about the assumption behind a DV01-sized hedge, and what face amount of the government bond should the trader sell?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. The data reject a one-for-one relationship, so the trader should sell USD 93.6 million.

A DV01-sized hedge is correct when the two yields move one for one, which is the hypothesis that the slope equals one. The regression output settles it.

CoefficientEstimateStandard errorInterval of two standard errorsBenchmarkVerdict
Constant0.0600.223negative 0.386 to 0.506zeroZero lies inside, so it cannot be rejected
Slope0.8420.0510.740 to 0.944oneOne lies outside, so it is rejected

The constant being indistinguishable from zero is the expected and desirable result. Over an extended window it would be odd for the corporate yield to drift up or down on days when the government yield does not move.

The slope is the operative test. One sits outside the interval 0.740 to 0.944, so the data reject a one-for-one relationship and the DV01-sized hedge is the wrong size. The regression hedge follows:

DV01-sized amount = 100 × 0.2124 / 0.1910 = 111.2

Regression hedge = 111.2 × 0.842 = 93.6

The trader sells USD 93.6 million rather than USD 111.2 million.

Note

The slope is not being tested against zero here. Zero lies far outside the interval too, but the benchmark that matters for a hedge is one, because one is what the DV01-sized hedge assumes.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Both halves are incorrect: one lies outside the interval 0.740 to 0.944, so the relationship is rejected, and the face amount that follows is the regression hedge rather than the DV01-sized amount.
  • C. The verdict on the slope is correct but the face amount incorrectly keeps the DV01-sized 111.2 million, which is the hedge the rejected hypothesis would justify.
  • D. The face amount is correct but the verdict incorrectly accepts a one-for-one relationship, which the interval on the slope rules out.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 11: Regression Hedging and Principal Component Analysis
Learning objective
Calculate the regression hedge adjustment factor, beta
Question 12

MR 12 Arbitrage Pricing with Term Structure Models

Kestrel Capital runs a small relative value book in short-dated Treasuries. All rates below are annualized and compounded semiannually, and all bond prices are quoted per USD 1,000 face value.

The six-month spot rate is 4.00% and the one-year spot rate is 4.30%. Six months from now the six-month interest rate will be either 5.00% or 3.00%, and the desk assigns each outcome a probability of one half.

Kestrel has established that the six-month 980-strike call on a then six-month zero-coupon bond can be replicated on date 0 by a long position of 543.25 face in one-year zeros funded by a short position of 530.00 face in six-month zeros. What price must the option carry if no riskless arbitrage is available?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 1.0147

The replicating portfolio and the option have the same payoff in every state on date 1, so they must have the same price today.

LegFacePrice per unit faceValue today
One-year zero+543.250.958348+520.6225
Six-month zero-530.000.980392-519.6078
Portfolio1.0147

The two legs net to:

520.6225 − 519.6078 = 1.0147

The value is small because the two large positions offset each other closely. The option pays 0 in one state and only 5.2217 in the other, so its replicating portfolio has a small net cost.

Arbitrage rules out any other price. If the option trades below 1.0147, a trader can buy the option and sell the replicating portfolio. The trader receives cash today and the future cash flows offset in both states.

If the option trades above 1.0147, the trader can sell the option and buy the replicating portfolio. The future cash flows again offset in both states.

The calculation is sensitive to errors because 1.0147 is the difference between two values above 500. A small error in either leg can change the option value materially.

Note

The probabilities of one half are not used when solving for the replicating positions or when pricing the portfolio. The bond prices already contain the information needed for the arbitrage price.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. 2.5596 incorrectly averages the two option payoffs using probabilities of one half and discounts at the six-month interest rate. Investors do not pay the average of a risky payoff, and this route never uses the replicating portfolio, so it does not produce the arbitrage price.
  • C. 2.6108 incorrectly averages the two payoffs without discounting. It is a date 1 expected payoff under the desk probabilities, not a price today.
  • D. 5.2217 incorrectly reports the down-state payoff on date 1 as the option's price today. It is a future payoff in one state.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 12: Arbitrage Pricing with Term Structure Models
Learning objective
Construct and apply an arbitrage argument to price a call option on a zero-coupon security using replicating portfolios
Question 13

MR 13 Expectations, Risk Premium, Convexity, and the Shape of the Term Structure

Corvina Advisors builds its rate views in annual periods for a client who holds only zero-coupon government bonds. All bonds below carry a face value of USD 1,000 and all rates are annually compounded.

The one-year rate today is 4.00%. Corvina's economists hold their forecast with complete certainty: the one-year rate will be 5.50% in one year and 4.60% in two years. There is no volatility around either figure.

Corvina is asked for two figures at once: the two-year spot rate, and the one-year rate one year forward that is embedded in the prices of the one-year and two-year zeros. Which pair is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Two-year spot rate 4.7473%, one-year forward rate 5.5000%

The two-year zero-coupon bond is discounted through 4.00% for the first year and 5.50% for the second year.

1,000 / (1.04 × 1.055) = 1,000 / 1.0972 = 911.4109

The two-year spot rate is the constant annual interest rate that produces the same price:

1.0972^(1/2) minus 1 = 4.7473%

The one-year forward rate beginning one year from today is implied by the one-year and two-year zero-coupon bond prices.

The one-year zero-coupon bond price is:

1,000 / 1.04 = 961.5385

So:

961.5385 / 911.4109 minus 1 = 5.5000%

The one-year forward rate beginning in one year is 5.5000%.

Under certainty, this forward rate equals the future one-year interest rate. A two-year zero-coupon bond and a strategy that invests for one year and then reinvests for another year have the same certain two-year payoff, so their prices must be consistent. If the two prices differed, an investor could buy the cheaper position, sell the dearer one and collect a certain profit with nothing at risk. That possibility is what forces the forward rate to the expected future one-year interest rate under certainty.

Remember

This equality requires certainty about the future one-year interest rate. Once future interest rates are uncertain, convexity and the risk premium can separate the forward rate from the expected future one-year interest rate. Convexity moves the forward rate below the expected future one-year interest rate. A positive risk premium moves it in the opposite direction and raises it.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly sets the forward rate equal to the two-year spot rate. The spot rate covers both years, while the forward rate applies only to the second year. The two rates agree only when the first-year interest rate already equals the spot rate, which is not the case when the first year is 4.00% and the two-year spot rate is 4.7473%.
  • B. 4.7500% incorrectly takes the arithmetic average of 4.00% and 5.50%. The two-year spot rate comes from compounding and equals 4.7473%.
  • C. Incorrectly reverses the two quantities. 5.50% is the one-year forward rate for the second year, not the two-year spot rate.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 13: Expectations, Risk Premium, Convexity, and the Shape of the Term Structure
Learning objective
Explain the role of interest rate expectations in determining the shape of the term structure
Question 14

MR 14 The Art of Term Structure Models: Drift

Alderwick Asset Management models the continuously compounded short-term rate with a process that has zero drift and normally distributed rates. The change in the rate over a short interval is the annual basis point volatility multiplied by a normally distributed random variable with a mean of zero and a standard deviation equal to the square root of the interval.

The time step is one month, so the interval is one twelfth of a year and its square root is 0.2886751. The current short-term rate is 3.90% and the annual basis point volatility is 144 basis points. Up and down moves on the rate tree carry a probability of one half.

Alderwick reports the standard deviation of the change in the short-term rate over one month and over one year. Which pair is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. 41.57 basis points per month and 144.00 basis points per year

Start with variance because variance, not standard deviation, scales directly with time.

The random variable in the process has variance dt. So the variance of the interest rate change over an interval dt equals annual variance multiplied by dt. Taking square roots, the standard deviation of the rate change equals annual volatility multiplied by the square root of dt.

IntervalArithmeticStandard deviation
One month1.44% x 0.28867510.4157%, or 41.57 basis points
One year1.44% x 11.4400%, or 144.00 basis points

The one-year standard deviation is simply the quoted annual volatility because the square root of one equals one. This is why quoting volatility as 144 basis points per year is useful. It is both the model parameter and the standard deviation of the one-year rate change.

Dividing by 12 instead of by the square root of 12 gives 12 basis points per month. If twelve independent monthly changes each had this standard deviation, annual standard deviation would be 12 multiplied by the square root of 12, or 41.57 basis points, far below the assumed 144 basis points.

Remember

Variances add across independent periods. Standard deviations do not.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 12.00 basis points per month and 41.57 basis points per year incorrectly scale the monthly standard deviation in direct proportion to time, dividing 144 basis points by 12 instead of by the square root of 12. The annual figure then carries that wrong monthly value forward, 12 multiplied by the square root of 12, which equals 41.57 basis points rather than the 144 basis points the model assumes.
  • C. 12.00 basis points per month and 144.00 basis points per year get the annual value right but scale the monthly figure by the time interval rather than its square root.
  • D. 41.57 basis points per month and 41.57 basis points per year correctly calculate the monthly figure but incorrectly leave the annual figure unchanged.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 14: The Art of Term Structure Models: Drift
Learning objective
Calculate the short-term rate change and standard deviation of the rate change using a model with normally distributed rates and no drift
Question 15

MR 15 The Art of Term Structure Models: Volatility and Distribution

Silverdale Trading holds a book of short-dated instruments. Its head trader holds three views: that constant volatility describes the current environment as well as any level-dependent specification, that the possibility of negative rates would have only a marginal effect on the prices of the instruments held, and that the computational simplicity of a constant volatility model has real value. On those views the trader selects a model that assigns some probability to negative rates. Which of the following is the correct assessment of that choice?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. The choice is defensible. Non-negativity is one property among several, and where negative rates barely affect the prices in question, a simpler model can be the better tool.

The question is whether a known flaw in a model disqualifies it, and the answer depends on whether that flaw touches the numbers being produced.

Each of the three views does work here. The first says the extra machinery of a level-dependent specification is not buying a better description of the current environment. The second says the region where the two model families disagree most, the low end of the rate distribution, carries almost no value for these instruments. The third says the simpler model is cheaper to build, to run and to explain, and that this has value of its own.

Taken together they say the cost of the flaw is small and the benefit of the simplicity is real. That is a defensible trade, and it is the same reasoning that governs the choice between time-dependent volatility and mean reversion: the purpose at hand decides.

The trade would go the other way for a different book. A desk holding long-dated options struck deep out of the money at low strikes would be pricing precisely the region where the normal specification puts mass below zero, and there the flaw is not marginal.

Note

A model is not selected by counting the properties it has. It is selected by asking which of its properties the current use depends on. Non-negativity is an attractive property, and whether it earns its cost depends on the instruments being valued.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. A model can be wrong about something and still be the right tool, provided the thing it is wrong about does not affect the quantities being computed. Every model in use is misspecified in some way.
  • C. The presence of options is not the dividing line. What matters is whether the value of the position depends on the part of the distribution where the specifications disagree, which is the region near and below zero.
  • D. Implementation cost is only one part of the third view, which also covers the effort of calibrating and explaining the model. The trader is entitled to weigh it.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 15: The Art of Term Structure Models: Volatility and Distribution
Learning objective
Describe the short-term rate process under the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and lognormal models
Question 16

MR 16 The Vasicek and Gauss+ Models

Thornwood Capital runs the Gauss+ model with mean reversion parameters of 0.9242, 0.4621 and 0.0231 for the short-term interest rate, the medium-term factor and the long-term factor, volatilities of 124.0 and 88.0 basis points per year for the medium-term and long-term factors, a correlation parameter of 0.285 and a long-run constant of 8.400%. The three factors stand at 3.75%, 4.60% and 5.20%. Over the coming month, taken as one twelfth of a year, the realized values of the two random variables are 0.242487 and −0.346410. Which of the following gives the three factor levels at the end of the month?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 3.8155%, 4.2971% and 5.4195%.

Each ending level equals the starting level plus that factor's monthly change.

FactorStartChangeEnd
Short-term interest rate3.75%+6.5464 basis points3.8155%
Medium-term factor4.60%−30.2934 basis points4.2971%
Long-term factor5.20%+21.9549 basis points5.4195%

The short-term interest rate change is:

−0.9242 × (0.0375 − 0.0460) / 12 = 6.5464 basis points

The short-term interest rate change carries no random term, so this mean reversion amount is the whole monthly change.

The medium-term factor change is:

−0.4621 × (0.0460 − 0.0520) / 12 + 124.0 × (0.285 × 0.242487 + 0.958528 × (−0.346410))

This equals:

2.3105 − 32.6039 = −30.2934 basis points

The long-term factor change is:

−0.0231 × (0.0520 − 0.0840) / 12 + 88.0 × 0.242487

This equals:

0.6160 + 21.3389 = 21.9549 basis points

The original ordering remains short below medium below long.

The distance from the short-term interest rate to the medium-term factor falls from 85 basis points to 48.16 basis points.

The distance from the medium-term factor to the long-term factor rises from 60 basis points to 112.25 basis points.

Remember

Each factor uses its own equation and its own set of inputs.

The short-term interest rate change uses only the medium-term factor. The medium-term factor change uses the long-term factor and both random variables, and the long-term factor change uses the long-run constant and the first random variable.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. The short-term and long-term values are correct, but 4.7088% takes the medium-term factor change as 2.3105 plus 124.0 × 0.285 × 0.242487, which omits the second random variable.
  • C. The medium-term factor is correct, but the short-term and long-term changes are incorrectly subtracted rather than added.
  • D. Incorrectly combines the omitted shock with the two sign errors.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 16: The Vasicek and Gauss+ Models
Learning objective
Calculate changes in the short-term, medium-term, and long-term interest rate factors under the Gauss+ model
Question 17

MR 17 Volatility Smiles and Volatility Surfaces

Fairholt Advisors observes that implied volatility on a commodity rises steadily from 19.00% at a strike price of USD 40.00 to 27.00% at a strike price of USD 60.00, with the commodity trading at USD 50.00. A junior analyst concludes that the out-of-the-money call option struck at USD 60.00 is expensive relative to the lognormal model and that the implied distribution has a heavier right tail than the lognormal distribution. How should this be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Both conclusions are correct, and the 27.00% at the USD 60.00 strike price is the highest implied volatility in the range.

The call option struck at USD 60.00 is priced using an implied volatility of 27.00%.

This is above the implied volatility near the middle of the strike range.

A higher implied volatility produces a higher option price.

So the market price of the USD 60.00 call is above the price generated by a single-volatility lognormal benchmark centered near the money.

The call pays only when the commodity ends above USD 60.00.

Its high market price therefore corresponds to more probability in the right tail than the lognormal benchmark assigns.

At the other end, the USD 40.00 strike has an implied volatility of 19.00%.

This lower implied volatility corresponds to a cheaper low-strike put and a lighter left tail.

So both of the analyst's conclusions are correct.

The upward-sloping pattern is the reverse of the usual equity skew.

Equity implied volatility falls as the strike price rises, which corresponds to a heavier left tail and a lighter right tail. A commodity with the opposite slope is a market paying more against a sharp rise than against a sharp fall.

Remember

The price interpretation and the distribution interpretation describe the same market information. A relatively expensive tail option indicates that the market assigns relatively more probability to the region where it pays.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly separates the price and distribution conclusions. The high price of the tail option is the evidence for the heavier tail.
  • B. A rise in implied volatility raises the call price rather than lowering it.
  • D. Incorrectly reverses both conclusions. An upward slope corresponds here to a heavier right tail and lighter left tail.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 17: Volatility Smiles and Volatility Surfaces
Learning objective
Compare the shape of the volatility smile (or skew) to the shape of the implied distribution of the underlying asset price and to the pricing of options on the underlying asset
Question 18

MR 18 Fundamental Review of the Trading Book

Kelbridge Bank is preparing its first market risk capital submission under the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book. The daily loss distribution for its rates desk is treated as normal with a mean of USD 1.8 million and a standard deviation of USD 14.5 million. The equity desk, which is submitted separately, has a mean of USD 0.6 million and a standard deviation of USD 9.2 million.

A risk officer is asked for the rates desk figure under the measure the new framework uses, and for its relationship to the measure that framework replaces. Which of the following is closest to both quantities, in USD million?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 35.70, which is 0.17 above the 99% value at risk of 35.53

The rates desk has a mean loss of 1.8 and a standard deviation of 14.5. The equity desk figures are not used.

For a normal loss distribution, the 99% value at risk equals the mean plus 2.326 standard deviations.

The 97.5% expected shortfall equals the mean plus 2.338 standard deviations.

The current framework measure is:

1.8 + 2.338 × 14.5 = 35.7010

The measure it replaces is:

1.8 + 2.326 × 14.5 = 35.5270

The difference is:

35.7010 − 35.5270 = 0.1740

Under normality, the two measures are almost equal.

The difference can also be written as:

(2.338 − 2.326) × 14.5 = 0.012 × 14.5 = 0.1740

So the mean does not affect the difference.

The figure 30.22 comes from:

1.8 + 1.96 × 14.5 = 30.22

This is the 97.5% value at risk, not the 97.5% expected shortfall.

Value at risk identifies a loss quantile. Expected shortfall averages losses beyond the quantile, so the expected shortfall multiplier is larger.

Note

The move from 99% value at risk to 97.5% expected shortfall was designed to keep the two figures close under a normal distribution while changing the risk information captured. Expected shortfall incorporates the severity of losses beyond the confidence threshold.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. The expected shortfall is correct, but it is incorrectly compared with the 97.5% value at risk. The replaced capital measure is the 99% value at risk of 35.53.
  • B. 30.22 incorrectly uses 1.96, the 97.5% normal quantile, as the expected shortfall multiplier. The correct expected shortfall multiplier is 2.338.
  • C. The expected shortfall of 35.70 is correct, but 30.22 is incorrectly treated as the reported measure. 30.22 is the 97.5% value at risk.
Module
Market Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
MR 18: Fundamental Review of the Trading Book
Learning objective
Describe the changes to the Basel framework for calculating market risk capital under the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) and the motivations for these changes

Credit Risk Measurement and Management 23 questions

Credit analysis and governance, bank capital, credit scoring and ratings, country risk, default probabilities, credit VaR and portfolio credit risk, credit derivatives, counterparty risk, netting, margin, central clearing, exposure, CVA, stress testing and securitization.

Question 19

CR 1 Fundamentals of Credit Risk

A credit committee reviews four counterparties.

CounterpartyTotal assetsTotal liabilitiesPayment record
Ashby MillsUSD 420 millionUSD 380 millionMissed a bond coupon last month
Bramwell SteelUSD 560 millionUSD 615 millionCurrent on every payment
Corrowdale FoodsUSD 300 millionUSD 350 millionMissed a supplier payment last month
Denby OpticsUSD 900 millionUSD 640 millionCurrent on every payment

None of the four has filed for protection. Which counterparty is insolvent without being in default?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Bramwell Steel

Insolvency and default must be tested separately.

Insolvency compares liabilities with assets.

Default asks whether a contractual obligation has been met.

CounterpartyAssets minus liabilitiesInsolvent?In default?
Ashby Mills420 - 380 = 40NoYes
Bramwell Steel560 - 615 = -55YesNo
Corrowdale Foods300 - 350 = -50YesYes
Denby Optics900 - 640 = 260NoNo

Bramwell Steel is insolvent but not in default.

Its liabilities exceed assets by USD 55 million, but it continues meeting its obligations.

Ashby Mills is solvent but in default because it missed a coupon.

Corrowdale Foods is both insolvent and in default.

Denby Optics is neither.

An obligor that is insolvent while still paying remains a going concern, and creditors often keep dealing with one.

What the insolvency tells them is how little would be left if the payments stopped.

Note

Insolvency and default can exist independently because one is a financial condition and the other is a contractual event.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly reverses the two tests for Ashby Mills. It is solvent but in default.
  • C. Corrowdale Foods is insolvent, but it is also in default because it missed a supplier payment.
  • D. Denby Optics is neither insolvent nor in default.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 1: Fundamentals of Credit Risk
Learning objective
Explain the differences between insolvency, default, and bankruptcy
Question 20

CR 2 Governance

Stanwyck Bank sets a USD 120 million limit on a counterparty. An originator concludes a transaction generating EUR 96 million of exposure when the euro trades at USD 1.1500, and books it against the limit. Eight months later the euro trades at USD 1.2800 and the exposure is reported over the limit. The head of compliance proposes treating the originator as having breached the guidelines, which at this bank leads to termination of employment. How should that proposal be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Incorrect. Guidelines carry carve-outs for exchange rate movement, and this limit should be expressed in EUR rather than in USD.

The transaction was within the limit at inception.

Initial reported exposure:

96,000,000 × 1.1500 = 110,400,000

Eight months later:

96,000,000 × 1.2800 = 122,880,000

The excess above the USD 120 million limit is:

122,880,000 − 120,000,000 = 2,880,000

DateExposureRateReported in USDAgainst the limit
At inceptionEUR 96 million1.1500110.40 millionInside by 9.60 million
Eight months laterEUR 96 million1.2800122.88 millionOutside by 2.88 million

The exposure exceeded the limit because the euro appreciated.

The originator did not choose to increase the underlying EUR 96 million exposure.

Guidelines can account for market variables such as foreign exchange movements.

A local-currency limit can separate the credit decision from currency management, which is often handled by the treasury function.

A deliberate breach remains serious because it means an employee chose to take more risk than authorized.

In most financial firms a deliberate breach leads to immediate termination of employment. No employee may take more risk than the board of directors has accepted.

That is different from a limit being crossed because a market variable moved after the transaction was approved.

So the right response here is a correction to the guidelines rather than a disciplinary case.

Note

Governance should distinguish between a breach caused by a new risk decision and a breach caused by market movement.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly calculates USD 122.88 million but incorrectly treats the foreign exchange movement as additional risk deliberately taken by the originator.
  • B. Incorrectly invents a tolerance band around the exposure limit. A limit carries no allowance for a small excess, and the relief that applies here is a carve-out for the cause of the excess rather than for its size.
  • D. Incorrectly assigns currency hedging responsibility to the originator rather than the treasury function.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 2: Governance
Learning objective
Discuss the following key principles underlying best practice for the governance system of credit risk: Guidelines, Skills, Limits, and Oversight
Question 21

CR 3 Credit Risk Management

Windlesham Bank has a committed line of USD 80 million to a client, drawn to USD 34 million today. The bank's own history is that clients of this rating draw a further 60% of the undrawn balance in the year before they default. The probability of default is 3.10% and the loss given default is 45%. What exposure at default should the bank use, and what expected loss does it produce?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. USD 61.6 million, giving an expected loss of USD 859,320.

Exposure at default estimates how much of the credit line will be outstanding when default occurs.

Borrowers approaching default may draw additional amounts from available facilities.

The undrawn balance is:

80.0 − 34.0 = 46.0

Expected additional drawdown is:

0.60 × 46.0 = 27.6

Exposure at default is:

34.0 + 27.6 = 61.6

Expected loss is:

0.0310 × 61,600,000 × 0.45 = 859,320

BasisUSD millionRole in the calculation
Drawn balance34.0Ignores the drawdown before default
Undrawn balance46.0The part not yet used, not the exposure
Exposure at default61.6The estimate the calculation uses
Committed line80.0Assumes the line is drawn in full

The full commitment is the ceiling rather than the expected exposure.

The bank's history indicates that defaulting borrowers draw 60% of the unused balance before default.

Note

Exposure at default must be estimated because revolving facilities can grow as borrower credit quality deteriorates.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly uses only today's USD 34 million drawn balance.
  • B. Incorrectly uses the undrawn balance rather than the amount expected to be outstanding at default.
  • D. Incorrectly assumes the entire committed line will be drawn.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 3: Credit Risk Management
Learning objective
Identify and explain the components of expected loss and differentiate between expected loss and unexpected loss
Question 22

CR 4 Capital Structure in Banks

Havercroft Bank measures an expected loss of USD 41.6 million and an unexpected loss of USD 88.0 million on its credit portfolio over a one-year horizon. The bank targets a confidence level of 99.97%, at which its capital multiplier is 7.25. The treasurer proposes that the bank carry economic capital of USD 129.6 million, the sum of the two loss measures, and argues that both figures represent money the bank can lose. How should that proposal be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. Incorrect. Expected loss is absorbed by reserves and by loan pricing, so economic capital stands behind unexpected loss alone at USD 638.0 million.

Economic capital covers unexpected loss. Expected loss is handled separately through reserves and loan pricing.

A bank expects some credit losses over a stated period. Those losses are part of the normal cost of lending rather than a surprise. Loan loss reserves absorb them, and the bank recovers the expected cost through the interest rate charged on its loans.

Unexpected loss is the volatility of actual losses around that expected amount. Because the bank cannot know in advance how far actual losses will run above the expected amount, it cannot recover that volatility directly through the loan interest rate. Economic capital provides the cushion against this uncertainty.

The capital multiplier converts unexpected loss into the amount of capital required at the bank's chosen confidence level. In USD million:

88.0 × 7.25 = 638.00

AmountUSD millionWhat it is
Expected loss41.6Absorbed by loan loss reserves and the loan rate
Unexpected loss88.0The volatility economic capital stands behind
Economic capital638.0That volatility at 7.25 times the amount

The proposed amount is below the required capital. Adding expected loss and unexpected loss gives 129.6, but that sum is not the economic capital requirement because unexpected loss still has to be scaled to the chosen confidence level.

Note

Expected loss has already been priced and reserved for. Economic capital covers losses beyond that expected amount.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Incorrectly adds expected loss to unexpected loss and then omits the capital multiplier that converts unexpected loss into economic capital.
  • C. Correctly applies the capital multiplier but incorrectly applies it to expected loss as well as unexpected loss.
  • D. Incorrectly treats unexpected loss itself as the capital requirement without applying the multiplier.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 4: Capital Structure in Banks
Learning objective
Evaluate a bank's economic capital relative to its level of credit risk
Question 23

CR 5 Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling and Assessment

Dunsmere Bank models the expected loss on a segment of its credit card portfolio. Each account in the segment carries an approved credit limit of EUR 12,000. From its own history the bank estimates that the balance outstanding at the moment of default averages EUR 7,400 per account, that 3.6% of the accounts in the segment default within a year, and that it recovers 38% of the amount outstanding once an account has defaulted. A credit analyst is asked for the expected loss per account over a one-year horizon. Which figure is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. EUR 165.17, because the exposure is the balance outstanding at default and the loss rate is the part not recovered.

Expected loss equals the product of probability of default, exposure at default and loss given default. Probability of default means the likelihood that the borrower defaults during the relevant horizon. Exposure at default means the amount outstanding when default occurs. Loss given default means the proportion of that exposure that is lost after recoveries.

EL = PD × EAD × LGD

For a credit card, exposure at default is not automatically the approved credit limit because the outstanding balance changes through time. For a term loan or a bond the amount due at default is fixed by the contract and can be specified directly, while a revolving card account carries no such fixed amount. Exposure at default for the segment is estimated from the bank's own default history for that reason. The EUR 12,000 limit is the maximum amount available to the borrower. The estimated balance outstanding at default is EUR 7,400, so EUR 7,400 is the exposure at default.

Loss given default is the complement of the recovery rate.

LGD = 100% − 38% = 62%

So:

0.036 × 7,400 × 0.62 = 165.17

InputValueWhere it comes from
PD3.6%Accounts in the segment defaulting within one year
EADEUR 7,400Balance outstanding at the moment of default
Recovery rate38%Recovered after default, as a share of the amount outstanding
LGD62%100% minus the recovery rate
Expected lossEUR 165.17PD x EAD x LGD

Using the approved limit would produce EUR 267.84. Treating the entire exposure as lost would produce EUR 266.40. These are different mistakes even though the resulting amounts are close.

Remember

The credit limit is not the exposure at default. The relevant exposure is the balance expected to be outstanding when default occurs.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly uses the approved limit as exposure at default instead of the balance outstanding when default occurs.
  • B. Correctly uses the outstanding balance as exposure at default but incorrectly assumes a 100% loss, ignoring the 38% recovery.
  • D. Correctly uses the outstanding balance as exposure at default but incorrectly applies the recovery rate where the loss rate belongs.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 5: Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling and Assessment
Learning objective
Describe quantitative measurements and factors of credit risk, including probability of default, loss given default, exposure at default, expected loss, and time horizon
Question 24

CR 6 Credit Scoring and Rating

Dunhollow Bank has run an internal rating model alongside the published ratings of one external vendor for three years. Across its 2,400 rated corporate exposures the internal model has separated defaulters from non-defaulters better in each of the three years. The treasurer proposes retiring the internal model and relying on the external vendor alone, on the ground that the external ratings cost the bank nothing to produce and are accepted by counterparties. How should the proposal be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Incorrect. External ratings indicate systematic risk well and support benchmarking, and relying on a single system across the 2,400 exposures may not be the best option.

Using only one credit scoring or rating system can leave important information unused. Combining systems developed from different data and different objectives can provide a broader view of credit risk.

Dunhollow's three-year record supports the internal model's stronger default prediction on its own portfolio. Research has also found that external agency ratings can be weaker default predictors than internal or financial models.

External ratings can still add information. They can provide useful indications of systematic risk, meaning risk arising from broad market shocks, and they offer an independent benchmark against which the bank can review its internal model.

Internal modelExternal ratings
Developed byCredit institutions with access to their own historical dataRating agencies, credit bureaus and consultancy companies
Calibrated toThe bank's own credit portfolioA broad population of rated entities
StrengthDefault prediction on the bank's own bookSystematic risk, benchmarking and review of internal models

The two systems use different information and can serve different purposes. A weaker default-prediction record does not remove the external system's value in other areas.

Note

Different models can complement one another because they are built on different information and may be useful for different risk questions.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly settles the decision on cost and acceptance and discards the internal model that separated defaulters from non-defaulters better in each of the three years.
  • C. Correctly notes that external ratings can be weaker default predictors but incorrectly concludes that the external source should be discarded.
  • D. Incorrectly identifies external ratings as the stronger default-prediction model.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 6: Credit Scoring and Rating
Learning objective
Compare the credit scoring system to the credit rating system in assessing credit quality and describe the different types of each system
Question 25

CR 7 Credit Scoring and Retail Credit Risk Management

Verecroft Bank has segmented its personal loan portfolio into four score bands and holds the historical annual loss rate and an estimate of loss given default for each one. The 760 and above band shows a loss rate of 0.24% against a loss given default of 32%. The 700 to 759 band shows 0.51% against 38%. The 640 to 699 band shows 1.26% against 44%. The 580 to 639 band shows 2.94% against 56%. The bank needs the probability of default implied for the 640 to 699 band and the amount by which it exceeds the probability implied for the 700 to 759 band. Which pair is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. 2.86% and 1.34%, a difference of 1.52 percentage points.

Loss rate equals probability of default multiplied by loss given default, so probability of default is recovered by dividing the loss rate by loss given default.

1.26% / 44% = 2.86%

0.51% / 38% = 1.34%

2.86 − 1.34 = 1.52

The implied probability of default for the weaker band is 1.52 percentage points higher.

Score bandLoss rateLoss given defaultImplied probability of default
760 and above0.24%32%0.75%
700 to 7590.51%38%1.34%
640 to 6991.26%44%2.86%
580 to 6392.94%56%5.25%

Retail portfolios are segmented into groups with similar loss characteristics. Score bands provide one way to create those segments.

The Basel Capital Accord requires this segmentation of retail portfolios, with each band corresponding to a risk level. The bank estimates the loss rate for a band from its own historical data and then infers the probability of default from an estimate of loss given default.

Probability of default and loss given default both increase as credit quality deteriorates in this example. They rise for separate reasons. Weaker borrowers default more often, and the same borrowers tend to be less well secured, so recoveries on them are lower. Reading the observed loss rate itself as probability of default would combine the two effects.

A bank that does so understates the default frequency in every band.

Because loss given default cannot exceed 100%, dividing by loss given default cannot produce an implied probability below the observed loss rate. Multiplying the two instead gives 0.55%, which is not a quantity the bank holds.

Note

Loss rate equals probability of default multiplied by loss given default. If two of the three are known, the third can be inferred.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly multiplies the loss rate by loss given default, applying the severity factor twice.
  • B. Incorrectly treats loss rate as probability of default and ignores loss given default.
  • D. Correctly divides loss rate by loss given default but uses the wrong score bands. Both the loss rate and the loss given default are read one band lower than the question specifies.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 7: Credit Scoring and Retail Credit Risk Management
Learning objective
Discuss the key variables in a mortgage credit assessment and describe the use of cutoff scores, default rates, and loss rates in a credit scoring model
Question 26

CR 8 Country Risk: Determinants, Measures, and Implications

Aldbourne Capital screens four sovereign exposures and records one concern against each. For Aranthia, a single copper complex accounts for 44% of export earnings. For Belvaria, a commercial dispute takes an average of 39 months to reach judgment. For Corandia, the median company in the local index has been listed for 6 years and reported earnings fell 51% in the last downturn. For Dumaria, the head of state has governed for 22 years without an election. The investment committee wants each concern filed under the source of country risk it belongs to. Which filing is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Aranthia under economic structure, because 44% of export earnings resting on one complex ties the economy to one price.

Country risk can be grouped into four sources, and each concern here belongs to a different category.

The first is the country's position in the economic growth life cycle. Early growth economies and younger companies generally have smaller reserves to absorb shocks, so they can grow faster in recoveries and decline more sharply in downturns. Corandia fits this description, with a median listing history of 6 years and a 51% decline in earnings.

The second source is political risk. It includes the form of government and the stability of leadership succession. Dumaria's 22 years without an election falls into this category.

The third source is legal risk. One part concerns whether property rights are protected. The other concerns how efficiently legal claims are enforced. A dispute that takes 39 months to reach judgment reflects weakness in legal-system efficiency, which is Belvaria's problem.

The fourth source is economic structure. Heavy dependence on one commodity, product or service exposes the broader economy to shocks affecting that activity. Aranthia earns 44% of export revenue from one copper complex.

CountryConcern recordedSource it belongs to
Aranthia44% of export earnings from one copper complexEconomic structure
Belvaria39 months to judgmentLegal risk, the efficiency part
Corandia6-year median listing, 51% earnings declinePosition in the growth life cycle
Dumaria22 years without an electionPolitical risk

A decline in demand for the product on which a concentrated economy depends affects more than the producer. Suppliers, retailers and banks can all depend on the same income stream. The exposure is therefore country-wide rather than industry-specific, which is why concentration is classified as a source of country risk.

Note

Weak enforcement and weak property rights can create similar outcomes for investors. A legal right that cannot be enforced within a usable period has limited economic value.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly classifies the time required to reach judgment as economic structure rather than legal-system efficiency.
  • B. Incorrectly classifies an early growth economy as a legal-risk problem.
  • C. Incorrectly places unelected leadership under legal risk rather than political risk.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 8: Country Risk: Determinants, Measures, and Implications
Learning objective
Identify and explain the different sources of country risk
Question 27

CR 9 Estimating Default Probabilities

The five-year investment-grade credit index for North America contains 125 companies and is quoted by a market maker at bid 156 basis points and ask 158 basis points. An investor buys protection of USD 600,000 on each company in the index. One of the 125 companies defaults during the second year. What is the investor's annual payment before the default, and by how much is it reduced afterward?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. USD 1,185,000 before the default, reduced by USD 9,480.

A buyer pays the ask. Protection on all 125 companies at 158 basis points on USD 600,000 each costs:

0.0158 × USD 600,000 × 125 = USD 1,185,000 per year

When a company defaults, the investor receives the usual credit default swap payoff on that name and the annual payment falls by the share of the total that the defaulted name carried:

USD 1,185,000 / 125 = USD 9,480

ItemArithmeticAmount
Annual cost of protection on the index0.0158 x 600,000 x 125USD 1,185,000
Reduction after one default1,185,000 / 125USD 9,480
Annual cost thereafter0.0158 x 600,000 x 124USD 1,175,520

Selling protection on the same amounts would run at the bid, 156 basis points, for USD 1,170,000 a year. The two-basis-point spread between the quotes is the market maker's, and the side of it that applies depends entirely on which way the investor is going.

The structure is worth holding onto because it explains what an index position actually is. It is not one contract on a portfolio. It is 125 separate exposures of USD 600,000 each, settled one at a time, and after a default the investor continues to pay the coupon on the principal applicable to those companies in the index that have not yet defaulted.

Note

The index is updated twice a year, in March and September. Companies that are no longer investment grade are dropped from the portfolio and new investment-grade companies are added, so an index position held across a roll date is not a position in the same 125 names it started with.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Applies the bid of 156 basis points, which is the rate at which the market maker buys protection. An investor buying protection pays the ask.
  • C. Prices the protection correctly and then divides the reduction by 1,250 rather than by the 125 names the index contains.
  • D. Uses the bid rather than the ask and then divides the reduction by 1,250 rather than by 125, so both figures are wrong.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 9: Estimating Default Probabilities
Learning objective
Define a credit default swap (CDS) and explain its mechanics including the obligations of both the default protection buyer and the default protection seller
Question 28

CR 10 Credit Value at Risk

Pentrose Bank holds two corporate loans, each with an exposure at default of USD 60 million, a loss given default of 45%, a one-year probability of default of 1.30% and a correlation parameter of 0.20. One matures in 11 months and the other in 7 years. The bank sets regulatory capital for the banking book by applying the worst case default rate at a one-year horizon and a 99.9% confidence level to each loan. A credit officer argues that the two loans must attract identical capital, since every one of the four inputs is identical. What is missing from that argument?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. The expression can be multiplied by a maturity adjustment factor, which allows for a loan lasting longer than one year deteriorating without defaulting, so the longer loan attracts more capital.

The maturity adjustment factor distinguishes the seven-year loan from the eleven-month loan even when the other stated inputs are the same.

The risk horizon remains one year. For a loan with eleven months remaining, the one-year horizon covers the loan's remaining life. By the end of the year, the loan has either repaid or defaulted.

A seven-year loan remains outstanding after the one-year horizon. Its credit quality can deteriorate during the year without default, leaving the bank with a lower-value credit exposure that continues for several more years.

A default-only one-year calculation does not directly capture this deterioration. The maturity adjustment factor accounts for the additional risk associated with longer remaining maturity.

LoanWhat the one-year calculation capturesWhat it misses
Eleven months to maturityAll of the remaining life of the loanNothing of substance
Seven years to maturityOne year of default riskSix further years, and the deterioration in credit quality carried into them

The other stated risk inputs can be identical while capital still differs because the maturity adjustment sits outside those inputs.

Remember

The maturity adjustment accounts for the additional credit deterioration risk of a loan that remains outstanding beyond the one-year risk horizon.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly replaces the one-year default probability with a seven-year default probability. The horizon remains one year and maturity is handled through a separate adjustment.
  • C. Incorrectly changes the confidence level according to maturity. The supervisory confidence level remains fixed.
  • D. Incorrectly concludes that the two loans must have identical capital because the listed inputs match. Remaining maturity creates an additional adjustment.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 10: Credit Value at Risk
Learning objective
Describe the application of the Vasicek's model to estimate capital requirements under the Basel II internal-ratings-based (IRB) approach
Question 29

CR 11 Portfolio Credit Risk

Yarnbury Bank models two firms in a single-factor framework. Each carries a one-year probability of default of 2.0%, and the bivariate normal distribution behind the model gives a joint default probability for the pair of 0.16%. What is the default correlation between the two firms?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. 6.12%

The default correlation between any pair of firms in this model is the joint default probability less the squared default probability, divided by the default probability multiplied by one minus the default probability:

ρ = (π_12 − π^2) / (π (1 − π))

The squared default probability is the joint probability the pair would produce under independence:

0.0200^2 = 0.0004, or 0.04%

So the numerator is:

0.0016 − 0.0004 = 0.0012

The denominator is the variance of the default indicator, which is the product of the two standard deviations once both default probabilities are the same:

0.0200 × 0.9800 = 0.0196

0.0012 / 0.0196 = 0.0612, or 6.12%

QuantityValue
Joint default probability0.16%
Joint default probability under independence0.04%
Numerator0.0012
Denominator0.0196
Default correlation6.12%

This is the general default correlation expression with the two default probabilities set equal to one another. The joint default probability arriving from the bivariate normal rather than from an estimate is what makes it a single-factor calculation: the model supplies the joint probability from the asset return correlation, and the default correlation is read back out of it.

The two quantities the calculation moves between are easy to run together. A joint default probability of 0.16% against an independent 0.04% looks like a fourfold effect, and the default correlation that produces it is 6.12%. A default correlation of a few percent and a joint default probability several times the independent value are the same statement about the same pair.

Note

Dividing by the default probability rather than by the variance of the default indicator gives 6.00% here. The two figures sit close together because the slip understates the correlation by a factor of one minus the default probability, which is 0.98 on a credit this strong. On a borrower carrying a 20% default probability the same slip would understate the correlation by a fifth.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly divides by the standard deviation of the default indicator rather than by its variance. With both default probabilities equal, the two standard deviations multiply to the variance.
  • B. Incorrectly divides by the default probability rather than by the default probability multiplied by one minus the default probability.
  • D. Incorrectly omits the squared default probability from the numerator, leaving the joint default probability where the excess over independence belongs.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 11: Portfolio Credit Risk
Learning objective
Estimate the probability of a joint default of any pair of credits and the default correlation between any pair of credits using the single-factor model
Question 30

CR 12 Credit Risk

Garrowby Bank stores all 20,000 sampled paths and every valuation from its Monte Carlo runs so that the effect of a new transaction on its adjustments can be assessed quickly. Its current credit valuation adjustment for one counterparty is USD 6.2 million and its debt valuation adjustment is USD 1.9 million. A trading desk proposes a new transaction with that counterparty whose value across the stored paths has a correlation of -0.55 with the value of the transactions already on the books, because it partially unwinds two of them. The desk claims that the new transaction requires a full rerun of the simulation and that it will increase both adjustments. How should the claim be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Both parts are incorrect: only the new transaction has to be valued on each stored path, and a negatively correlated transaction is likely to reduce both adjustments.

The existing simulated market paths do not need to be rerun when a new trade is added, and a negatively correlated trade is likely to reduce both adjustments.

The market variables have already been simulated and stored. The incremental effect of the new transaction can be measured by valuing that trade on each existing path and adding its value to the previously stored portfolio values.

Exposure equals max(V, 0), where V is the net value of the transactions to the bank. A trade whose value is negatively correlated with the existing book tends to reduce V on the paths where the existing book has its largest positive values. This lowers exposure.

A partial unwind is an example. It reduces the magnitude of the netted portfolio value in both directions, so it tends to reduce the bank's positive exposure and the counterparty's positive exposure.

New transactionEffect on CVAEffect on DVA
Positively correlated with the existing bookLikely to increaseLikely to increase
Negatively correlated with the existing bookLikely to decreaseLikely to decrease

Credit valuation adjustment and debt valuation adjustment both depend on the distribution of the same netted portfolio value, viewed from opposite sides.

Note

The incremental valuation adjustment on a new trade can be negative when the trade reduces existing exposure.

Pricing the incremental adjustment rather than a standalone adjustment allows the bank to quote a better price on a trade that reduces its existing exposure.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly requires the simulation to be rerun and incorrectly states that a partial unwind raises exposure.
  • B. Correctly rejects the rerun but incorrectly states that a negatively correlated transaction increases exposure.
  • C. Incorrectly requires a rerun and incorrectly gives opposite directions for the two adjustments even though both depend on the same netted portfolio value.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 12: Credit Risk
Learning objective
Assess the credit risks of derivatives
Question 31

CR 13 Credit Derivatives

Thorncliffe Advisors is valuing a newly issued five-year credit default swap on Ashgrove Mining. The hazard rate for Ashgrove is constant at 2.92 percent per year over the whole five years, the recovery rate is 30 percent, and the risk-free rate is 5.5 percent per year with continuous compounding. Payments are made once a year at the end of each year, and defaults are assumed to occur halfway through a year. Thorncliffe first computes the present value of the expected regular payments, assuming a notional principal of USD 1 and a spread of s per year. What is that present value?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 3.9115s

A regular credit default swap premium is paid only if the reference entity survives to the payment date.

Each premium must therefore be multiplied by the survival probability and then discounted.

For year 3, the expected payment is:

0.9161s

Discounting three years at 5.5 percent gives:

0.9161s × 0.8479 = 0.7768s

Time (years)Probability of survivalExpected paymentDiscount factorPV of expected payment
10.97120.9712s0.94650.9192s
20.94330.9433s0.89580.8450s
30.91610.9161s0.84790.7768s
40.88980.8898s0.80250.7141s
50.86420.8642s0.75960.6564s
Total3.9115s

So the present value of the five regular expected premium payments is:

3.9115s

Without survival weighting, the discounted five-year premium stream would be 4.2523s.

The difference reflects the possibility that Ashgrove defaults and future premium payments stop.

Note

The regular premium stream is not the whole payment leg. The buyer also owes an accrued premium when default occurs between scheduled payment dates.

Solving for the spread on the regular stream alone overstates it. A smaller payment stream is then asked to cover the same expected payoff.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Incorrectly includes the accrual payment when the question asks for the regular payment stream.
  • C. Incorrectly discounts the premiums without survival weighting.
  • D. Incorrectly gives only the accrual component.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 13: Credit Derivatives
Learning objective
Explain how to account for credit risk exposure in valuing a CDS
Question 32

CR 14 Derivatives

Quarrendon Bank buys protection on a second bank through a 5-year single-name credit default swap with a notional of USD 200 million, and the protection seller is a third bank in the same national market. Quarrendon also holds an interest rate swap of USD 200 million notional with the same seller. Its head of credit states that the seller's credit quality matters more on the credit default swap than on the interest rate swap. How should that be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Correct. The USD 200 million payout falls due on a credit event at a bank in the seller's own market, so the exposure is largest when the seller is weakest.

The value of a credit default swap changes with the credit spread of the reference entity, while the large contractual payment occurs only after a specified credit event. The value therefore responds continuously to a market variable, but the protection payment is triggered by a credit event.

This makes the protection seller's credit quality particularly important. On an interest rate swap, movements in interest rates determine exposure but do not normally affect the counterparty's own credit condition. On a credit default swap, the reference entity and the protection seller can be exposed to the same credit environment.

Contract, both USD 200 millionWhat drives the valueWhen the largest claim arisesState of the seller then
Interest rate swapThe level of interest ratesWhen rates have moved a long wayUnrelated to the rate move
Credit default swap on a bankThe credit spread of the reference bankOn a credit event at the reference bankA bank in the same market, under the same pressure

The second row describes wrong-way risk, meaning the exposure becomes greatest when the counterparty is least able to perform. Buying protection on one bank from another bank makes this relation particularly strong because both institutions can come under pressure from the same market conditions.

Senior tranches of structured finance collateralized debt obligations created an even stronger version of this problem. The resulting demand was for protection sellers viewed as remote from default.

Remember

Wrong-way risk does not arise from the instrument alone. It depends on the combination of the instrument and the selected counterparty. The same credit default swap bought from a seller in an unrelated market can carry much less wrong-way risk.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats the interest rate swap and credit default swap as equivalent because both can be valued at replacement cost. The credit default swap can link a large protection payment to conditions that also weaken a seller operating in the same credit market.
  • C. Reaches the correct conclusion using a margin assumption that does not hold. A protection seller does not post the full notional as initial margin, and monolines and credit derivative product companies sold protection while sometimes posting no collateral.
  • D. Incorrectly concludes that linking the payout to the reference entity removes the seller's credit quality from the analysis. The buyer receives the protection payment only if the seller can perform.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 14: Derivatives
Learning objective
Describe the features and use of credit derivatives and discuss potential risks they may create
Question 33

CR 15 Counterparty Risk and Beyond

Lowell Bank has a single interest rate swap with a counterparty, with 4 years remaining. The present value of all payments Lowell expects to receive over those 4 years is USD 86.4 million, and the present value of all payments it is obliged to make is USD 71.9 million. The next net settlement falls due in 2 weeks and is a payment of USD 2.3 million from Lowell to the counterparty, and that amount is included in the USD 71.9 million. What is Lowell's current exposure?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. USD 14.5 million

The derivative valuation equals the present value of receipts minus the present value of payments.

USD 86.4 million - USD 71.9 million = USD 14.5 million

The swap is worth USD 14.5 million to Lowell.

Because that value is positive, current exposure is also:

Exposure = USD 14.5 million

If the counterparty defaulted immediately, Lowell would lose its net claim of USD 14.5 million. Had the valuation been negative, Lowell would have had no exposure at all, because a party that owes on a net basis still has to pay and cannot gain from the default.

The USD 2.3 million payment due in two weeks is already included in the USD 71.9 million present value of payments and should not be added or deducted again.

QuantityAmountWhat it measures
Present value of receiptsUSD 86.4 millionWhat is owed to Lowell
Present value of paymentsUSD 71.9 millionWhat Lowell owes
ValuationUSD 14.5 millionThe net position today
Current exposureUSD 14.5 millionThe loss on an immediate default

The valuation is not an amount Lowell can demand immediately. It is the present value of future contractual exchanges.

Note

Today's mark is the starting point for measuring counterparty risk, not a cash balance currently payable. The USD 14.5 million will be a different figure next week as rates move and payments fall away. Counterparty risk is measured against what the position can be worth on a future default date rather than against the valuation today.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly uses the next scheduled settlement even though it is already included in the present value. It is also an amount Lowell pays, and exposure is never negative.
  • C. Incorrectly adds the next settlement to the valuation, counting the same USD 2.3 million twice.
  • D. Incorrectly uses the gross present value of receipts without netting contractual payments.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 15: Counterparty Risk and Beyond
Learning objective
Describe credit exposure, credit migration, recovery, mark-to-market, replacement cost, default probability, loss given default, and the recovery rate
Question 34

CR 16 Netting, Close-Out and Related Aspects

Quarrendon Bank submits two books to a compression cycle. The first holds 148 single-name credit default swap contracts on 12 reference entities, all with scheduled termination dates of 20 March, 20 June, 20 September or 20 December and standard fixed premiums. The second holds 93 interest rate swaps transacted at par over eight years, so their fixed rates differ while their floating cash flows match. Which assessment of the two books is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. The 148 credit default swaps compress straightforwardly because they are fungible once bucketed by reference entity and maturity, and the second book needs a more advanced method because the fixed rates differ.

The credit default swaps can be compressed inside matching buckets because their standardized terms make them fungible, while the interest rate swaps require a more advanced approach because their fixed coupons differ.

BookWhat varies between contractsFungibleMethod
148 credit default swapsReference entity and maturity onlyYes, inside a bucketBucket and compress
93 interest rate swapsThe fixed rate on each swapNoA more advanced algorithm, such as blending the coupons

Credit default swaps use standardized fixed coupons and scheduled termination dates. Contracts with the same reference entity and maturity can therefore be interchangeable inside a bucket, so 148 contracts across 12 reference entities sort into buckets and compress inside each one.

Interest rate swaps are different. A swap struck at par uses the fixed coupon that made its value zero when it was entered. Two swaps executed years apart can therefore have the same floating leg but different fixed coupons.

Those contracts cannot be replaced one for one without changing their economics. Standardization is not always available. Where a product is bespoke, compression reaches only what the algorithms can blend and the rest of the book stays as it is.

More advanced compression algorithms can sometimes create replacement trades that blend the coupons. Credit default swap terms were standardized partly to make compression work and partly to make central clearing work. Interest rate swaps went a different way because a variable fixed rate is how that market prices a swap at par.

Remember

Fungibility depends on matching contract terms. Two credit default swaps on the same reference entity but with different maturities are not interchangeable.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Incorrectly treats matching floating cash flows as sufficient. Different fixed coupons prevent simple interchangeability.
  • C. Incorrectly separates compression from contract terms. A cycle that replaces contracts must preserve their economic effect.
  • D. Incorrectly requires every original contract term to be identical before any compression method can operate. More advanced algorithms can create replacement positions.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 16: Netting, Close-Out and Related Aspects
Learning objective
Describe the mechanics of termination provisions and trade compressions and explain their advantages and disadvantages
Question 35

CR 17 Margin (Collateral) and Settlement

Falkbridge Bank has a one-way credit support annex with a hedge fund counterparty, under which only the hedge fund posts margin. The terms and the current position are set out below.

ItemValue
Mark-to-market value of net exposureGBP 41.0 million
Mark-to-market value of margin postedGBP 18.5 million
Threshold amountGBP 22.0 million
Minimum transfer amountGBP 4.0 million
Rounding amountGBP 0.1 million

The net exposure rises to GBP 44.0 million and the market value of the margin already posted is unchanged. How much additional margin must the hedge fund post?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. GBP 0.

The exposure can rise without producing a margin call when the remaining shortfall is below the minimum transfer amount.

The combined trigger is:

22.0 + 18.5 + 4.0 = GBP 44.5 million

The exposure is GBP 44.0 million, so it remains below that level.

The shortfall calculation gives the same result:

44.0 − 22.0 − 18.5 = GBP 3.5 million

The GBP 3.5 million shortfall is below the GBP 4.0 million minimum transfer amount. The shortfall is a real uncollateralized exposure even though no margin is called. The exposure has risen by GBP 3.0 million and the uncollateralized amount has risen with it, and it stays uncollateralized until the shortfall grows past GBP 4.0 million.

QuantityValue
Net exposureGBP 44.0 million
ThresholdGBP 22.0 million
Margin already postedGBP 18.5 million
ShortfallGBP 3.5 million
Minimum transfer amountGBP 4.0 million
Margin calledGBP 0

The GBP 0.1 million rounding amount is irrelevant because no transfer is triggered.

Note

A one-way agreement in the bank's favor is not simply a two-way agreement with one side switched off. It leaves the fund worse off than having no agreement at all. The hedge fund posts margin, receives none when the position moves in its favor, and what it has posted sits with the bank and is exposed to the bank's own default.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Correctly calculates the GBP 3.5 million shortfall but incorrectly transfers it without applying the minimum transfer test.
  • C. Incorrectly calls the GBP 3.0 million increase in exposure rather than the actual collateral shortfall.
  • D. Incorrectly treats the minimum transfer amount itself as the amount due.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 17: Margin (Collateral) and Settlement
Learning objective
Calculate the credit support amount (margin) under various scenarios
Question 36

CR 18 Central Clearing

Crossmoor Clearing sizes its total default fund at GBP 460 million on the basis of a set of pre-defined stress tests, and its rules allocate that total across its four clearing members pro rata with initial margin averaged over the preceding quarter. The four average initial margins are GBP 480 million, GBP 360 million, GBP 240 million and GBP 120 million. What does the largest member contribute, and how often is the contribution revisited?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. GBP 184 million, being 40% of the 460, and default fund contributions are revisited less often than initial margin, monthly in many cases.

The largest member contributes GBP 184 million because default fund contributions are allocated in proportion to initial margin.

Total average initial margin is:

480 + 360 + 240 + 120 = 1,200

The largest member's share is:

480 / 1,200 = 0.40

Its default fund contribution is:

460 × 0.40 = 184

MemberAverage initial margin, GBP millionShareDefault fund contribution, GBP million
Member 148040%184
Member 236030%138
Member 324020%92
Member 412010%46
Total1,200100%460

The total size of the default fund is set using stress testing against extreme but plausible scenarios.

Those scenarios are defined in relation to the default of one or more members and the market conditions that would accompany such a default, and the fund is sized to cover the losses that would run above initial margin in those conditions.

The total is then allocated across members using a simpler rule, such as initial margin or position size, sometimes with a minimum contribution.

Initial margin is recalculated frequently because it tracks current portfolio risk. In practice that means a daily recalculation, because the portfolio it is measured against changes every day. A default fund contribution tracks a member's share of a total that was itself set by a stress test, so it is updated less often, monthly being a common interval.

Remember

Calculating potential exposure above initial margin is plagued by fat tail behavior, complex interdependencies and wrong-way risk, so the total default fund is not derived from a loss distribution the way a margin number is. That is why the sizing is described as qualitative even though the output is a single figure.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Gives the correct GBP 184 million contribution but incorrectly recalculates it daily. The default fund is revisited far less often than initial margin, monthly being a common interval.
  • B. Correctly recognizes less frequent updates but incorrectly allocates the fund equally.
  • D. Incorrectly allocates the fund equally and incorrectly treats equal contributions as a condition for mutualization. The allocation follows each member's risk.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 18: Central Clearing
Learning objective
Describe the application and estimation of margin and default funds under central clearing
Question 37

CR 19 Future Value and Exposure

Pellworth Bank models a single market variable with an annual trend of 1.8% and an annual volatility of 9.0%, assuming a 250-day year. Its market risk team measures over a horizon of 10 days and its counterparty exposure team measures the same variable over 5 years. The exposure team argues that the trend has to be modeled on its horizon while the market risk team may ignore it on theirs. Taking the ratio of the cumulative trend to the standard deviation over each horizon, how should the argument be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. The argument holds, because the ratio rises from 0.04 over 10 days to 0.45 over 5 years.

Drift grows in proportion to time, while volatility grows with the square root of time.

Drift accumulates period by period. Dispersion accumulates as variance rather than as standard deviation, which is where the square root comes from.

So drift becomes more important relative to dispersion as the horizon lengthens.

Ten days is:

10 / 250 = 0.04

The cumulative drift over ten days is:

1.8% × 0.04 = 0.072%

The standard deviation is:

9.0% x √0.04 = 1.80%

The ratio is:

0.072 / 1.80 = 0.04

Over five years, cumulative drift is:

1.8% × 5 = 9.0%

The standard deviation is:

9.0% x √5 = 20.12%

The ratio is:

9.00 / 20.12 = 0.45

HorizonCumulative trendStandard deviationRatio
10 days0.072%1.80%0.04
5 years9.00%20.12%0.45

At ten days, drift is small relative to dispersion.

Over five years, it becomes material.

A drift in a forward curve or a differential between two currencies can carry the expected future value a long way from the current value before any dispersion is considered.

Long-horizon exposure models therefore need to incorporate drift as well as transaction aging and future cash flows.

Over five years cash flows are paid, options are exercised, transactions terminate and margin is called. None of that happens inside a ten-day horizon.

The same portfolio can also need two sets of calculations, one built on a real-world drift for risk management and one on a risk-neutral drift for pricing.

Note

Square-root scaling from a short horizon becomes less reliable once drift is no longer negligible. Once drift is material the square root rule understates the level and says nothing about where the center of the distribution has moved.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly scales drift and volatility at the same rate.
  • C. Incorrectly reverses which horizon makes drift important.
  • D. Incorrectly scales the drift-to-volatility ratio with time rather than its square root, which turns 0.04 into 5.00 over five years.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 19: Future Value and Exposure
Learning objective
Compare the characterization of credit exposure to VaR methods and describe additional considerations used in the determination of credit exposure
Question 38

CR 20 CVA

A credit analyst is comparing two positions a bank holds with the same industrial counterparty. The first is a 5-year senior unsecured bond issued by the counterparty with a face value of EUR 40 million and an annual coupon of EUR 2.2 million. The second is a 5-year interest rate swap with the counterparty on a notional of EUR 40 million, under which the bank pays fixed and receives floating, and which currently has a mark-to-market value of EUR 2.2 million in the bank's favor. A junior analyst argues that because the two positions reference the same counterparty, the same notional and the same maturity, the counterparty risk charge on the swap should be built the same way as the charge on the bond. How should this argument be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. It is incorrect, because each EUR 2.2 million coupon is at risk in full while each swap cash flow is only partly at risk, and the fraction at risk depends on the yield curve shape, forward rates and volatilities.

A bond coupon is a one-way payment. If the issuer defaults before the coupon is paid, the holder loses that payment apart from any recovery. The credit charge can therefore be built by discounting the promised cash flows for default and adding the value expected to be recovered.

A swap is different because payments run in both directions. On some dates the bank owes the counterparty and on others the counterparty owes the bank. At default, positive and negative values offset, so only the remaining positive exposure is at risk.

That is why a swap generally carries a smaller counterparty credit charge than a bond with the same notional and maturity.

The difficult part is that the future positive exposure cannot be read directly from the contract. It depends on the yield curve, the forward rates determining future floating payments, and the volatility of the underlying market variables.

So the charge must be built from a simulated exposure profile rather than from a simple discounted cash flow rule.

The lack of principal exchange on many swaps also reduces risk, but that is separate from the problem of measuring the future exposure.

Remember

Instruments with two-way payments, such as swaps and forwards, require an exposure profile. Instruments with one-way payments, such as bonds and loans, do not require the same type of exposure simulation.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats equal current values as implying equal counterparty risk. The relevant quantity is the future exposure at the time of default.
  • B. Incorrectly uses notional as the main driver of the charge. Swap exposure is usually only a fraction of notional, while bond exposure is close to the full notional, so equal notionals do not imply equal charges.
  • D. Correctly notes that the swap has no principal exchange but incorrectly treats current mark-to-market as the full basis of the charge. The charge depends on exposure over the remaining life.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 20: CVA
Learning objective
Explain the motivation for and the challenges of pricing counterparty risk
Question 39

CR 21 The Evolution of Stress Testing Counterparty Exposures

At a derivatives dealer, the credit valuation adjustment stood at US$40 million in 2005 against a derivatives portfolio marked at US$62 billion, and five-year spreads on its main financial counterparties traded in a 12 to 30 basis point band through that year. By late 2008 the same adjustment had passed US$1.9 billion, and those spreads had ranged between 55 and 480 basis points inside twelve months. A risk officer is asked why the risk management of the adjustment received so little attention before the crisis and so much afterwards. Which account is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Spreads sat in a 12 to 30 basis point band and US$40 million is small against US$62 billion, and in the crisis spreads and exposures both swung widely together

Two conditions kept the adjustment quiet. Spreads on the main counterparties moved inside an 18 basis point band, and the adjustment itself was US$40 million against a US$62 billion portfolio, which is six hundredths of one percent of it. Check: 40 divided by 62,000 is 0.06%, and 30 less 12 is an 18 basis point band. A small number that does not move is not a risk management problem, and it was not treated as one.

The crisis broke both conditions at the same time. The spread range went from 18 basis points wide to 425 basis points wide, and exposure amounts on derivative transactions swung with the markets underneath them. The adjustment is a product of those two things, so when both move the result is not the sum of two moderate effects but something considerably larger: US$40 million became more than US$1.9 billion, a factor of close to fifty.

The direction of the surprise is the part usually forgotten. The crisis produced large losses on the adjustment and also large and unusual gains, since both spreads and exposures were swinging in both directions, and on a bilateral view a dealer whose own credit deteriorates records a gain on the liability side as well. A framework built for a quantity that only ever nudged had no answer for either, and the development of a proper risk management framework for the adjustment dates from that point. Regulatory capital followed, with a charge specifically for this source of risk.

Note

A small, stable term can become a large, unstable one without anything in its formula changing. What changed here was the behavior of the inputs, which is the argument for stressing them rather than relying on how they have behaved.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. The adjustment was already being carried, which is why it stood at US$40 million in 2005. What changed was how much it moved rather than whether it had to be there, and no accounting change turns US$40 million into US$1.9 billion.
  • B. The direction is reversed. The 12 to 30 basis point band is the definition of stable, and it is exactly why the adjustment was not seen as a live risk.
  • D. Where the adjustment is managed is a real organizational question. Moving it does not explain a rise from US$40 million to US$1.9 billion.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 21: The Evolution of Stress Testing Counterparty Exposures
Learning objective
Explain the treatment of counterparty credit risk (CCR) both as a credit risk and as a market risk and describe its implications for trading activities and risk management for a financial institution
Question 40

CR 22 Structured Credit Risk

A commercial mortgage deal holds one distressed loan of USD 46,000,000 against a property the servicer believes is now worth USD 39,000,000. The servicer may foreclose and sell the property now, or extend the loan and give the borrower more time. The deal has a senior bond of USD 310,000,000 and a junior bond of USD 52,000,000. The servicer is obliged to maximize the total present value of the loan. Which statement correctly describes what each choice does to the two bonds?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Foreclosure repays the senior bond earlier than anticipated and writes the junior bond down now, while extension spares the junior bond that writedown and leaves the senior bond facing a larger eventual loss

Foreclosure and extension affect senior and junior bondholders differently.

ActionSenior bondJunior bond
Foreclose and sell nowPrincipal returns earlier and writedown is unlikelyImmediate credit loss
Extend the loanExposure remains and eventual loss may growImmediate loss is avoided and some recovery potential remains

Foreclosing converts the property into cash immediately.

The realized loss is absorbed first by the junior tranche.

Extending the loan delays realization of the loss and preserves the possibility that collateral value recovers.

That benefits the junior tranche but leaves the senior tranche exposed to a potentially larger future loss and weaker credit enhancement.

The servicer may be required to maximize the present value of the loan, but the decision can still favor one class of investors over another.

No action available to the servicer is neutral between the two classes. That is what makes this a structural conflict rather than a question of diligence.

Remember

Servicing decisions can create structural conflicts even after a securitization has been issued. Third-party servicing is common in mortgage deals and adds a further party whose own soundness bondholders have to assess.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly assumes the senior bond absorbs the first loss. A USD 7,000,000 shortfall is absorbed inside the USD 52,000,000 junior bond.
  • B. Incorrectly treats the eventual property loss as fixed regardless of the servicing decision.
  • C. Incorrectly reverses the effects of foreclosure and extension.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 22: Structured Credit Risk
Learning objective
Identify the key participants in the securitization process and describe conflicts of interest that can arise in the process
Question 41

CR 23 An Introduction to Securitisation

A GBP 430 million ABS carries a coupon of 85 basis points over the reference rate for the first five years, stepping up to 235 basis points from the call date at year five. An investor reads the step-up as a guarantee that the notes will be redeemed at year five, on the grounds that no issuer would pay the higher coupon. The offering circular states that the issuer is under no obligation to redeem the notes at the call date, and the reference rate is currently 3.40%.

How should the step-up feature be understood?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. As an incentive, with the 150 basis point increase making the call the rational choice but not a duty.

The issuer is not generally required to redeem the notes on the call date. The step-up raises the coupon if the notes remain outstanding, and it is there to give the issuer a strong economic incentive to refinance and exercise the call.

The increase is 235 - 85 = 150 basis points, and the additional annual interest cost is:

430,000,000 × 1.50% = GBP 6.45 million a year

So investors hold an expectation that the issuer will call, not a contractual promise. If refinancing becomes difficult or expensive, the issuer can leave the notes outstanding and pay the higher coupon, and the 150 basis points is what compensates investors for that extension risk. It fails where it matters most, because an issuer that cannot refinance at year five is an issuer whose credit or whose market has deteriorated.

Remember

The step-up date and the call date commonly coincide, but they are legally different. The coupon step-up is binding if the notes remain outstanding. The call remains optional.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Treats the call as a mandatory redemption. If it were, the notes would have a maturity at that date and the step-up would be pointless.
  • C. Incorrectly states that the higher note coupon increases excess spread. Raising the note coupon narrows the difference between the asset return and the note interest, so it reduces excess spread.
  • D. Nothing is paid to the trustee. The step-up increases the coupon payable to the noteholders.
Module
Credit Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
CR 23: An Introduction to Securitisation
Learning objective
Describe and assess the various types of credit enhancements

Operational Risk and Resilience 24 questions

Operational risk and resilience, risk governance, identification, measurement, mitigation and reporting, cyber risk, financial crime, outsourcing and third-party risk, model risk, stress testing, risk capital and the Basel framework.

Question 42

OR 1 Introduction to Operational Risk and Resilience

The compliance director at Kesteven Bank reviews 3 risks against the Basel Committee definition of operational risk and the complement published alongside it, and reports 3 statements to the board.

1. Legal risk sits inside the definition.

2. Strategic risk and reputational risk were placed outside the definition.

3. The 2021 revision to the principles for the sound management of operational risk moved both of them inside the definition.

Which assessment of the 3 statements is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Statements 1 and 2 are correct, and statement 3 is incorrect.

Statements 1 and 2 are correct, and statement 3 misreads what the 2021 revision changed. Legal risk is included within operational risk, while strategic and reputational risk are excluded from the published definition.

The 2021 revision changed how strategic and reputational risks should be considered, but it did not change the definition. Where appropriate, operational risk management should consider strategic and reputational risks. Considering a risk within the operational risk function is different from including that risk in the definition of operational risk.

Question being askedLegal riskStrategic and reputational risk
Inside the published definitionYesNo
Considered by the operational risk functionYesWhere appropriate, after the 2021 revision
Managed in practice by the operational risk functionYesReputational damage, in most firms

Regulators may have excluded strategic and reputational risk in order to make the measurement of operational risk as objective as possible. Both are harder to measure than an event with a recorded financial loss, so including them would make the resulting figures less objective.

In practice, the treatment of reputational risk is broader than the definition. Most financial organizations assess and manage reputational damage as part of their operational risk activities, and it appears in most of their impact assessment tables.

Remember

There are three separate questions: whether a risk is inside the definition, whether it is measured in operational risk figures, and whether it is managed by the operational risk function. A risk can be outside the definition but still be managed by the operational risk function. Reputational risk in a large bank usually has this treatment.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly accepts legal risk as part of the definition but incorrectly rejects the exclusion of strategic and reputational risk, even though the same published complement states that exclusion.
  • B. Incorrectly rejects legal risk, even though legal risk is explicitly included within operational risk.
  • C. Incorrectly treats the direction to consider strategic and reputational risk as a change to the definition. Consideration by the operational risk function does not place those risks inside the definition.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 1: Introduction to Operational Risk and Resilience
Learning objective
Describe an operational risk management framework and assess the types of risks that can fall within the scope of such a framework
Question 43

OR 2 Risk Governance

An internal audit review at Quarrington Bank, which has 6,500 staff, records 4 findings in 2026. The head of operational risk is asked to match each finding to the principle for the sound management of operational risk that it falls short of.

(i) The bank is merging its 2 mortgage operations centers into 1, but resources have been approved for only 1 of the 3 planned migration waves, and no document sets out how the change will be carried out.

(ii) The operational risk appetite and tolerance statement was approved by the chief risk officer in 2021 and has not been reviewed since.

(iii) The business continuity plans for the bank's 40 branches are kept by the facilities department and have no link to the operational risk management framework.

(iv) The bank publishes nothing on its approach to operational risk management or on its operational risk exposures.

Which matching is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. (i) The change management process; (ii) a risk appetite and tolerance statement approved and periodically reviewed by the board; (iii) business continuity plans linked with the framework; (iv) public disclosures.

Finding (ii) falls short of the principle on risk appetite, not the principle on the framework. The principles expect the operational risk appetite and tolerance statement to be approved and periodically reviewed by the board. The last approval of Quarrington's statement was in 2021:

2026 − 2021 = 5

So the statement was approved by the chief risk officer rather than the board, and it has not been reviewed for 5 years.

FindingWhat went wrongPrinciple it falls short of
(i) Merger of the 2 operations centersResources for only 1 of the 3 planned waves, and no document setting out how the change is carried outA change management process adequately resourced and articulated
(ii) Appetite and tolerance statementApproved by the chief risk officer in 2021, with no review sinceA risk appetite and tolerance statement approved and periodically reviewed by the board
(iii) Branch continuity plansKept by the facilities department with no link to the frameworkBusiness continuity plans in place and linked with the framework
(iv) Public disclosuresNothing on the approach to operational risk management or on exposuresPublic disclosures on the approach to operational risk management and risk exposures

Finding (i) fails on both parts of the change management principle. Only 1 of the 3 waves has resources:

1 / 3 = 33%

So the change is not adequately resourced, and with no document setting out how it will be carried out, it is not articulated either. The finding says nothing about whether the risks of the merger were identified. What it records is a change that was neither resourced nor planned, which is what the change management principle covers.

Finding (iii) is not the absence of a control, because the plans exist. The principle asks for business continuity plans that are in place and linked with the operational risk management framework, and the link is what is missing.

Finding (iv) is a gap against a principle in its own right. Public disclosure of the approach to operational risk management and of risk exposures is one of the 12 principles.

Note

Board review and approval of the framework is a separate principle from the one on the appetite statement. A board that approves the framework but leaves the appetite statement to the chief risk officer still falls short on the appetite principle.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats the merger as a failure to identify risk and treats finding (ii) as a gap in the board's approval of the framework. The merger finding is about resources and planning, and the appetite statement has its own principle requiring board approval and periodic review.
  • B. Correctly matches the merger to change management but incorrectly assigns finding (ii) to board approval of the framework and finding (iii) to the control environment. The appetite statement has its own principle, and the continuity plans fall short because they are not linked with the framework.
  • D. Correctly matches findings (ii) and (iii) but incorrectly treats the merger as an identification failure and the missing disclosure as a monitoring gap. Public disclosure on the approach to operational risk management and on risk exposures is a principle of its own.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 2: Risk Governance
Learning objective
Explain the Basel regulatory expectations for the governance of an operational risk management framework
Question 44

OR 3 Risk Identification

After a mis-selling incident, Radwell Bank collects the consequences for its impact assessment. Amounts are in USD million.

ConsequenceAmount
Restitution and compensation paid to customers14.0
Regulatory fine6.5
External legal costs1.8
Internal costs of the remediation team, excluding legal expenses2.2
Provision for further customer claims3.0
Revenue expected from new clients, lost because they went elsewhere9.0
A 4-point fall in the reputation score of the bank, and enhanced supervision imposed by the regulatorNo amount

Using the reference impact taxonomy published by ORX, what is the direct financial impact, and where do the fall in the reputation score and the enhanced supervision belong?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. USD 27.5 million, and both belong in the non-financial impact, through the reputation channel and the regulatory enforcement channel.

The ORX impact taxonomy separates 3 kinds of impact at level 1, and the lost revenue and the reputational damage belong to different categories.

Level 1 impactLevel 2 items it holdsRadwell amounts
Loss or remediation, the direct financial impactCustomer restitution and compensation; regulatory fines; legal costs; internal costs; external costs; provisions; and others such as timing losses, damaged assets, and recoveries14.0 + 6.5 + 1.8 + 2.2 + 3.0
Indirect financial impactOpportunity costs9.0
Non-financial impactImpact channels, such as regulatory enforcement, reputation, disruption, stakeholder detriment, and legal or litigation; and the stakeholder groups affectedReputation score fall; enhanced supervision

14.0 + 6.5 + 1.8 + 2.2 + 3.0 = 27.5

The provision counts even though nothing has been paid yet, because provisions are one of the direct financial items in the taxonomy. A provision is an amount recognized for an expected obligation or loss. The internal costs of the remediation team count too, since internal costs excluding legal expenses are a separate direct item.

The USD 9.0 million of revenue that never arrived is an opportunity cost, meaning a financial benefit forgone because of the incident. It is a financial effect, and it is indirect, so it stays out of the direct total. Revenue adjustment is a separate direct item, and none of the Radwell amounts is one, because the USD 9.0 million was never booked as revenue.

27.5 + 9.0 = 36.5

USD 36.5 million is the total financial impact, direct and indirect together. It is not the direct financial impact.

Neither the fall in the reputation score nor the enhanced supervision is a financial amount. Both are adverse consequences for the stakeholders of the firm, carried through the impact channels that the taxonomy lists under non-financial impact: reputation, and regulatory enforcement. In the reference taxonomy the indirect financial impact holds only opportunity costs, and reputation and enforcement are non-financial channels.

Remember

There are three buckets. Money paid, provided for, or lost on the incident itself is direct. Money the firm would have earned is indirect. Damage that is not a sum of money, such as reputation, enforcement, and detriment to customers, employees, or third parties, is non-financial.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly adds the opportunity cost into the direct total and places reputation and enforcement under indirect financial impact, which holds only opportunity costs. The USD 9.0 million belongs in indirect financial impact, and reputation and enforcement belong in non-financial impact.
  • C. Gets the direct total right but incorrectly places reputation and enforcement under indirect financial impact. They are non-financial impact channels rather than opportunity costs.
  • D. Places reputation and enforcement correctly, but counts the USD 9.0 million opportunity cost in the direct total. Opportunity cost is an indirect financial impact.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 3: Risk Identification
Learning objective
Describe and apply an operational risk taxonomy and give examples of different taxonomies of operational risks
Question 45

OR 4 Risk Measurement and Assessment

A storm floods the data center of Ashcombe Bank, a regional lender. Over the following months the operational risk team gathers these figures for the incident record:

ItemUSD million
Write-off of destroyed servers and cabling3.40
External contractor fees for cleanup and restoration0.65
Legal fees for permits to rebuild the ground floor0.12
Estimated fee income lost while two services were down0.90
Estimated management time spent in crisis meetings0.20
Insurance settlement received four months later2.10

The bank's loss data policy excludes opportunity costs and forgone revenue from the gross loss. The team must enter the event in the loss dataset that feeds the bank's regulatory reporting. Which entry meets regulatory expectations for recording the loss?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. Gross loss USD 4.17 million, recovery USD 2.10 million, net loss USD 2.07 million

Regulators generally require only the losses that are directly identifiable as negative financial effects of the incident. The server write-off, the contractor fees and the legal fees for the rebuilding permits all arise from the flood itself and are paid out, so all three are direct losses.

The gross loss is:

3.40 + 0.65 + 0.12 = USD 4.17 million

The lost fee income is forgone revenue, which the bank's loss data policy excludes from the gross loss. Management time and attention is a non-financial impact rather than a negative financial effect directly identifiable in the incident, so it stays out of the regulatory loss figure as well.

The insurance settlement is a recovery. The Basel guidelines ask for the gross loss and any recoveries to be reported, so the record carries both, and the net loss is the gross loss minus the recovery:

4.17 − 2.10 = USD 2.07 million

ItemUSD millionTreatment
Server write-off3.40Direct loss, in the gross loss
Contractor fees0.65Direct loss, in the gross loss
Legal fees for permits0.12Direct loss, in the gross loss
Lost fee income0.90Forgone revenue, excluded by the loss data policy
Management time0.20Non-financial impact, outside the regulatory figure
Insurance settlement2.10Recovery, recorded against the gross loss
Note

The expected direct financial loss in an incident record may evolve until the incident is closed. Legal and rebuilding costs that arrive later are added to the gross loss as they become known, and each recovery is entered in its own field.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Shows 5.07 as both the gross and the net loss, because it adds the lost fee income and drops the recovery. The policy excludes forgone revenue from the gross loss, and the USD 2.10 million settlement must be recorded as a recovery.
  • C. Correctly limits the gross loss to the three direct items but incorrectly leaves the insurance settlement out of the record. The settlement is a recovery, and recoveries are reported beside the gross loss so that the net loss of 2.07 can be measured.
  • D. Correctly records the settlement as a recovery but incorrectly adds the USD 0.90 million of lost fee income, giving 4.17 + 0.90 = 5.07 and a net loss of 2.97. The loss data policy excludes forgone revenue from the gross loss.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 4: Risk Measurement and Assessment
Learning objective
Explain best practices for the collection of operational loss data and reporting of operational loss incidents, including regulatory expectations
Question 46

OR 5 Risk Mitigation

An internal auditor at Merrowdale Bank records three controls in the new products area.

1. The head of compliance signs off each new product pack, typically 300 pages of documentation, on the day it is due to be filed. Last quarter the average time between receiving a pack and signing it was 40 minutes.

2. Every client payment instruction is checked by two clerks of the same grade in the same team. Each initials the form, and in interviews both said they check quickly because the other one checks too.

3. Relationship managers routinely bypass the client onboarding checklist because it is too cumbersome. After an onboarding failure, compliance adds two more mandatory sign-off pages to the same checklist.

Which classification of items 1, 2 and 3 as weakly designed controls is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 1 optimistic, 2 collective, 3 more of the same

The same-day sign-off is an optimistic control, the two-clerk check is a collective control, and the longer checklist is more of the same. Each is a recognized weak design, and each fails for a different reason.

ItemDesignWhy it is weak
1. Same-day sign-off of 300 pagesOptimistic controlEffective only with exceptional ability or motivation; the signatory lacks the time to understand what is validated
2. Two clerks of the same grade and teamCollective controlResponsibility is spread across people, which dilutes accountability and attention
3. More sign-off pages on a bypassed checklistMore of the sameResponds to a failed control by adding controls of the same design

Item 1 is a "tick-box" control. The time available per page, in minutes, is:

40 / 300 = 0.13

That is about 8 seconds a page. A sign-off like this would need exceptional ability or motivation to be effective, which is what makes it an optimistic control.

Item 2 is the common four-eyes check. The interviews show the weakness directly: each clerk trusts the other to be the careful one, so the attention each gives may be less rigorous than a single accountable person would give.

Item 3 responds to a checklist that managers already bypass by making the same checklist longer. The cause of the bypass, a process that is too cumbersome, is made worse, so the new pages are likely to be skipped as well. More controls do not necessarily mean less risk, and a poorly designed control can increase the vulnerability of the process it is meant to protect.

Remember

Controls that are ineffective by design are a waste of resources, and can be worse, because they may provide a false sense of security that lets a vulnerability stay in place while everyone believes it is covered.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly calls the sign-off collective and the longer checklist optimistic. One person signs the pack, so accountability is not shared, and the longer checklist repeats a design that is already being bypassed.
  • B. Correctly identifies the sign-off as optimistic but incorrectly labels the other two. The two-clerk check spreads responsibility, which makes it collective, and lengthening a bypassed checklist is the more-of-the-same response.
  • C. Correctly identifies the longer checklist as more of the same but incorrectly labels items 1 and 2. The sign-off is a tick-box control by one person, and the two-clerk check is a collective control.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 5: Risk Mitigation
Learning objective
Describe control automation, internal control design, and control testing, including risks and challenges that arise in these processes and ways to make them more effective
Question 47

OR 6 Risk Reporting

Garnet Savings Bank is redesigning its operational risk reporting. The head of the central operational risk function must decide where the full version of each of three pieces of information should go:

ItemContent
PA summary view of the operational risk exposure, emerging risks, and increasing trends in operational risks across the bank
QThe remediation status of issues, together with culture and use test indicators and the progress of the related action plans
RThe daily status of each branch's own key risk indicators (KRIs) and the progress of its action plans

A colleague suggests sending item P to the audit committee, item Q to the operational risk committee, and item R to the operational risk committee as well, "so that everything passes through one place." Which allocation is appropriate?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. P to the board risk committee, Q to the executive committee, and R to the business-line managers who own the risks.

Item P, the summary view of exposure, emerging risks, and increasing trends, is part of what the board risk committee receives, together with KRIs linked to the risk appetite, the frequency and severity of risk events, and the investigation of the causes of large events. Each audience has a different role in monitoring operational risk, so each needs a different type and level of information.

Item Q is the kind of information the executive committee (ExCo) needs. The ExCo oversees the proper and effective execution of the operational risk management framework, and every significant piece of information that shows the framework is working, or is not, has a place in its reporting. This includes risk events, action plans, the remediation status of issues, and culture and use test indicators, as well as risk trends and exposure.

Item R stays with the business-line managers and risk champions. Operational risk data is collected at the business operations level, where it is monitored most closely, and business-line managers typically monitor the status of their KRIs, the progress of their action plans, and the nature and severity of the events in their lines.

ItemAppropriate audienceReason
P, summary of exposure, emerging risks, trendsBoard risk committeeIt monitors the whole framework against the appetite
Q, remediation status, culture and use test indicatorsExecutive committeeIt oversees execution of the framework
R, daily KRI status and action plan progressBusiness-line managers (full daily detail)Monitoring happens closest to the operations

The colleague's "one place" design sends two very different items to the operational risk committee and sends the board-level summary to the audit committee. The audit committee oversees internal audit's assurance work and is not the body that monitors the firm's operational risk profile against appetite.

Remember

The information at item R is also reported to the central operational risk function for the centralized report on the organization's risk profile, mostly as alerts and summaries rather than the full daily detail.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly keeps item R with the business-line managers but incorrectly routes item P to the audit committee and item Q to the operational risk committee. The summary view goes to the board risk committee, and culture and use test remediation goes to the ExCo.
  • B. Routes items Q and R to the operational risk committee, although it sends item P correctly to the board risk committee. The ExCo oversees execution of the framework, and daily KRI monitoring belongs to the business lines.
  • D. Correctly sends item Q to the ExCo but incorrectly sends the board-level summary to the audit committee and the daily data to the operational risk committee. The summary view belongs to the board risk committee, and daily monitoring stays with the business lines.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 6: Risk Reporting
Learning objective
Identify roles and responsibilities of different organizational committees, and explain how risk reports should be developed for each committee or business function
Question 48

OR 7 Integrated Risk Management

Barwick Bank is building the legal loss module of its operational risk stress test for a two-year horizon. The legal team provides:

ComponentDetail
Immaterial bulk claims2,400 claims expected, average settlement USD 3,500 each
Case 1, mis-selling class actionConditional expected loss USD 120 million, reserve already held USD 70 million
Case 2, contract disputeConditional expected loss USD 30 million, reserve already held USD 45 million
Future cases not yet filedEstimated at USD 25 million

The module should forecast the losses that the stress test has not already covered through existing reserves. What is the legal loss module's forecast?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. USD 83.4 million

The legal loss module forecasts all litigation-related losses over the stress horizon in three parts: expected immaterial bulk litigation, conditional expected losses on the current case load above the reserved threshold, and incremental future litigation cases, the unknown unknowns.

Bulk claims:

2,400 × 3,500 = USD 8.4 million

For the current case load, only the conditional expected loss above what is already reserved enters the forecast.

Case 1:

120 − 70 = USD 50 million

Case 2's conditional expected loss of USD 30 million is below its reserve of USD 45 million, so it adds nothing. The excess reserve is not released into the forecast as a gain.

The total is:

8.4 + 50 + 0 + 25 = USD 83.4 million

ComponentContributionReason
Bulk claims8.4Expected immaterial litigation
Case 150.0120 less the 70 already reserved
Case 20.030 sits below the reserve of 45
Future cases25.0Incremental cases not yet filed
Total83.4

Litigation is a large share of overall operational losses for most banks, and supervisors expect legal costs, including expenses, judgments, fines, and settlements, to be estimated under baseline and stressful environments and broken out into their own subcategory where possible.

The module also faces a lag. Business practices that lead to litigation after a market crash may not turn into settlements until years later, so the forecast must build in lags between the factors driving it, such as macroeconomic variables and firm-specific factors like assets, and the losses themselves.

Note

Because of the lag, conduct that occurs inside a stress horizon can turn into settlements after it. A forecast that ignores the lag places legal losses in the wrong period, whatever their size.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Omits the USD 25 million for future cases not yet filed. Incremental future litigation, the unknown unknowns, is one of the module's three parts.
  • C. Incorrectly nets Case 2's excess reserve of USD 15 million against the forecast. A case below its reserve adds nothing, and a surplus reserve is not a gain in the legal loss forecast.
  • D. USD 183.4 million adds both cases at their full conditional expected loss, USD 150 million in total. This counts again USD 100 million already covered by reserves: 70 on Case 1 and the whole 30 on Case 2.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 7: Integrated Risk Management
Learning objective
Explain challenges and considerations when developing and implementing models used in stress testing operational risk
Question 49

OR 8 Cyber-Resilience: Range of Practices

The supervisor of Dornoch receives cyber-incident reports from its banks and designs a policy for sharing information back with the industry. The draft has 4 elements.

1. Assess the risk that each reported incident poses to the financial industry, and share with the industry as appropriate, based on that assessment.

2. Share non-public information about an attack on a named bank with every bank through a formal supervisory circular, so that all banks receive it at the same moment.

3. Share publicly available information, such as cybersecurity risk management best practices, through industry sharing platforms, meetings and informal communications.

4. Where information contains customer-specific or bank-specific details, anonymize or summarize it before sharing.

Which elements are consistent with observed practice?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. 1, 3 and 4 only

Elements 1, 3 and 4 are consistent with observed practice, and element 2 is not. Where regulators obtain non-public information, they share it with selected parties through informal meetings or other informal communication vehicles, to preserve the anonymity and confidentiality of the bank that was attacked, not with every bank through a formal circular that names it.

Information-sharing from regulators to banks runs through established channels and draws on what the regulator receives from banks and from other sources. In jurisdictions with clear guidance on this kind of sharing, such as Australia, China, Korea, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Turkey and the US, information flows from the bank to the regulator, the regulator assesses the risk to the industry, and it shares with the industry as appropriate, based on that assessment.

ElementVerdictObserved practice
1ConsistentThe regulator's risk assessment decides what is shared with the industry
2Not consistentNon-public information goes to selected parties through informal meetings, preserving the anonymity and confidentiality of the bank affected
3ConsistentPublicly available information such as best practices is shared readily, through informal channels such as industry forums
4ConsistentSensitive information, such as customer-specific or bank-specific details, is anonymized or summarized to allow sharing

The reason for the informal route in element 2 is trust. Preserving the anonymity of a bank hit by an attack maintains banks' confidence and trust in their regulator, and a formal circular naming the bank works against that.

Note

Mandatory requirements for regulators to share information with banks exist in only a few jurisdictions, such as China, and a few others, such as Singapore and the UK, have voluntary practices. Many jurisdictions have no standard practices and no process or time frame for timely, risk-based sharing. Classifying information would help the appropriate audience receive the appropriate information, and would help build trust between regulators and banks.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Element 1 is accepted correctly, but element 2 is the one inconsistent with practice, and this option accepts it while incorrectly rejecting 3 and 4. Non-public information about a named bank goes to selected parties informally, while sharing best practices and anonymizing sensitive details are both observed practice.
  • B. Elements 3 and 4 are accepted correctly, but element 1 is incorrectly rejected. In jurisdictions with clear guidance, the regulator assesses the risk to the industry and shares as appropriate on the basis of that assessment.
  • D. Correctly accepts elements 3 and 4 but incorrectly swaps element 1 for element 2. Sharing follows the regulator's own risk assessment, and non-public information about a named bank is shared with selected parties through informal meetings.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 8: Cyber-Resilience: Range of Practices
Learning objective
Explain and assess current practices for the sharing of cybersecurity information between different types of institutions
Question 50

OR 9 Case Study: Cyberthreats and Information Security Risks

Ferncastle Bank, a regional lender with 1,400 staff, is choosing a cyber risk framework. At the risk committee, the head of compliance argues against the NIST Cybersecurity Framework:

"NIST is part of the US Department of Commerce, so adopting its framework would make every one of its steps legally binding on us. And if we decide against it, no regulator can expect us to follow any cybersecurity framework at all, because these frameworks are voluntary."

The chief risk officer is asked to comment on both claims. Which comment is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Both claims are incorrect: the NIST framework is voluntary, but regulation often makes a framework mandatory or strongly encouraged.

The NIST Cybersecurity Framework was developed by the National Institute of Standards and Technology at the US Department of Commerce, but the framework is voluntary. It gives businesses an outline of best practices to help decide where to focus time and money on cybersecurity protection. Adopting it does not turn its steps into law, so the first claim is incorrect.

The second claim runs the other way and overreaches. Cybersecurity frameworks are often mandatory, or at least strongly encouraged, for firms that want to comply with industry-related regulations. So a bank can still be expected to follow a framework by the regulation it is subject to, even though the NIST framework is voluntary in itself. Both claims are therefore incorrect.

ClaimVerdictReason
Adopting the NIST framework makes every step legally bindingIncorrectThe NIST framework is voluntary
Without NIST, no regulator can expect any frameworkIncorrectFrameworks are often mandatory, or strongly encouraged, for regulatory compliance

The framework was originally intended to protect critical infrastructure, such as power plants and dams, from cyberattacks. Its use has since extended beyond that industry, and many financial organizations have adopted it to guide their cyber risk management. It is designed to help businesses of all sizes, so a bank of 1,400 staff is within its intended audience.

Note

A framework can be voluntary in itself and still be expected by a regulator. The obligation sits in the regulation, not in the framework.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly accepts both claims. The NIST framework is voluntary, and a bank can still be expected to follow a framework under industry regulation.
  • C. Correctly rejects the first claim but incorrectly accepts the second. Frameworks are often mandatory, or at least strongly encouraged, for firms that must comply with industry-related regulations.
  • D. Correctly rejects the second claim but incorrectly accepts the first. Being developed by a US government agency does not make the NIST framework binding, and the framework is voluntary.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 9: Case Study: Cyberthreats and Information Security Risks
Learning objective
Provide examples of cyber threats and information security risks, and describe frameworks and best practices for managing cyber risks
Question 51

OR 10 Sound Management of Risks Related to Money Laundering and Financing of Terrorism

The chief risk officer of Lindqvist Bank, a regional lender that organizes operational risk management around three lines of defense, is concerned after several peer banks were fined for weak management of money laundering and financing of terrorism (ML/FT) risks. She reviews the Basel Committee guidance and plans to recommend changes that assign each ML/FT task to the right function. Her team drafts four proposals for the recommendation.

Which proposal is most appropriate for her to recommend?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Internal auditors, and external auditors where engaged, should evaluate whether ML/FT controls are effective and compliant with regulations.

The auditor proposal assigns the task to the right functions. Internal audit is the third line of defense, and it independently evaluates the risk management and controls through periodic assessments of how effectively the bank complies with its AML/CFT policies and procedures. In many countries external auditors also play an important role, evaluating internal controls and confirming compliance with AML/CFT regulations and supervisory practice.

LineWhoML/FT role
FirstBusiness units, such as the front office and customer-facing activityIdentify, assess and control the risks of their own business
SecondChief AML/CFT officer, the compliance function, human resources and technologyOngoing monitoring of AML/CFT duties, sample testing, exception reports, contact point for authorities
ThirdInternal auditIndependent evaluation of risk management and controls

Each of the other proposals moves a task to the wrong function. Day-to-day control of ML/FT risk inside a business belongs to that business. Contact with supervisors and financial intelligence units belongs to the chief AML/CFT officer. Setting monitoring parameters is part of running the control, and an auditor who set the parameters would then be auditing its own work.

Note

The second line is wider than one person. It includes the chief officer in charge of AML/CFT and the compliance function, and also human resources and technology. So moving a task out of the business lines does not automatically make it the chief officer's task.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Setting monitoring parameters is part of running the control, not auditing it. An internal audit function that set them would then be auditing its own design.
  • B. Incorrectly moves day-to-day control of ML/FT risk from the business lines to the chief AML/CFT officer. Identifying, assessing and controlling the risks of a business is the first line's task, while the chief officer monitors from the second line.
  • C. Incorrectly makes the chief risk officer the contact point for supervisors and financial intelligence units. That role belongs to the chief AML/CFT officer.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 10: Sound Management of Risks Related to Money Laundering and Financing of Terrorism
Learning objective
Explain best practices recommended by the Basel committee for the assessment, management, mitigation, and monitoring of money laundering and financing of terrorism (ML/FT) risks
Question 52

OR 11 Case Study: Financial Crime and Fraud

After regulatory findings on its AML controls, Zennor Bank must complete a lookback within 12 months. The lookback covers the 36,000 client files opened over the last four years. Each file takes an average of 2.5 hours to review, and each reviewer can work 1,500 productive hours a year. The bank's own AML team of 25 analysts is fully occupied with day-to-day monitoring and cannot take on any lookback work.

How many contractors does Zennor need for the lookback, and what does the lookback involve?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 60 contractors; the bank reviews all client files for the period, verifies client information, files suspicious activity reports and closes suspicious accounts where needed.

Zennor needs 60 contractors, and the lookback covers every client file for the period, not only the files that raised alerts.

The total review time is:

36,000 × 2.5 = 90,000 hours

With 1,500 productive hours per reviewer in the 12 months, the number of reviewers is:

90,000 / 1,500 = 60 reviewers

The in-house team of 25 is fully occupied with day-to-day monitoring, so it contributes no lookback hours. All 60 reviewers must be contractors. Subtracting the 25 in-house analysts would assume that they can review files they have no time for:

60 - 25 = 35, which leaves 25 x 1,500 = 37,500 hours of work unassigned

StepFigure
Files to review36,000
Hours per file2.5
Total hours90,000
Hours per reviewer in 12 months1,500
Reviewers needed60
In-house capacity available0

A lookback is a costly AML remediation program that follows regulatory findings. The bank must review all client files for a specified period, verify client information, file suspicious activity reports, as they are called in the United States, and even close suspicious accounts. Limiting the review to files that raised alerts would not meet that requirement, since the lookback covers all client files for the period.

The size of the task is also why lookbacks bring in contractors. Large spikes in workload with tight deadlines are common in AML remediation, and at USAA the failure to train contractors or ensure their qualifications was itself criticized.

Remember

A lookback reaches every client file in its period, not only the files that raised alerts, and it can end in the closure of suspicious accounts.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Correctly describes the lookback but incorrectly subtracts the 25 in-house analysts, who are fully occupied and contribute no hours. All 90,000 / 1,500 = 60 reviewers must be contractors.
  • C. Correctly sizes the team but incorrectly limits the lookback to files that raised alerts. A lookback reviews all client files for a specified period, not only those that raised alerts.
  • D. Incorrectly subtracts the fully occupied in-house team and incorrectly limits the lookback to alerted files. The lookback needs 60 contractors and covers every client file for the period.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 11: Case Study: Financial Crime and Fraud
Learning objective
Summarize the regulatory findings and describe the lessons learned from the USAA case study
Question 53

OR 12 Guidance on Managing Outsourcing Risk

Harrowgate Bank, a US state member bank, is building a training module for the 14 staff of its vendor management office. A consultant drafts one line on each of four of the risks that financial institutions should consider before entering into, and while managing, outsourcing arrangements.

Line 1: Compliance risk arises when a service provider fails to comply with the laws of the country in which the provider is located.

Line 2: Concentration risk arises when a service provider is based in a foreign country rather than in the United States.

Line 3: Country risk arises when a foreign-based service provider exposes the bank to possible economic, social, and political conditions and events in the country where the provider is located.

Line 4: Legal risk arises when a lawsuit is filed against the service provider by one of its own clients.

Which assessment of the four lines is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Line 3 is correct, and lines 1, 2 and 4 are incorrect.

Only line 3 states its risk correctly. Each of the other three lines changes the element that carries the definition.

LineWhat the draft saysWhat the definition saysVerdict
1Laws of the provider's own countryApplicable US laws and regulationsIncorrect
2A provider based in a foreign countryServices provided by a limited number of providers, or concentrated in limited geographic locationsIncorrect
3Economic, social, and political conditions in the provider's countryThe sameCorrect
4A lawsuit against the provider by its own clientLegal expenses and possible lawsuits to which the provider exposes the institutionIncorrect

Compliance risk is measured against US law. It arises when the services, products, or activities of a service provider fail to comply with applicable US laws and regulations. A provider that follows every rule of its home country can still expose a US bank to compliance risk if the service breaks a US consumer protection or privacy rule.

Line 2 describes the trigger for country risk and gives it the wrong name. Concentration risk is about how many providers the bank relies on and where the services are located. A concentration can arise without any foreign provider involved.

Legal risk is about the institution's own exposure. Legal risk turns on whether the provider's actions expose the bank to legal expenses and possible lawsuits. A dispute between the provider and one of its other clients does not describe that exposure.

Note

The full list of risks to consider has six entries: compliance, concentration, reputational, country, operational, and legal. Some risks are inherent to the outsourced activity itself, while others are introduced by the involvement of a service provider.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly accepts line 1. Compliance risk is measured against applicable US laws and regulations, not the laws of the country where the provider is located.
  • B. Incorrectly accepts lines 2 and 4 and rejects line 3. A foreign-based provider is the trigger for country risk, legal risk concerns the bank's own exposure to legal expenses and lawsuits, and line 3 is the definition of country risk.
  • D. Reverses the verdict on every line. Line 3 is the only line that matches its definition, and lines 1, 2 and 4 each change the defining element.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 12: Guidance on Managing Outsourcing Risk
Learning objective
Explain how risks can arise through outsourcing activities to third-party service providers and describe elements of an effective program to manage outsourcing risk
Question 54

OR 13 Case Study: Third-Party Risk Management

Dunmere Bank, headquartered in Europe, uses a third-party provider in the Philippines to run 2,000 call center seats. A national shutdown closes the provider's offices. Dunmere's home call center has 1,000 seats, of which 400 are already in use, and the bank will staff every spare seat within a week.

For the seats that stay with the provider, the operations head proposes: "We simply stop answering those calls until the shutdown ends. Changing the contract would take too long."

Which response for the remaining seats reflects the options banks faced, and the lesson for cross-country contract management?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 1,400 seats can keep running if contracts and controls change to let offshore staff work remotely, which shows why cross-country contract management matters.

When the COVID-19 pandemic shutdowns hit, US and European banks that had call centers or other critical processes handled in countries such as India or the Philippines faced either rapidly moving these activities back to their home countries, or changing contracts and controls to allow offshore third-party employees to work remotely. Dunmere has already taken the first route for as many seats as its home center can hold.

Spare seats in the home center: 1,000 - 400 = 600

Seats left with the provider: 2,000 - 600 = 1,400

ResponseSeats coveredWhat it requires
Move work back home600Spare capacity in the home center
Change contracts and controls for remote work1,400Contract changes and controls over remote offshore staff
Stop answering0 of the remaining 1,400Accepting an outage on a customer-facing process

For the remaining 1,400 seats, the choice is between the second response and an outage. The contract change takes time, but it is the response that keeps the process running, and it comes with new controls over staff working away from the provider's offices.

This is why cross-country contract management adds another dimension to third-party management. A contract written for work in an offshore office may not allow that work to move anywhere else.

Note

Moving work home depends on spare capacity at home, while remote work depends on the contract. A bank that has not thought about either before a shutdown has to negotiate both under pressure.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 1,600 seats is 2,000 - 400, which subtracts the home seats already in use instead of the 600 spare seats. So 1,400 remain with the provider, although the remote-work response is right.
  • B. Incorrectly subtracts the 400 seats in use rather than the 600 spare and also treats moving work home as the only response. 1,400 seats remain, and changing contracts and controls for remote work was the other response open to banks.
  • C. Correctly computes the 1,400 remaining seats but incorrectly treats moving work home as the only response. Banks also changed contracts and controls so that offshore employees could work remotely.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 13: Case Study: Third-Party Risk Management
Learning objective
Explain how risks related to the use of third parties can arise and describe characteristics of an effective third-party risk management framework
Question 55

OR 14 Case Study: Investor Protection and Compliance Risks in Investment Activities

A US bank's compliance trainer is building a slide titled "What the Investor Protection Act established." The Investor Protection Act is one component of the broader Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, and the trainer wants the slide to carry only provisions described as coming from the Investor Protection Act itself. The draft slide has four bullets:

1. A committee to consult with the Securities and Exchange Commission about regulatory priorities surrounding new financial products, fee structures and trading strategies

2. Increased protections for whistleblowers

3. The Volcker Rule

4. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)

Which bullets belong on the slide?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Bullets 1 and 2 only

Bullets 1 and 2 belong on the slide, and bullets 3 and 4 do not. The Investor Protection Act established the committee that consults with the SEC about regulatory priorities surrounding new financial products, fee structures and trading strategies, and it granted whistleblowers increased protections.

The Volcker Rule and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) are both part of the broader Dodd-Frank Act. They are attributed to the broader Dodd-Frank Act, but not to the Investor Protection Act itself.

ProvisionWhere it sits
Committee consulting with the SEC on new products, fee structures and trading strategiesInvestor Protection Act
Increased protections for whistleblowersInvestor Protection Act
Financial Stability Oversight Council and reorganization of financial regulationDodd-Frank Act
Volcker RuleDodd-Frank Act
Consumer Financial Protection BureauDodd-Frank Act

The confusion is easy to make because "investor protection" describes the purpose of much of Dodd-Frank. Dodd-Frank regulates multiple aspects of investor protection, including OTC derivatives trading, but the Investor Protection Act is one component of it. A slide titled with the narrower act should list only what that act did.

Remember

The Investor Protection Act was introduced as a regulatory response to the financial crisis of 2007, in an attempt to prevent any future reoccurrence. The two provisions attributed to it here are the SEC consultation committee and the stronger whistleblower protections.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly includes whistleblower protection but incorrectly adds the CFPB and drops the committee. The CFPB is attributed to the broader Dodd-Frank Act, not to the Investor Protection Act.
  • C. Correctly includes the SEC consultation committee but incorrectly swaps whistleblower protection for the Volcker Rule. Whistleblower protection came from the Investor Protection Act, and the Volcker Rule is a separate part of Dodd-Frank.
  • D. Incorrectly treats two other Dodd-Frank provisions as the Investor Protection Act. This is the answer reached by reading "investor protection" as a label for all of Dodd-Frank.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 14: Case Study: Investor Protection and Compliance Risks in Investment Activities
Learning objective
Summarize important regulations designed to protect investors in financial instruments, including MiFiD, MiFiD II, and Dodd-Frank
Question 56

OR 15 Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk Management

Aberlour Bank is building its first firm-wide model inventory from the lists its business lines submit.

1. Retail lending lists 14 models in use, 3 models under development for implementation, and 2 models retired last quarter.

2. Treasury lists 6 models in use. One of them, the deposit beta model, runs in two variations, one for retail and one for commercial deposits, and each variation warrants a separate validation. Treasury also retired one model four years ago, well outside the two years the bank's policy treats as recently retired.

3. Markets lists 9 models in use. It separately lists 2 trader-built spreadsheets as "tools, not models," although each applies a volatility estimate and a pricing formula to market data to produce the hedge ratios the desk trades on.

How many entries should the firm-wide inventory hold?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 37, counting models in development and recently retired, each variation that warrants its own validation, and the two spreadsheets.

Banks should maintain a comprehensive set of information for models implemented for use, under development for implementation, or recently retired. Four decisions settle the count.

Business lineEntriesReason
Retail lending14 + 3 + 2 = 19In use, under development, and recently retired all belong
Treasury6 + 1 = 7The second deposit beta variation warrants a separate validation, so it is a separate entry; the retirement four years ago is not recent
Markets9 + 2 = 11Each spreadsheet applies a pricing formula to data to produce quantitative estimates, so it meets the definition of a model

19 + 7 + 11 = 37 entries

Any variation of a model that warrants a separate validation should be included as a separate model and cross-referenced with the other variations, which is why treasury's six models become seven entries. The spreadsheets are models by definition whatever the desk calls them, since they process input data into quantitative estimates using a financial formula.

While each line of business may maintain its own inventory, a specific party should be charged with maintaining a firm-wide inventory of all models, which should assist the bank in evaluating its model risk in the aggregate. So the business-line lists cannot just be added together as submitted.

Note

The inventory should be comprehensive. For each entry it should describe the purpose and products, actual or expected usage, and any restrictions on use, and it is useful for it to list the type and source of inputs and the underlying components, which may include other models.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Incorrectly accepts the desk's label and leaves out the two spreadsheets. They produce quantitative estimates from a pricing formula, so they are models, and the count is 37.
  • C. 29 counts only the models currently in use and ignores the treasury variation, 14 + 6 + 9 = 29. The inventory also covers models under development for implementation and those recently retired.
  • D. 38 adds the model treasury retired four years ago. The inventory covers recently retired models, and a retirement four years ago is not recent.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 15: Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk Management
Learning objective
Describe elements of an effective model risk management process
Question 57

OR 16 Case Study: Model Risk and Model Validation

The model risk team at Ardmore Savings Bank is deciding which of four tools belong in its model inventory. It applies the current industry consensus on what a model is.

Tool 1: A spreadsheet lists the 420 loans the bank sold to an investor last month, with the sale price agreed for each, and adds them to a total of USD 96.4 million.

Tool 2: Credit officers rate each small business borrower's management quality and industry outlook as strong, adequate or weak, and a scorecard converts the ratings into a one-year probability of default.

Tool 3: A program forecasts next month's call center volumes from two years of call data, assuming the weekday pattern in that history continues.

Tool 4: A dashboard displays yesterday's realized trading profit and loss by desk, exactly as booked by the accounting system.

Which tools meet the definition of a model?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Tools 2 and 3 only

Tools 2 and 3 are models. The current consensus treats a model as any estimation method that uses data and relies on a set of assumptions to generate an uncertain estimate or forecast. The emphasis is on the uncertain nature of the output rather than on the method or technique used to produce it.

ToolOutputIs the output an uncertain estimate?Model?
1, loan sale listTotal of agreed sale prices, USD 96.4 millionNo, every price is agreedNo
2, borrower scorecardProbability of defaultYes, a forecast built on judgment inputsYes
3, call volume forecastNext month's call volumesYes, it assumes the weekday pattern holdsYes
4, profit and loss dashboardBooked results for yesterdayNo, the figures are already realizedNo

Tool 1 adds up numbers that are already known. The total of 420 agreed prices is arithmetic, not an estimate, so there is nothing uncertain for the tool to get wrong except the arithmetic itself.

Tool 2 has qualitative inputs, but it still uses data, the officers' ratings, and relies on assumptions about how those ratings relate to default. What it produces is a probability of default, which is an uncertain estimate.

Tool 3 is not a financial tool, but the definition does not ask what the forecast is about. It uses data, relies on an assumption that the historical weekday pattern continues, and produces a forecast that can be wrong.

Tool 4 reports what has already happened. Nothing in it is an estimate.

Note

The current consensus puts the emphasis on the uncertain output, not on the method or the subject. Judgment inputs do not stop the scorecard being a model, and a forecast of call volumes is a model even though it never touches a balance sheet.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly includes the loan sale list and excludes the scorecard. The loan list totals agreed prices, so it produces no uncertain estimate, while the scorecard produces an uncertain probability of default from data and assumptions.
  • B. Correctly includes the call volume forecast but incorrectly adds the dashboard and drops the scorecard. The dashboard shows realized results with no estimate in them, and the scorecard produces an uncertain probability of default.
  • C. Incorrectly treats every tool with a financial output as a model and excludes the call volume forecast. The loan list and the dashboard report known figures, and the forecast is a model whatever its subject.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 16: Case Study: Model Risk and Model Validation
Learning objective
Define a model and describe different ways that financial institutions can become exposed to model risk
Question 58

OR 17 Stress Testing Banks

An analyst at Dunmore Capital is reviewing the 2010 stress test run by the Committee of European Bank Supervisors (CEBS). It covered 91 European banks, about two-thirds of total European bank assets, and required seven of them to raise a total of EUR 3.5 billion. The test imposed haircuts on the market value of sovereign bonds held in the trading book, while the bulk of the banks' sovereign exposure was in the banking book. Loss rates by firm were disclosed only for overall retail and overall corporate.

A few months later Ireland requested financial assistance. Subsequent stress tests of the Irish banks, conducted largely by outside independent advisers, revealed a total capital need of EUR 24 billion for four banks, all of which had passed the CEBS test.

Which option gives the Irish capital need as a multiple of the entire CEBS required raise, together with the best explanation of why the CEBS result lost credibility?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 6.9 times; the haircuts reached only the trading book while most sovereign exposure sat in the banking book, and the thin disclosure kept the market from checking.

The Irish need was EUR 24 billion against a CEBS total of EUR 3.5 billion for all seven failing banks:

24 / 3.5 = 6.86, or about 6.9 times

So the capital found for four Irish banks alone was almost seven times what the CEBS test had asked of the whole group of 91.

Two features of the CEBS design left its result open to doubt. First, the stress on sovereign debt was applied through haircuts on bonds in the trading book, while the bulk of the sovereign exposure was in the banking book, so most of the banks' sovereign exposure sat outside the haircut. Second, the disclosure was thin. Loss rates by firm came only for overall retail and overall corporate, whereas the SCAP had released loss rates by major asset class such as first-lien mortgages, credit cards and commercial real estate. With so little detail, the market could not check the results for itself.

Markets reacted benignly to the CEBS results at first, but the reaction changed when Ireland requested assistance from the EU and the IMF, and every Irish bank that needed capital had passed. To help close the credibility gap, the Irish exercise disclosed far more than any stress test to that date, and bank and Irish sovereign credit spreads tightened.

Feature2010 CEBS2011 Ireland
Banks tested914
Required raiseEUR 3.5 billion for 7 banksEUR 24 billion for 4 banks
Who ran the testThe European supervisorsLargely outside independent advisers
DisclosureLoss rates for overall retail and corporate onlyThe most extensive to that date
Note

A stress applied through market value haircuts reaches only the positions it is applied to. Sovereign bonds held in the banking book were outside the CEBS trading book haircut, so a sovereign stress that stops at the trading book can miss most of a bank's sovereign exposure.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. 6.9 times is the correct multiple, but the Irish banks were not outside the test. All of the Irish banks that later needed capital had passed the CEBS test, so they were in it.
  • C. Gives the correct explanation with the wrong multiple. Dividing the per-bank averages, EUR 6 billion against EUR 0.5 billion, gives 12 times, while the question asks for the Irish need against the entire CEBS raise.
  • D. Incorrectly says no sovereign haircuts were applied and uses the per-bank multiple. The CEBS test did impose haircuts on trading book sovereign bonds; its weakness was that most sovereign exposure sat in the banking book.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 17: Stress Testing Banks
Learning objective
Describe the evolution of the stress testing process and compare the methodologies of historical European Banking Association (EBA), Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR), and Supervisory Capital Assessment Program (SCAP) stress tests
Question 59

OR 18 Risk Capital Attribution and Risk-Adjusted Performance Measurement

Topic: Risk capital against regulatory capital Difficulty: Moderate

At a board meeting of Tamsworth Bank, the finance director makes four statements about how the bank's regulatory capital relates to its risk capital.

1. Regulatory capital applies only to a few regulated industries, such as banking and insurance, where regulators are trying to protect the interests of small depositors or policyholders.

2. Regulatory capital is calculated according to a set of industrywide rules and formulas, and it sets only a minimum required level of capital adequacy.

3. If regulatory capital and risk capital are similar numbers for the bank as a whole, they will also be similar for each of the bank's business lines.

4. Because regulatory capital sets only a minimum, the Basel III rules will keep regulatory capital below economic capital for every activity, including securitization.

Which of the finance director's statements are correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Statements 1 and 2 only

Statements 1 and 2 are correct, and statements 3 and 4 are incorrect.

Regulatory capital applies only in the few industries where regulators protect small depositors or policyholders, which is statement 1. It is computed from industrywide rules and formulas and sets only a minimum level of capital adequacy, which is statement 2. Risk capital is built to capture the economic realities of the risks the firm itself runs. Because regulatory capital comes from industrywide rules, it rarely captures the true level of risk in a firm, and the gap between the two can be quite wide.

FeatureRisk capitalRegulatory capital
Where it appliesAny firm that takes riskOnly regulated industries such as banking and insurance
How it is setFrom the firm's own measurement of its risksFrom industrywide rules and formulas
What it representsA cushion sized to the risks actually runA minimum required level of capital adequacy

Statement 3 fails because equal totals for the whole bank say nothing about the business lines. Regulatory capital may suggest that an activity is much riskier than management believes, or the reverse, so the two measures can differ line by line even when the totals match.

Statement 4 fails in the direction it asserts. The Basel III requirements make it likely that for some activities, securitization being the example, regulatory capital ends up much higher than economic capital. Being a minimum does not stop a rule-based number from exceeding a risk-based one.

When regulatory capital is much larger than economic capital, the activity is likely to migrate over time to the shadow banking sector, which can price the transactions at a more attractive level. Economic capital is still calculated in that case, because senior management needs it as the benchmark of the activity's economic viability.

Note

A mismatch at business-line level creates a real allocation problem. Some practitioners resolve it by allocating to each business line the higher of its regulatory capital and its economic capital.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly accepts statement 2 but incorrectly accepts statement 4 and drops statement 1. Basel III is expected to push regulatory capital well above economic capital for some activities, securitization among them.
  • B. Correctly keeps statement 1 but incorrectly accepts statements 3 and 4 and drops statement 2. Totals that match for the whole bank can still hide large differences between business lines.
  • D. Correctly accepts statement 2 but incorrectly accepts statement 3 and drops statement 1. Regulatory capital does apply only to regulated industries, and similar firm-level totals do not imply similar line-level numbers.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 18: Risk Capital Attribution and Risk-Adjusted Performance Measurement
Learning objective
Define, compare, and contrast risk capital, economic capital, and regulatory capital, and explain methods and motivations for using economic capital approaches to allocate risk capital
Question 60

OR 19 Range of Practices and Issues in Economic Capital Frameworks

Hollin Bank allocates economic capital between a concentrated large-corporate loan book and a granular retail book. Its credit model gives each book's contribution to total economic capital, in EUR million, at two confidence levels:

BookAt 99%At 99.9%
Large corporate60150
Retail4070

Management is deciding whether to measure business-line performance at 99% or at 99.9%. The head of retail says the choice "is only a scaling decision, since both books' capital rises with the confidence level."

Which statement is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. The corporate share rises from 60% to 68.2%, so the confidence level changes how each book looks on risk-adjusted performance measures.

Moving from 99% to 99.9% raises the corporate book's share of capital from 60% to 68.2%. The farther out in the tail of the loss distribution the capital is measured, the more relative capital goes to concentrated exposures.

The corporate book's share at each level is its contribution divided by the total:

At 99%: 60 / (60 + 40) = 60 / 100 = 60.0%

At 99.9%: 150 / (150 + 70) = 150 / 220 = 68.2%

The retail share falls from 40.0% to 31.8% over the same move. The two books do not scale by the same factor: the corporate book's capital rises 2.5 times and the retail book's 1.75 times.

150 / 60 = 2.50 and 70 / 40 = 1.75

BookShare at 99%Share at 99.9%Growth factor
Large corporate60.0%68.2%2.50
Retail40.0%31.8%1.75

So the choice is not a scaling decision. The choice of risk measure and confidence level heavily influences the relative capital allocated to individual exposures or portfolios, and this can have a strategic impact: a portfolio can look better or worse on risk-adjusted performance measures than it would under an alternative choice. At 99.9% the corporate book is charged for more capital and its risk-adjusted return falls relative to retail.

The confidence level also depends on the question being answered. High confidence levels reflect the view of creditors, rating agencies and supervisors, who want enough capital to minimize bankruptcy risk.

Remember

The choice of risk measure works the same way as the choice of confidence level: the farther out in the tail the measure reaches, the more relative capital goes to concentrated exposures.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly computes the rise to 68.2% but incorrectly reverses its effect on performance. The corporate book takes a larger share of capital at 99.9%, so the move makes the corporate book look worse, and retail better, than they did at 99%.
  • C. Correctly computes the rise to 68.2% but incorrectly concludes that relative performance cannot change. The shares move from 60% and 40% to 68.2% and 31.8%, so the relative charge, and with it relative risk-adjusted performance, changes.
  • D. Incorrectly assumes both books scale by the same factor. The corporate book grows 2.5 times and the retail book 1.75 times, so the corporate share rises to 68.2%.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 19: Range of Practices and Issues in Economic Capital Frameworks
Learning objective
Within the economic capital implementation framework, describe the challenges that appear in: Defining and calculating risk measures, Risk aggregation, Validation of models, Dependency modeling in credit risk, Evaluating counterparty credit risk, Assessing interest rate risk in the banking book
Question 61

OR 20 Capital Planning at Large Bank Holding Companies

A supervisory review of Harwick Bancorp's capital adequacy process produces four findings.

1. Several loss models used in the capital plan were never independently validated, and the policies covering the process have not been updated for three years.

2. The BHC projects losses for each portfolio under its stress scenario but has no process for adding those losses up across the company.

3. The BHC has no clear definition of its available capital resources, and no documented process for estimating them.

4. The board approved the planned capital distributions without reviewing the limitations and uncertainties in the process that produced them.

Which mapping of the findings to the seven principles of an effective capital adequacy process is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 1: robust internal controls; 2: effective loss-estimation methodologies; 3: solid resource-estimation methodologies; 4: effective governance

Finding 1 is a failure of robust internal controls, finding 2 of effective loss-estimation methodologies, finding 3 of solid resource-estimation methodologies and finding 4 of effective governance. Each finding matches the wording of one of the seven principles of an effective capital adequacy process.

PrincipleWhat the BHC has
1. Sound foundational risk managementA risk-measurement and risk-management infrastructure supporting the identification, measurement, assessment and control of all material risks
2. Effective loss-estimation methodologiesProcesses translating risk measures into potential losses over a range of stressful scenarios, and aggregating those losses across the BHC
3. Solid resource-estimation methodologiesA clear definition of available capital resources and an effective process for estimating them
4. Sufficient capital adequacy impact assessmentProcesses bringing losses and capital resources together to assess the combined impact on capital adequacy against the BHC's stated capital goals
5. Comprehensive capital policy and capital planningA capital policy and planning practices for setting capital goals, deciding capital levels, composition and capital actions, and keeping capital contingency plans
6. Robust internal controlsControls over the process, including policies and procedures, change control, model validation and independent review, documentation and internal audit review
7. Effective governanceBoard and senior management oversight, including regular review of limitations and uncertainties in all aspects of the process, and approval of capital decisions

Finding 1 is two control failures: model validation and independent review, and policies and procedures. Both sit in robust internal controls.

Finding 2 is about aggregation, and the loss-estimation principle names aggregating estimated losses across the BHC in its own wording.

Finding 3 fails the resource-estimation principle twice, because the principle asks both for a clear definition of available capital resources and for an effective process for estimating them.

Finding 4 is a governance failure. Governance covers regular review of limitations and uncertainties and approval of capital decisions, and the board approved a capital decision without the review.

Note

A capital policy can be complete on paper while governance still fails, because the policy sets out how decisions should be made and governance is whether the board and senior management actually oversee and challenge them. Finding 4 would stand even if the capital policy were flawless.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly maps findings 1 and 3 but incorrectly files aggregation under capital adequacy impact assessment and board approval under capital policy. Aggregating losses across the BHC is part of the loss-estimation principle, and approval of capital decisions is part of governance.
  • B. Correctly maps findings 2 and 4 but incorrectly files finding 1 under governance and finding 3 under foundational risk management. Model validation and policies are internal controls, and the definition of available capital resources is the resource-estimation principle.
  • C. Misfiles all four findings. Each one sits under a principle whose wording does not cover it, for example model validation under governance rather than under robust internal controls.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 20: Capital Planning at Large Bank Holding Companies
Learning objective
Describe the Federal Reserve's Capital Plan Rule and explain the seven principles of an effective capital adequacy process for bank holding companies (BHCs) subject to the Capital Plan Rule
Question 62

OR 21 Capital Regulation Before the Global Financial Crisis

Difficulty: Moderate Topic: Basel I risk-weighted assets on the balance sheet

Harrowgate Bank, headquartered in an OECD country, has the following balance sheet assets (EUR million).

AssetAmount
Cash40
Bonds issued by its OECD central government260
Claims on OECD banks150
Bonds issued by an OECD municipality50
Residential mortgages carrying a full guarantee from the OECD central government120
Uninsured residential mortgages300
Commercial loans480
Consumer loans100
Total1,500

The bank has no off-balance-sheet or derivative exposures. What are Harrowgate's risk-weighted assets under Basel I, and the minimum total capital it must hold?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. RWA of EUR 770 million and minimum total capital of EUR 61.6 million

Harrowgate's EUR 1,500 million of book assets carry EUR 770 million of risk-weighted assets, and the 8% total capital minimum on that base is EUR 61.6 million.

Each asset is multiplied by its Basel I weight and the products are summed. The mortgages with a full guarantee from the OECD central government are the item to watch: an instrument carrying a full guarantee from an OECD government sits in the 0% category with the government itself, not in the 50% category for uninsured residential mortgages.

AssetAmountWeightRWA
Cash400%0
OECD central government bonds2600%0
Claims on OECD banks15020%30
OECD municipality bonds5020%10
Government-guaranteed residential mortgages1200%0
Uninsured residential mortgages30050%150
Commercial loans480100%480
Consumer loans100100%100
Total1,500770

The claims on OECD public sector entities, here the municipality, share the 20% weight with claims on OECD banks:

20% × 150 + 20% × 50 = 30 + 10 = 40

The total capital requirement is 8% of RWA:

8% × 770 = EUR 61.6 million

Of that, Tier 1 capital must be at least 4% of RWA:

4% × 770 = EUR 30.8 million

EUR 30.8 million is the Tier 1 floor within the total, not the total requirement.

Note

Without other adjustments, no on-balance-sheet position can contribute more to RWA than its book value, because the highest Basel I weight is 100%. Here the RWA is 770 / 1,500 = 51.3% of book assets, and every weight below 100% pulls the ratio further under one.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 830 comes from weighting the government-guaranteed mortgages at 50%, which adds 50% × 120 = 60 of RWA. A full guarantee from an OECD government puts the claim in the 0% category, so RWA is 770 and not 830.
  • B. Correctly computes RWA of 770 but reports the 4% Tier 1 floor as the total requirement. Total capital must reach 8% of RWA, which is 61.6.
  • D. Makes both errors. It weights the guaranteed mortgages at 50%, giving RWA of 830, and then applies the 4% Tier 1 ratio in place of the 8% total ratio, giving 4% × 830 = 33.2.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 21: Capital Regulation Before the Global Financial Crisis
Learning objective
Explain the calculation of risk-weighted assets and the capital requirement per the original Basel I guidelines
Question 63

OR 22 Solvency, Liquidity, and Other Regulation After the Global Financial Crisis

Topic: Basel 2.5 market risk capital charge Difficulty: Moderate

Castlereagh Bank uses the internal models approach for market risk and has moved to the Basel 2.5 framework. Its models produce the following 10-day measures for the current trading book (USD million):

Confidence levelLatest 10-day VaRLatest 10-day stressed VaRAverage 10-day VaR, previous 60 daysAverage 10-day stressed VaR, previous 60 days
95.0%214468196431
99.0%402915371862
99.9%5411,2364971,158

The supervisor has set the multiplier on the VaR term at 3.4 and the multiplier on the stressed VaR term at 3.0.

What is the bank's capital requirement for general market risk under Basel 2.5?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. USD 3,847.4 million

Basel 2.5 market risk capital adds two terms. Each term is the larger of the latest value and a multiple of the 60-day average, and both VaR and stressed VaR are 10-day, 99% measures:

MR = max(VaR(t-1), m(c) × VaR(avg)) + max(SVaR(t-1), m(s) × SVaR(avg))

So only the 99.0% row enters the charge. The 95.0% and 99.9% rows describe the same book at other confidence levels and play no part in the calculation.

The multiplied average VaR is:

3.4 × 371 = 1,261.4

It exceeds the latest VaR of 402 and sets the VaR term at USD 1,261.4 million.

The multiplied average stressed VaR is:

3.0 × 862 = 2,586.0

It exceeds the latest stressed VaR of 915 and sets the stressed VaR term at USD 2,586.0 million.

The charge adds the two terms:

1,261.4 + 2,586.0 = USD 3,847.4 million

TermLatest valueMultiplier x 60-day averageLarger of the two
VaR4023.4 x 371 = 1,261.41,261.4
Stressed VaR9153.0 x 862 = 2,586.02,586.0
Charge3,847.4

The latest values are above their own 60-day averages, but in both terms the multiplied average is well above them. The latest value takes over only when a single day's VaR is more than the multiplier times the recent average, which requires a sudden jump in risk.

Note

Each multiplier must be at least 3, as under the 1996 Amendment. A supervisor can set either factor above 3, as it has done here for the VaR term, but a calculation that uses a factor below 3 on either term applies a multiplier the rules do not allow.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Swaps the two multipliers, applying 3.0 to the average VaR and 3.4 to the average stressed VaR. This gives 1,113.0 + 2,930.8 = USD 4,043.8 million, which overstates the charge by USD 196.4 million.
  • C. Uses the wrong row, 99.9%, where the terms are 3.4 x 497 = 1,689.8 and 3.0 x 1,158 = 3,474.0. The sum of USD 5,163.8 million uses the wrong confidence level, since both measures in the charge are set at 99%.
  • D. Incorrectly adds the latest VaR and the latest stressed VaR, 402 + 915, without comparing either with its multiplied average. The max function in each term stops capital from falling below a multiple of the recent average.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 22: Solvency, Liquidity, and Other Regulation After the Global Financial Crisis
Learning objective
Describe and calculate the stressed VaR introduced in Basel 2.5 and calculate the market risk capital charge
Question 64

OR 23 High-Level Summary of Basel III Reforms

Topic: Initial phase against the December 2017 reforms Difficulty: Moderate

Harwell Bank's board receives a paper that splits the post-crisis Basel III program into two phases: the initial phase of reforms, and the reforms finalized in December 2017. The paper lists five measures.

1. Introducing the Liquidity Coverage Ratio and the Net Stable Funding Ratio.

2. Introducing a leverage ratio buffer for global systemically important banks (G-SIBs).

3. Introducing capital buffers that are built up in good times and can be drawn down in times of stress.

4. Adopting floors on bank-estimated inputs such as probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) under the internal ratings-based (IRB) approaches.

5. Establishing a large exposures regime.

Which assignment of the five measures is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Measures 2 and 4 belong to the December 2017 reforms, and measures 1, 3 and 5 belong to the initial phase.

Measures 1, 3 and 5 come from the initial phase of Basel III, and measures 2 and 4 come from the reforms finalized in December 2017.

The initial phase strengthened the framework in six ways. It improved the quality of regulatory capital, with a greater focus on Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital. It raised the level of capital requirements. It revised the areas of the risk-weighted framework that proved acutely miscalibrated, such as market risk, counterparty credit risk and securitization. It added macroprudential elements: capital buffers built up in good times and drawn down in stress to limit procyclicality, a large exposures regime, and a buffer for systemically important banks. It set a minimum leverage ratio. And it introduced the Liquidity Coverage Ratio and the Net Stable Funding Ratio to limit liquidity risk and maturity transformation.

The December 2017 reforms complement those improvements. They aim to restore credibility in the calculation of risk-weighted assets (RWA) and to improve the comparability of capital ratios.

MeasurePhaseWhere it sits
1. Liquidity Coverage Ratio and Net Stable Funding RatioInitial phaseInternational framework for liquidity risk and maturity transformation
2. Leverage ratio buffer for G-SIBsDecember 2017Added on top of the minimum leverage ratio from the initial phase
3. Buffers built up in good timesInitial phaseMacroprudential element to limit procyclicality
4. PD and LGD input floorsDecember 2017Part of constraining the internal model approaches
5. Large exposures regimeInitial phaseMacroprudential element for interlinkages and concentration

Measure 2 is easy to misplace. The minimum leverage ratio was set in the initial phase, but the buffer that G-SIBs must hold on top of it was added in December 2017.

Note

Most of the December 2017 package works on how RWA is calculated: more robust standardized approaches for credit risk, credit valuation adjustment (CVA) risk and operational risk, limits on internal models, and a new output floor. The leverage items in the package, the G-SIB buffer and the refinements to the leverage ratio exposure measure, work on the leverage ratio instead, which complements the risk-weighted requirements.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly moves the large exposures regime into the December 2017 package. That regime was one of the macroprudential elements of the initial phase, built to address interlinkages across institutions and concentrated exposures.
  • C. Incorrectly places the liquidity ratios and the large exposures regime in the December 2017 package and the leverage ratio buffer in the initial phase. The liquidity ratios came first, while the G-SIB leverage ratio buffer is a 2017 addition to the minimum leverage ratio.
  • D. Incorrectly treats the PD and LGD input floors as an initial-phase measure and moves the liquidity ratios and the large exposures regime into 2017. The input floors are part of how the 2017 reforms constrain internal models.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 23: High-Level Summary of Basel III Reforms
Learning objective
Explain the motivations for revising the Basel III framework and the goals and impacts of the December 2017 reforms to the Basel III framework
Question 65

OR 24 Basel III: Finalising Post-Crisis Reforms

The controller of Tamsford Bank prepares the services component (SC) of the Business Indicator. The three-year averages of the relevant profit and loss items, in EUR million, are shown below.

ItemThree-year average
Fee and commission income610
Fee and commission expenses (including 20 of outsourcing fees paid to a custodian)205
Other operating income as booked (including 25 of income from operating leases)90
Other operating expenses as booked70
Fines paid for operational loss events, not provisioned in previous years, not yet included above45
Staff expenses400

What is the SC, in EUR million?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 725

The SC takes the larger of other operating income and other operating expenses, and adds the larger of fee income and fee expenses. Nothing is netted.

The two operating lines need adjusting before the comparison. Income from operating leases is excluded from other operating income, and losses from operational loss events that were not provisioned in previous years belong in other operating expenses.

LineAs bookedAdjustmentBusiness Indicator figure
Other operating income90less 25 of operating lease income65
Other operating expenses70plus 45 of unprovisioned fines115
Fee and commission income610none610
Fee and commission expenses205none; custodian fees are financial services205
Staff expenses400excluded from the Business Indicator0

The operating term is:

max(65, 115) = 115

The fee term is:

max(610, 205) = 610

So the SC equals:

115 + 610 = 725

The adjustments matter only on the operating line, because the fee income of 610 dominates the fee expenses whatever the outsourcing fees are. On the operating line the fines turn the expense side into the larger of the two, and the larger side enters the SC.

Remember

Other operating expenses also include expenses related to establishing provisions or reserves for operational loss events, and the loss line itself covers only losses not provisioned or reserved for in previous years.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Leaves both operating lines as booked. The comparison is then max(90, 70) = 90, and 90 + 610 = 700.
  • B. Correctly removes the operating lease income but incorrectly leaves the unprovisioned fines out of other operating expenses. The comparison becomes max(65, 70) = 70, and 70 + 610 = 680.
  • C. Nets each pair instead of taking the larger item. The netted figures |65 - 115| = 50 and 610 - 205 = 405 add to 455, which is not how the SC is built.
Module
Operational Risk and Resilience
Chapter
OR 24: Basel III: Finalising Post-Crisis Reforms
Learning objective
Explain the elements of the new standardized approach to measure operational risk capital, including the business indicator, internal loss multiplier, and loss component, and calculate the operational risk capital requirement for a bank using this approach

Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management 17 questions

Liquidity risk and leverage, early warning indicators, the investment function, reserves and intraday liquidity, liquidity monitoring and stress testing, contingency funding, repo financing, transfer pricing, cross-currency funding and asset-liability management.

Question 66

LR 1 Liquidity Risk

An analyst at Lowther Bank estimates the cost of liquidating a position of 600,000 shares of Ashdown Retail in a normal market. The shares are quoted bid USD 24.70 and offer USD 25.30. The analyst values the position at the bid price, because the shares would be sold, and computes the proportional spread by dividing the dollar spread by the bid price. His report reads: "Proportional spread 2.43%. Position value USD 14.82 million. Cost of liquidation USD 180,000."

His manager reviews both reported figures. Which assessment is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. The proportional spread should be 2.40%, but the cost of liquidation of USD 180,000 is correct.

The proportional spread is measured against the mid-market price, which is halfway between the bid and the offer:

(24.70 + 25.30) / 2 = 25.00

0.60 / 25.00 = 0.0240

So the reported 2.43% is incorrect. Dividing by the bid price gives a larger figure:

0.60 / 24.70 = 0.02429

The cost of liquidation equals the proportional spread multiplied by the mid-market value of the position, divided by 2:

0.0240 × 600,000 × 25.00 / 2 = 180,000

The analyst's two errors cancel. He used a proportional spread that is too large, but he multiplied it by a value that is too small by the same factor:

0.02429 × 14,820,000 / 2 = 180,000

Both routes reduce to the number of shares multiplied by the dollar spread, divided by 2:

600,000 × 0.60 / 2 = 180,000

ItemAnalystCorrect
Denominator for the spreadBid, 24.70Mid-market price, 25.00
Proportional spread2.43%2.40%
Position value14.82 million at the bid15.00 million at the mid
Cost of liquidation180,000180,000

So the cost figure stands, but the spread figure does not. This matters whenever the proportional spread is used on its own, for example to compare the liquidity of two assets or to apply a spread estimate to a position valued at the mid-market price.

Note

The cost of liquidation does not depend on which price is used as the denominator, provided the same price values the position. The proportional spread does depend on it, and the mid-market price is the convention because it is treated as the fair price.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. 182,186 applies the bid-based spread of 2.43% to the position valued at the mid-market price. 0.02429 multiplied by USD 15,000,000 and divided by 2 overstates the cost, and the spread itself should be 2.40%.
  • C. Incorrectly accepts the 2.43% spread. The spread is measured against the mid-market price of 25.00, which gives 2.40%.
  • D. Correctly computes the 2.40% spread but incorrectly applies it to the position valued at the bid. 0.0240 multiplied by USD 14,820,000 and divided by 2 gives 177,840, which mixes two conventions.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 1: Liquidity Risk
Learning objective
Explain and calculate liquidity trading risk via cost of liquidation and liquidity-adjusted VaR (LVaR)
Question 67

LR 2 Liquidity and Leverage

Larkfield Partners, a hedge fund, has a net asset value of USD 500 million. It holds USD 300 million of cash and USD 800 million of corporate bonds, which it finances in repo at a haircut of 25%. Like most hedge funds, it has no access to wholesale funding.

At the quarter end, two things happen together.

EventDetail
1Investors ask to redeem USD 150 million of capital. The fund's gate limits withdrawals in any quarter to 10% of net asset value, and the fund invokes it.
2At rollover, the repo lender raises the haircut on the bonds from 25% to 40%. The market value of the bonds is unchanged.

How much cash must Larkfield pay out this quarter?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. USD 170 million

Larkfield must pay out USD 170 million, USD 50 million to its investors under the gate and USD 120 million to its repo lender. A hedge fund faces liquidity risk all through its capital structure, and this quarter it is hit from both sides at once.

The gate caps the payment to investors:

10% × 500 = USD 50 million

The repo loan before and after the haircut increase:

800 × (1 − 0.25) = USD 600 million

800 × (1 − 0.40) = USD 480 million

The cash the fund must hand back to the lender:

600 − 480 = USD 120 million

The total paid out:

50 + 120 = USD 170 million

Source of pressureSide of the balance sheetCash out (USD million)What limits it
Redemption requests of 150Capital50The gate, so far as the offering documents permit
Haircut raised from 25% to 40%Funding of the assets120Nothing, once the lender has set new terms
Total170

Hedge fund capital, unlike the equity of a corporation, can be withdrawn at agreed intervals, quarterly as a rule. Gates permit a suspension or limitation of withdrawal rights when investors collectively ask for more than some limit, so the gate holds the first drain to USD 50 million and leaves the other USD 100 million of requests unmet this quarter. A gate does nothing for the asset side. Hedge funds typically have no access to wholesale funding and rely on collateral markets, short positions and derivatives to take on leverage, so when a lender raises a haircut, the fund must find the cash or cut the position.

Larkfield can meet both demands from its USD 300 million of cash, which leaves it with USD 130 million. Any further redemptions it has to meet, or any further rise in haircuts, would draw on the same cash.

Remember

Hedge funds, even if only moderately leveraged, are vulnerable to the withdrawal of liquidity both by counterparties and through withdrawals of investor capital. Either can oblige the manager to unwind positions rapidly, which exposes the fund to transactions liquidity risk.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. USD 140 million incorrectly applies the 15-point rise in the haircut to the USD 600 million loan, giving 90, instead of to the USD 800 million value of the bonds. The haircut is a share of the collateral's value, so the loan falls from 600 to 480 and the fund repays 120.
  • B. USD 50 million counts only the gated redemptions, as if the gate protected the fund as a whole. The gate limits withdrawals of capital, while the higher haircut is a separate demand on the funding of the assets that adds USD 120 million.
  • D. USD 270 million incorrectly pays the full USD 150 million of redemption requests and ignores the gate the fund has invoked. With withdrawals limited to 10% of net asset value, investors receive USD 50 million this quarter, so the total is 170.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 2: Liquidity and Leverage
Learning objective
Differentiate between sources of liquidity risk and describe specific challenges faced by different types of financial institutions in managing liquidity risk
Question 68

LR 3 Early Warning Indicators

Corvallis Bank sorts its early warning indicators (EWIs) on a two-by-two grid. One axis asks whether a signal originates within the bank or outside it. The other asks whether it belongs to the "main street" economy of loans, borrowers and countries, or to "Wall Street" financial markets. Four signals have appeared this quarter:

1. Loans to small businesses more than 30 days past due have risen from 1.8% to 2.9% of the bank's small business book.

2. Repo lenders have raised the haircut they apply to the bank's own collateral from 4% to 7%, while the haircuts they apply to peer banks posting the same type of collateral are unchanged.

3. The national unemployment rate has risen from 3.9% to 5.1%.

4. Net outflows from money market funds across the industry have accelerated.

Which classification is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Signals 3 and 4 sit outside the bank, and signal 2 is a Wall Street signal that originates within the bank.

Signal 2 is observed in a financial market, but it is a verdict on the bank alone. Repo lenders charged this bank 3 percentage points more in haircut:

7% − 4% = 3 percentage points

while the haircuts they charge peer banks did not move. A move that the market applies to one bank and not to its peers measures that bank's own condition, so signal 2 sits in the within-the-bank row on the Wall Street side. It sits beside the grid's own example for that cell, increased debt spreads, which are also quoted in the market and also measure the bank's own standing. Typical industry lists also carry the repo haircut among the bank-specific liquidity metrics.

The other three place directly. Signal 1 is deteriorating asset quality in the bank's own loans, a main street signal from within the bank:

2.9% − 1.8% = 1.1 percentage points

Signal 3 is a change in the wider economy, outside the bank on the main street side:

5.1% − 3.9% = 1.2 percentage points

Signal 4 is a funding market event across the industry, outside the bank on the Wall Street side.

"Main street""Wall Street"
Within the bankSignal 1 (grid example: deteriorating asset quality)Signal 2 (grid example: increased debt spreads)
Outside the bankSignal 3 (grid example: country default)Signal 4 (grid example: asset class liquidity failure)

Keeping both rows on the dashboard matters because liquidity events can start within the bank, or can be driven by the environment the bank operates in, so a sound suite strikes a balance between the two.

Remember

The test for the row is whose condition the signal measures, not where the number is quoted. The bank's own debt spreads are quoted in the market and still sit within the bank, and typical industry lists carry the repo haircut among bank-specific liquidity metrics.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly places signals 3 and 4 and the row of signal 2 but incorrectly puts signal 2 on the main street side. A repo haircut is set in a financial market, so it belongs on the Wall Street side.
  • C. Incorrectly puts signal 2 outside the bank because it is set in a market. The haircut moved for this bank alone, so it measures the bank's own standing and originates within the bank.
  • D. Incorrectly limits the within-the-bank row to the loan book. Signal 2 is a market measure of this bank alone, so only signals 3 and 4 sit outside the bank.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 3: Early Warning Indicators
Learning objective
Evaluate the characteristics of sound Early Warning Indicators (EWI) measures
Question 69

LR 4 The Investment Function in Financial-Services Management

Ellison Savings Bank's investment portfolio holds the following positions today.

PositionOriginal maturityTime remaining to maturityAmount (USD million)
1. U.S. Treasury note5 years8 months35
2. Federal agency note3 years15 months20
3. Commercial paper60 days60 days15
4. Tax-anticipation note issued by a county9 months9 months10
5. U.S. Treasury bond20 years26 months30
6. Eurocurrency deposit30 days30 days20

The board wants to know what share of the portfolio is held in money market instruments today.

What is that share, to one decimal place?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 61.5%

Money market instruments reach maturity within one year, and capital market instruments have remaining maturities beyond one year. The dividing line is the time a security has left to run, so a Treasury note issued with a five-year life joins the money market group once it is inside its final year.

PositionTime remainingClassification todayMoney market amount (USD million)
1. Treasury note8 monthsMoney market35
2. Federal agency note15 monthsCapital market0
3. Commercial paper60 daysMoney market15
4. Tax-anticipation note9 monthsMoney market10
5. Treasury bond26 monthsCapital market0
6. Eurocurrency deposit30 daysMoney market20

The money market total is:

35 + 15 + 10 + 20 = 80

The full portfolio is:

35 + 20 + 15 + 10 + 30 + 20 = 130

The money market share is:

80 / 130 = 61.5%

The tax-anticipation note is a short-term municipal obligation. A county issued it, but its 9-month maturity places it in the money market group alongside commercial paper and Eurocurrency deposits. The agency note goes the other way: federal agency securities are listed among money market instruments, but the one-year rule still decides, and this note has 15 months to run, so its remaining maturity places it in the capital market group.

Remember

The classification moves with the calendar. Treasury notes and bonds are issued with long original maturities, and they are considered money market instruments once they come within one year of maturity. The Treasury bond in position 5 still has 26 months to run, so it counts as a capital market instrument today and moves into the money market group once it has a year or less left, about 14 months from now, without anything about the bond itself changing.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 34.6% comes from classifying the positions by original maturity, which drops the Treasury note and leaves 15 + 10 + 20 = 45 of 130. With only 8 months left to run, the note belongs in the money market group today.
  • B. 76.9% counts the agency note as a money market holding even though it still has 15 months to run. Its remaining maturity is beyond one year, so adding its 20 to reach 100 of 130 overstates the share.
  • C. Treating the tax-anticipation note as a capital market instrument because a county issued it gives 70 of 130, or 53.8%. Short-term municipal obligations are money market instruments, and this note matures in 9 months.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 4: The Investment Function in Financial-Services Management
Learning objective
Compare various money market and capital market instruments and discuss their advantages and disadvantages
Question 70

LR 5 Liquidity and Reserves Management: Strategies and Policies

Market interest rates rise sharply over a quarter. Thornbury Bank had planned to cover an expected liquidity deficit of USD 50 million by selling bonds it carries at USD 50 million and, if needed, by borrowing in the money market. The rate rise cuts the market value of those bonds by 4%. At the same time, lenders begin to see the bank as more risky than before after it reports weaker earnings. The chief risk officer asks how the rate rise and the change in lenders' view affect the bank's two planned routes to liquidity.

Which description is consistent with how interest rate risk and availability risk act on liquidity management?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Bond sales raise fewer liquid funds and the losses cut earnings, and borrowing costs more, with some lenders refusing to lend at all.

Liquidity management is exposed to two risks: interest rate risk, the risk that interest rates will change, and availability risk, the risk that liquid funds will not be available in the volume needed. Both act on Thornbury here. The rate rise cuts the value of the bonds and raises the cost of borrowing, and on the borrowing route some forms of borrowed liquidity may no longer be available, while some lenders refuse to lend at all.

Route to liquidityWhat the rate rise and the lenders' view do
Selling bondsBond prices fall as market interest rates rise, so fewer liquid funds are raised, some bonds must be sold at a loss, and the losses reduce earnings
Borrowing in the money marketBorrowing costs more as interest rates rise, some forms of borrowed liquidity may no longer be available, and lenders who see the bank as more risky charge higher interest rates or refuse to lend

On the asset route, the rate rise works through prices. The bank planned to sell bonds to raise cash, and a bond's market value falls when interest rates rise. The bonds carried at USD 50 million now raise only:

50 × (1 − 4%) = 48

So the same sale leaves USD 2 million of the deficit uncovered, and the realized loss comes out of earnings as well:

50 − 48 = 2

On the liability route, the rate rise and the lenders' view act together. Borrowed liquidity costs more as interest rates rise. A lender who believes the bank is more risky than before charges a higher interest rate to compensate, and some lenders will simply refuse to make liquid funds available at all.

Remember

A rate rise that cuts the value of the assets a bank planned to sell also raises what it pays to borrow, so both routes to liquidity become more expensive at the same time.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly describes the borrowing route but incorrectly claims the bond sale raises more funds. Rising yields mean falling bond prices, so the sale raises fewer funds and realizes losses.
  • B. Correctly describes the bond sale but incorrectly makes borrowing cheaper. Higher interest rates and a riskier view of the bank raise the cost of borrowing and can lead some lenders to refuse to lend at all.
  • D. Reverses both routes. Rising interest rates lower bond prices and raise borrowing costs, and lenders who see more risk lend less.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 5: Liquidity and Reserves Management: Strategies and Policies
Learning objective
Calculate a bank's net liquidity position and explain factors that affect the supply and demand of liquidity at a bank
Question 71

LR 6 Intraday Liquidity Risk Management

Elmhurst Bank keeps a nostro account at a correspondent bank, which requires a target average monthly balance of EUR 50 million as part of its compensation for banking services. The average is measured over the daily closing balances of a 30-day month. After 20 days the average closing balance has been EUR 46 million. What average closing balance must the account carry over the remaining 10 days to meet the target, and why does the bank manage the account to this target?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. EUR 58 million, because the balance is part of the compensation the bank provides for the correspondent's services.

Banks manage the cash they place in correspondent bank accounts to a target average monthly balance, as part of the compensation provided to the correspondent for its banking services. The target is an average over the month, so the shortfall of the first 20 days must be made up within the remaining 10.

The month needs this total of daily balances:

50 × 30 = 1500

The first 20 days supplied:

46 × 20 = 920

The remaining 10 days must supply:

(1500 − 920) / 10 = 58

PeriodDaysAverage (EUR millions)Total
First part of the month2046920
Remaining days1058580
Month30501,500

The target exists because of compensation, not regulation. Historically banks managed their balances down to the minimums called for by two things: reserve requirement regulations, which applied at their Federal Reserve accounts, and compensation arrangements for services provided by correspondent banks. A nostro account at a correspondent falls under the second. Nostro balances are replenished or drawn down daily, and on any given day the account can act as a source or a use of intraday liquidity.

Note

The shortfall of EUR 4 million a day over 20 days is EUR 80 million in total. Spread over 10 days, that is EUR 8 million a day above the target, which is why the remaining average is 58 and not 54.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly finds EUR 58 million but incorrectly attributes the target to reserve requirement regulations. Reserve requirements applied at Federal Reserve accounts, while a correspondent balance is managed as compensation for the correspondent's services.
  • C. Incorrectly recovers the shortfall only once and incorrectly attributes the target to reserve requirements. The required average is EUR 58 million, and the target is part of the compensation for the correspondent's services.
  • D. Correctly states the purpose of the balance but incorrectly adds the EUR 4 million daily shortfall only once, giving EUR 54 million. The shortfall built up over 20 days must be recovered in 10, so it is doubled to EUR 8 million a day.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 6: Intraday Liquidity Risk Management
Learning objective
Identify and explain the uses and sources of intraday liquidity
Question 72

LR 7 Monitoring Liquidity

The treasury team at Ashcombe Bank is sorting its future cash flows into the categories used for liquidity monitoring. Three items are on the list for the coming year, and every counterparty involved is treated as default risk free.

  • Item 1: the payout on a one-touch option that Ashcombe bought from a dealer, which pays EUR 2 million if an equity index touches a barrier before expiry.
  • Item 2: drawdowns that Ashcombe itself may make on a EUR 150 million committed credit line it has received from another bank.
  • Item 3: drawdowns that a corporate client may make on a EUR 80 million committed credit line that Ashcombe has granted.

All three can occur at any time before the relevant contract ends. Which option classifies the amount of each item correctly?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. Item 1 fixed; Item 2 fixed; Item 3 behavioral.

The payout on a one-touch option is a sum set by the contract. Ashcombe receives EUR 2 million when the index breaches the barrier, so the amount follows directly from the contract's terms. What is unknown today is the moment the barrier is touched. So the cash flow is fixed in amount and stochastic in time.

Drawdowns on a line the bank has received are also fixed in amount. The amount depends on a choice made by the bank itself, and it can be taken as some level between zero and the line's limit, chosen according to the bank's needs. The timing is stochastic because the bank's own liquidity needs can arise at any moment until the line expires.

Drawdowns on a line the bank has granted belong to a different category. The amount now depends on a decision made by the client, which can only be loosely predicted. So the amount is behavioral, uncertain within the limits of the line. The timing is again stochastic.

ItemWho decides or what sets the amountAmountTime
One-touch payoutContract terms, a set sumFixedStochastic
Drawdowns on a line receivedThe bank's own choice, up to the limitFixedStochastic
Drawdowns on a line grantedThe client's decisionBehavioralStochastic
Note

The same contract, a committed credit line, lands in two different amount categories depending on which side of it the bank sits. When the bank holds the line, the bank chooses the amount. When the bank has granted it, the client chooses, and the cash flow becomes behavioral.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Correctly treats the client's drawdowns as behavioral but incorrectly classifies the other two items. The one-touch payout is a set sum, and the bank's own drawdowns follow the bank's choice rather than a client's behavior.
  • C. Correctly treats the one-touch payout as fixed but incorrectly swaps the two credit lines. The bank decides how much it draws on a line it has received, and the client decides on a line the bank has granted.
  • D. Incorrectly treats the one-touch payout as indexed/contingent and the client's drawdowns as fixed. The one-touch pays a set sum, and a client's drawdowns depend on the client's own decisions.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 7: Monitoring Liquidity
Learning objective
Differentiate between deterministic and stochastic cash flows and provide examples of each
Question 73

LR 8 The Failure Mechanics of Dealer Banks

Kestrel Securities, a dealer bank, intermediates in the repo market and lends cash to hedge funds that want to finance their bond purchases. It lends the hedge fund Brightwater Partners USD 170 million in an overnight repo, secured by corporate bonds, and applies a haircut of 15% to the bonds. Brightwater defaults the next morning. Kestrel sells the bonds at prices 30% below their market value when the repo was agreed. Ignoring interest and transaction costs, and assuming nothing is recovered from Brightwater beyond the collateral, what loss does Kestrel suffer?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. USD 30.00 million

A haircut is the part of the collateral's market value that the repo lender does not lend. At a 15% haircut, each USD 100 of bonds supports a loan of USD 85, so the USD 170 million loan was secured by bonds worth:

170 / (1 − 15%) = 170 / 0.85 = USD 200 million

Kestrel sells the bonds at 30% below that value:

200 × (1 − 30%) = USD 140 million

It recovers USD 140 million of the USD 170 million it lent, so its loss is:

170 − 140 = USD 30 million

ItemUSD million
Market value of the bonds when the repo was agreed200
Cash lent170
Haircut cushion, 200 x 15%30
Fall in the value of the bonds, 200 x 30%60
Sale proceeds140
Loss to Kestrel30

Check: the cushion of USD 30 million absorbs the first USD 30 million of the USD 60 million fall in the value of the bonds, and Kestrel bears the remaining USD 30 million.

Lending cash in repo exposes the dealer to the risk that the borrower fails to perform on the loan. The haircut, which reflects the risk or liquidity of the securities, mitigates that performance risk. It protects the lender to some degree from fluctuations in the market value of the collateral, but only up to the size of the cushion. A fall in value larger than the haircut leaves the lender with a loss.

Note

A haircut of 10% lets a borrower raise USD 90 million against securities with a market value of USD 100 million. Collateral that has to be sold in a hurry, to buyers who know the seller needs to sell quickly, can fetch much lower prices than an orderly sale would, so the cushion is tested against the price the lender can actually get.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. USD 33.15 million treats the haircut as a markup on the loan, 170 x 1.15 = 195.5, then 195.5 x 0.70 = 136.85 and 170 - 136.85 = 33.15. The haircut is a share of the collateral's market value, so the bonds were worth 170 / 0.85 = 200.
  • C. USD 25.50 million is 170 x (30% - 15%). Incorrectly applies the excess of the price fall over the haircut to the cash lent, when both percentages apply to the bonds' market value of USD 200 million, which gives 200 x 15% = 30.
  • D. USD 60.00 million is 200 x 30%, the full fall in the value of the bonds. Incorrectly ignores the USD 30 million haircut cushion, which absorbs the first part of the fall before the lender loses anything.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 8: The Failure Mechanics of Dealer Banks
Learning objective
Compare and contrast the major lines of business in which dealer banks operate and the risk factors they face in each line of business
Question 74

LR 9 Liquidity Stress Testing

During a review of Halvergate Bank's liquidity stress testing policy, two board members disagree about what the test is built to measure.

  • Director 1: "The buffer is made of securities we would sell or pledge under stress, so the test is really a measure of asset liquidity risk, the risk of losses when we try to turn those securities into cash."
  • Director 2: "The test measures funding liquidity risk. Asset liquidity is a market risk question for a separate model, so the stress test can leave it out."

Which assessment of the two positions is best supported?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Neither is fully right: the test measures funding liquidity risk, but asset liquidity still counts because it affects what asset sales can raise.

Neither director's position is supported in full. The objective of the liquidity stress test is to measure the amount of liquidity the institution must maintain to keep meeting its financial obligations under stressed conditions. For that purpose "liquidity" means funding liquidity risk, the risk that the institution will not have adequate capacity to fund its obligations without incurring unacceptable economic losses.

Asset liquidity risk is a different risk: the risk of incurring losses because assets are difficult to convert into cash. It is not the objective of the test. It must still be carefully considered inside the test, because it affects how much funding can be made available from the sale of assets.

A simple illustration shows why it cannot be left out. Suppose USD 100 million of securities can be sold under stress only at a 6% discount. The cash they raise is:

USD 100 million × (1 − 6%) = USD 94 million

A model that ignores asset liquidity would count USD 100 million of funding from these securities, which overstates the funding available by:

USD 100 million - USD 94 million = USD 6 million

DirectorClaimAssessment
Director 1The test measures asset liquidity riskIncorrect. The test measures funding liquidity risk, and asset sales are one way that funding is raised
Director 2Asset liquidity can be left out of the testIncorrect. Asset liquidity affects the funding available from asset sales, so it must be considered in the test
Remember

The output of the test is a funding answer, the contingent liquidity the bank must hold to meet its obligations under stress. Asset liquidity enters as an input, through the cash each asset can actually raise.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly takes asset liquidity risk as the objective of the test. The test measures funding liquidity risk, and selling or pledging securities is one source of the funding it measures.
  • B. Incorrectly makes asset liquidity the objective and moves funding liquidity outside the test. Measuring funding capacity under stress is the test's own objective, and its results provide a foundation for the contingency funding plan.
  • C. Correctly identifies funding liquidity risk as the objective but incorrectly leaves asset liquidity out. Asset liquidity must be considered in the test because it affects how much funding asset sales can raise.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 9: Liquidity Stress Testing
Learning objective
Differentiate between various types of liquidity, including funding, operational, strategic, contingent, and restricted liquidity
Question 75

LR 10 Liquidity Risk Reporting and Stress Testing

Glenmore Bank's deposit tracker report includes a breakdown of customer deposits by account type and tenor. For its retail banking division the balances are (GBP million):

Current accountsRolling depositsFixed term: 1 monthFixed term: 3 monthsFixed term: 6 monthsFixed term: 12 months
140.01,120.012.034.076.018.0

The head of treasury asks what share of retail deposits sits in current accounts and rolling deposits, and what that implies for the bank's regulatory liquidity metrics. Which answer is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. 90.0%; these count as short-term liabilities, so moving them into fixed-term or notice accounts would improve the metrics

Total retail deposits are:

140.0 + 1,120.0 + 12.0 + 34.0 + 76.0 + 18.0 = 1,400.0

Current accounts and rolling deposits together are:

140.0 + 1,120.0 = 1,260.0

So their share is:

1,260.0 / 1,400.0 = 90.0%

Account typeBalanceShare of retail deposits
Current accounts140.010.0%
Rolling deposits1,120.080.0%
Fixed-term deposits, all tenors140.010.0%
Total1,400.0100.0%

For regulatory purposes, current accounts and rolling deposits are treated as short-term liabilities and do not assist the bank's regulatory liquidity metrics, which emphasize long-term funds. The local regulator may allow the bank to treat overnight balances as longer term if they can be shown to be acting as such in behavioral terms, but that treatment must be demonstrated and is not automatic.

So it can be worthwhile for the bank to run a marketing exercise to see whether customers would move deposits into fixed-term or notice accounts. Any increase in those accounts improves the bank's liquidity metrics.

Remember

The breakdown by type and tenor tells Treasury about the trend in the deposit base as well as its size. A retail book that is 90% current accounts and rolling deposits can be large and stable in practice and still count as short-term funding in the regulatory metrics.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 80.0% is the rolling deposits alone, 1,120.0 / 1,400.0. Incorrectly leaves out the GBP 140.0 million of current accounts, which are also short-term liabilities for regulatory purposes.
  • C. 80.0% leaves out the current accounts, and the conclusion incorrectly treats rolling deposits as long-term funds. Both current accounts and rolling deposits count as short-term liabilities, so 90.0% of the book does not help the regulatory metrics.
  • D. Correctly computes 90.0% but incorrectly treats rolling deposits as long-term funds. For regulatory purposes current accounts and rolling deposits are short-term liabilities, unless the regulator accepts behavioral evidence that they act as longer-term funds.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 10: Liquidity Risk Reporting and Stress Testing
Learning objective
Compare and interpret different types of liquidity risk reports
Question 76

LR 11 Contingency Funding Planning

Ingleby Bank's contingency funding plan, or CFP, was written by the treasury team as a stand-alone document. It has its own escalation contacts, its own approval steps and its own crisis call list, none of which match the bank's enterprise risk management framework, its capital management process or its business continuity and crisis management plan. The chief risk officer asks four managers what bringing the CFP into those frameworks would achieve. Which answer is consistent with sound CFP design?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. The CFP could leverage controls and processes already established, raising its effectiveness and its consistency with the rest of the firm.

The contingency funding plan, or CFP, is not a stand-alone tool. It is an integrated part of the bank's liquidity risk management framework and of its firm-wide risk management frameworks, which include enterprise risk management, capital management, and business continuity and crisis management. Integrating the CFP with these other components increases its effectiveness and consistency, because it can leverage and reference controls and processes that are already established.

FrameworkWhat integration with it gives the CFP
Enterprise risk management and capital managementEstablished controls and processes the CFP can reference
Business continuity and crisis managementReinforced operational and communication protocols during a crisis

Ingleby's stand-alone plan shows the cost of the opposite. In a crisis, two call lists and two approval paths would compete, and the people running the business continuity plan would not know the CFP's escalation contacts.

Integration does not make the CFP disappear into another plan. The CFP keeps its own scenarios, menu of contingent actions and escalation levels, and the other frameworks supply the controls, protocols and links it relies on.

Note

Integration lets Ingleby's plan leverage and reference controls and processes the bank has already established, and its links to business continuity and crisis management reinforce the operational and communication protocols used in a crisis.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly has the CFP give up its escalation levels inside the capital plan. Capital management is one framework the CFP integrates with, and integration does not merge the CFP into the capital plan.
  • B. Incorrectly has the CFP replace the business continuity plan. Linking the two reinforces operational and communication protocols in a crisis, and each plan still does its own job.
  • D. Incorrectly limits the value of integration to smaller banks. Smaller institutions have typically included their CFPs in broader business continuity plans, but integration with the broader frameworks is a design consideration for every sound CFP.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 11: Contingency Funding Planning
Learning objective
Describe best practices in the design of a sound contingency funding plan
Question 77

LR 12 Managing Nondeposit Liabilities

Rexley National is one of the largest depository institutions in the United States. A corporate customer moves USD 40 million out of its checking account at Rexley into a new 120-day negotiable CD issued by Rexley. No new money enters the bank. Assume legal reserve requirements of 10% on checking accounts at the largest depository institutions and zero on CDs. How much additional loanable funds does Rexley gain, and how does the move affect the stability of the funding?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. USD 4 million, and the funding is likely to be more stable, because the CD normally will not be withdrawn until it matures.

The net result of a CD sale is often a simple transfer of funds from one deposit to another inside the same institution, and the bank still gains loanable funds. While the money sat in checking, 10% of it had to be held as legal reserves. As a CD it carries no reserve requirement. So that slice is released for lending.

Reserves held against the checking balance before the move:

USD 40 million × 10% = USD 4 million

Reserves held against the CD after the move:

USD 40 million × 0% = USD 0

Checking accountNegotiable CD
BalanceUSD 40 millionUSD 40 million
Reserve requirement10%0%
Required reservesUSD 4 millionUSD 0
Can the holder withdraw early?At any timeNormally not until maturity

Stability is also likely to improve. Checkable deposits can be withdrawn at any time, while the CD normally stays until it matures. Negotiable CDs can be sold in the secondary market to provide corporate customers with liquidity, and a sale changes only who holds the CD, while the CD itself normally will not be withdrawn from Rexley until it matures.

The drawback is interest rate sensitivity. The interest rates on the largest negotiable CDs are sensitive to market conditions. So the bank must work harder to combat volatile earnings and make aggressive use of rate-hedging techniques.

Note

Only the reserve slice is new lending capacity. The other USD 36 million was already available to lend while it sat in the checking account, so counting the full USD 40 million treats a transfer inside the bank as if new money had arrived.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. USD 40 million is the size of the CD. Incorrectly counts the full transfer as new loanable funds, although only the USD 4 million of released reserves is new lending capacity.
  • C. USD 40 million counts the transfer as new money, and the option also incorrectly treats secondary market sales as early withdrawals. The gain is USD 4 million, and the CD normally stays until maturity.
  • D. Correctly finds USD 4 million but incorrectly treats negotiability as a threat to the bank's funding. A secondary market sale changes who holds the CD, and the funds stay with Rexley until maturity.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 12: Managing Nondeposit Liabilities
Learning objective
Distinguish between the various sources of non-deposit liabilities at a bank
Question 78

LR 13 Repurchase Agreements and Financing

Fenwick Fund lends USD 47.5 million in a one-month repo to a broker-dealer against US Treasury notes with a market value of USD 50.0 million. The agreement carries the usual margin call provision. Ten days later the notes are marked at USD 48.6 million. Fenwick's operations analyst argues that no margin call is needed, because USD 48.6 million of collateral still exceeds the USD 47.5 million loan. What should Fenwick do?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. Call for USD 1.4 million of additional collateral, restoring USD 50.0 million of collateral against the USD 47.5 million loan

Fenwick lends USD 47.5 million against USD 50.0 million of notes, so the haircut gives it USD 2.5 million more collateral than it has lent. The haircut is set at the start. The margin call keeps that protection in place as prices move, and through it the borrower of cash supplies extra collateral in a declining market.

The fall in the value of the notes is:

USD 50.0 million - USD 48.6 million = USD 1.4 million

So the borrower posts USD 1.4 million of additional collateral, and Fenwick again holds USD 50.0 million of collateral against its USD 47.5 million loan.

PositionBefore the fallAfter the fall, no callAfter the call
Collateral (USD million)50.048.650.0
Loan (USD million)47.547.547.5
Excess of collateral over loan (USD million)2.51.12.5

The analyst's argument treats the haircut as a buffer to be used up. The haircut exists for the case where the borrower defaults at the same time as the collateral falls, and with no call Fenwick would enter that case with USD 1.1 million of protection rather than USD 2.5 million.

The mechanism also works the other way. In a rising market the borrower may withdraw collateral.

Remember

The haircut sets the cushion and the margin call keeps it. A lender that waits for collateral to fall below the loan before calling has given up the cushion it negotiated.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. USD 2.5 million is the original haircut, not the fall in value. Incorrectly asks for the cushion in full when USD 1.1 million of it is still in place, so Fenwick would hold USD 51.1 million of collateral.
  • C. Correctly notes that USD 48.6 million still exceeds the loan but incorrectly treats the haircut as a buffer that may be used up. The call restores the USD 2.5 million of excess collateral the agreement set.
  • D. USD 1.33 million equals 1.4 x 95%. Incorrectly applies the haircut to the margin call, which leaves the collateral at USD 49.93 million rather than USD 50.0 million.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 13: Repurchase Agreements and Financing
Learning objective
Describe the mechanics of repurchase agreements (repos) and calculate the settlement for a repo transaction
Question 79

LR 14 Liquidity Transfer Pricing: A Guide to Better Practice

Yarrowby Bank holds USD 600 million of demand deposits. Pooling similar accounts and modeling their cash flows, it finds 65% is rarely withdrawn, with a behavioral maturity of three years, while the rest is withdrawn more often and behaves like overnight money. Its term liquidity premiums are 0.5 basis points (bps) overnight and 5, 18 and 40 bps for one, three and five years; its average cost of funds is 9 bps. The bank is moving to credit deposits under the matched-maturity marginal cost of funds approach. Which annual credit to the deposit-raising unit follows better practice?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. USD 712,500, crediting the stable part at the three-year premium and the volatile part at the overnight premium.

Demand deposits are hot or volatile money and indeterminate-maturity products, and they can be withdrawn at any time without notice. Pooled and modeled over time, though, a portion is rarely withdrawn and forms a stable, or core, part, while the rest is the hot or volatile part. Better practice credits the core more, using its modeled behavioral maturity, and credits the volatile part less; here the volatile part behaves like overnight money, so it takes the overnight premium.

PartBalancePremiumCredit
Core, three-year behavioral maturityUSD 390 million18 bpsUSD 702,000
VolatileUSD 210 million0.5 bpsUSD 10,500
TotalUSD 600 millionUSD 712,500

The core balance and its credit are:

65% × USD 600 million = USD 390 million

USD 390 million × 0.0018 = USD 702,000

The volatile part and its credit are:

USD 210 million × 0.00005 = USD 10,500

USD 702,000 + USD 10,500 = USD 712,500

Applying the matched-maturity approach mechanically to the contractual maturity would credit every demand deposit at the overnight premium, which is likely very close to zero. The bank would obtain the funding cheaply, and units would be discouraged from raising it.

Remember

An average cost approach gives no incentive to separate core from volatile funding, because every deposit earns the same credit whatever its maturity.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. USD 30,000 incorrectly credits the full balance at the overnight premium, from the contractual maturity. This ignores the modeled core and discourages units from raising demand deposits.
  • C. USD 891,000 incorrectly credits the volatile part at the 9 bps average, USD 702,000 + USD 210 million x 0.0009. The volatile part behaves like overnight money, so under matched-maturity pricing it earns the overnight premium; crediting it the 9 bps average mixes in an approach that ignores maturity and overpays volatile funding.
  • D. USD 540,000 incorrectly falls back on the average cost of funds. The average makes no distinction between core and volatile funding, which is the distinction better practice draws.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 14: Liquidity Transfer Pricing: A Guide to Better Practice
Learning objective
Compare the various approaches to liquidity transfer pricing (zero cost, average cost, and matched-maturity marginal cost)
Question 80

LR 15 The US Dollar Shortage in Global Banking and the International Policy Response

A risk analyst at Corrigan Bank is writing the background section of a funding risk report. She has the following figures for banks' consolidated foreign claims:

  • The outstanding stock of all banks' foreign claims was USD 10 trillion at the beginning of 2000 and USD 34 trillion by end-2007.
  • Year-on-year growth in foreign claims was around 10% in 2001 and approached 30% by mid-2007.

She drafts four summary sentences for the report. Which sentence is accurate?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. Foreign claims rose to 3.4 times their starting level, an increase of 240%, with growth accelerating; for some European banking systems, dollar and other non-euro positions were more than half the rise in foreign assets.

The multiple of the starting stock is:

34 / 10 = 3.4

The percentage increase is the multiple minus one:

(34 − 10) / 10 = 240%

The rise was large even when scaled by global economic activity, and it accelerated: annual growth went from around 10% in 2001 to close to 30% by mid-2007. It took place during a period of financial innovation, which included the emergence of structured finance, the spread of universal banking combining commercial banking with investment banking and proprietary trading, and strong growth in the hedge fund industry, to which banks offer prime brokerage and other services.

Banking systemsForeign claims, 2000 to mid-2007
SwissFrom roughly five times Swiss nominal GDP to more than seven times
Dutch, French, German and UKExpanded considerably
Canadian, Japanese and USGrew in absolute terms but did not significantly outpace domestic or world GDP

Much of the increase for some European banking systems reflected greater intra-euro area lending after the single currency arrived in 1999. But their estimated US dollar and other non-euro positions accounted for more than half of the overall increase in their foreign assets between end-2000 and mid-2007. So a large part of the expansion was in dollars and other non-euro currencies, and the dollar assets it created had to be funded.

Note

As balance sheets grew, so did banks' appetite for dollar claims on non-banks, including retail and corporate loans, loans to hedge funds and structured finance products. Their high ratings made the risk look low during the build-up, and in the crisis they became the main source of mark-to-market losses.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly computes the multiple and the increase but incorrectly makes intra-euro area lending the main source of the European rise. Dollar and other non-euro positions accounted for more than half of it.
  • B. Incorrectly reads 3.4 times as a 340% increase and incorrectly makes intra-euro area lending the main source of the European rise. A stock that rises to 3.4 times its starting level has increased by 240%, and dollar and other non-euro positions were more than half of the rise for some European systems.
  • D. 340% is the multiple of 3.4 read as an increase. A stock that rises to 3.4 times its starting level has increased by 240%, so 340% counts the starting stock as part of the increase.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 15: The US Dollar Shortage in Global Banking and the International Policy Response
Learning objective
Identify the causes of the US dollar shortage during the Great Financial Crisis
Question 81

LR 16 Covered Interest Parity Lost: Understanding the Cross-Currency Basis

A corporate treasurer at Larchmont Industries plans to borrow euros against US dollars for one year through an FX swap. The spot exchange rate is USD 1.1000 per euro. The one-year US dollar interest rate is 3.0% and the one-year euro interest rate is 1.0%, both simple annual rates in the cash money markets. Before calling dealers, the treasurer works out the forward rate and the forward points that covered interest parity, or CIP, would imply, quoting points in units of USD 0.0001. What forward rate and forward points does CIP imply?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. USD 1.1218 per euro, 218 forward points, because the forward rate equals the spot rate multiplied by (1 + 3.0%) / (1 + 1.0%)

CIP is the no-arbitrage condition that interest rates on two otherwise identical assets in two currencies are equal once the foreign currency risk is hedged. With S as the spot rate in US dollars per unit of foreign currency, r as the US dollar interest rate and r* as the foreign currency interest rate, it reads:

F / S = (1 + r) / (1 + r*)

So the forward rate is:

1.1000 × 1.03 / 1.01 = 1.1218

The forward points are the forward rate less the spot rate, expressed in units of USD 0.0001:

(1.12178 − 1.1000) / 0.0001 = 218

The euro trades at a forward premium against the dollar because the dollar pays the higher interest rate. A party that swaps dollars into euros gives up the 3.0% dollar rate and earns only the 1.0% euro rate, and the higher dollar price at which it sells the euros back forward makes up the difference.

RouteForward rate, USD per euroForward points
CIP: S x (1 + r) / (1 + r*)1.1218218
Rates inverted: S x (1 + r*) / (1 + r)1.0786-214
Linear shortcut: S + S x (r - r*)1.1220220
Forward set equal to spot1.10000
Note

The linear shortcut S x (r - r*) skips the division by (1 + r*), so at these rates it gives 220 points instead of 218. The exact ratio is the form CIP states, and the shortcut is only an approximation of it.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats a hedged position as one with no forward points. CIP sets the forward rate so that the hedged returns are equal, and that requires a forward rate different from spot whenever the two interest rates differ.
  • B. Incorrectly inverts the interest rate ratio. With S quoted in US dollars per euro, the dollar interest rate belongs in the numerator, so the currency with the higher interest rate trades at a forward discount.
  • C. 220 points comes from the linear shortcut S x (r - r*). It incorrectly skips the division by (1 + r*), which takes the CIP points down to 218.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 16: Covered Interest Parity Lost: Understanding the Cross-Currency Basis
Learning objective
Differentiate between the mechanics of foreign exchange (FX) swaps and cross-currency swaps
Question 82

LR 17 Risk Management for Changing Interest Rates: Asset-Liability Management and Duration Techniques

Halsworth Bank holds USD 400 million of fixed-rate government bonds that its treasurer plans to sell in six months to fund a branch expansion. Over the same six months, USD 250 million of its short-term business loans will mature and the proceeds will be lent again at the market interest rates prevailing then. A risk analyst is asked to describe which form of interest rate risk each position carries and the direction of interest rate change that would hurt it. Which description is accurate?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. The bonds carry price risk, which hurts if interest rates rise; the maturing loans carry reinvestment risk, which hurts if interest rates fall.

Price risk arises when market interest rates rise. The market values of most bonds and fixed-rate loans then fall, so an institution that wishes to sell them must be prepared to accept capital losses. Halsworth intends to sell its bonds in six months, so a rise in interest rates before then would force the sale at a loss.

Reinvestment risk arises when market interest rates fall. Incoming funds must then be invested in lower-yielding earning assets, which lowers expected future income. The USD 250 million of maturing loans returns cash that will be lent again at whatever interest rates prevail, so a fall in interest rates would cut the income on that money.

PositionForm of interest rate riskInterest rate move that hurtsWhat the bank loses
Fixed-rate bonds to be sold in six monthsPrice riskRiseA capital loss on the sale, because the market value has fallen
Short-term loans maturing and being lent againReinvestment riskFallIncome, because the proceeds earn a lower yield

The two risks move in opposite directions. A rise in interest rates helps the reinvestment and hurts the sale, and a fall does the reverse. So a large part of managing assets and liabilities consists of finding ways to deal effectively with both forms of risk.

Note

Price risk arises for an instrument the bank may sell before maturity, and reinvestment risk for incoming cash that must be invested again. The same bank usually carries both.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly swaps the two labels while keeping each position's direction, so each risk is paired with the wrong move. A rise in interest rates hurts the bond sale, and that is price risk, not reinvestment risk.
  • B. Correctly names both risks but incorrectly reverses both directions. Bond prices fall when interest rates rise, and reinvestment income falls when interest rates fall.
  • C. Swaps the two labels and carries each label's direction with it, so the bonds are said to lose from a fall and the loans from a rise. The bonds being sold lose market value when interest rates rise, and the maturing loans lose income when interest rates fall.
Module
Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management
Chapter
LR 17: Risk Management for Changing Interest Rates: Asset-Liability Management and Duration Techniques
Learning objective
Discuss how asset-liability management strategies can help a bank hedge against interest rate risk

Risk Management and Investment Management 17 questions

Factor theory, alpha, portfolio construction, portfolio risk and risk budgeting, performance evaluation, hedge funds, private credit and private markets, due diligence, distress, the Madoff case, scenario construction, liquidity risk and illiquid assets.

Question 83

IM 1 Factor Theory

The treasurer of Calloway Mutual is reviewing an asset that tends to rise sharply when the stock market falls. Its returns have a volatility of 20% and a correlation of -0.5 with the market portfolio, whose volatility is 16%. The risk-free rate is 2% and the market risk premium is 6%. Using the capital asset pricing model, or CAPM, what is the asset's expected return, and how should a figure like this be read?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. -1.75%; investors accept an expected return below zero because the asset pays off when the market crashes, which makes it valuable to hold.

The asset's beta is its correlation with the market multiplied by its volatility, divided by the market's volatility:

-0.5 × 20% / 16% = −0.625

The security market line then gives:

2% + (−0.625) × 6% = −1.75%

StepValue
Beta, -0.5 x 20% / 16%-0.625
Beta x market risk premium-3.75%
Expected return, 2% - 3.75%-1.75%

A negative expected return is a legitimate result of the capital asset pricing model, or CAPM, not an error. Assets that pay off when the market tanks are valuable to investors who already hold a diversified portfolio. They have low betas and very large diversification benefits, so investors need little compensation to hold them. If the payoffs in a falling market are high enough, investors are willing to pay to hold the asset rather than be paid, and its expected return falls below zero. Gold and, at times, government bonds are often given as examples of low or negative beta assets that pay off when the stock market crashes.

The opposite case shows the same rule from the other side. An asset that falls when the market falls has a high beta and must offer a high expected return before investors will hold it.

Note

The price of the asset is high because its payoff arrives in bad times, and a high price on given payoffs means a low expected return. Investors are then willing to pay to hold the asset rather than be paid for holding it.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats negative beta as zero beta. A correlation of -0.5 is systematic co-movement with the market, which the CAPM prices as a negative premium.
  • C. 5.75% drops the sign of beta and adds 3.75% to the risk-free rate. The asset's own volatility does not set its premium; its negative co-movement with the market does.
  • D. Correctly computes -1.75% but incorrectly calls the asset overpriced. Low enough betas produce negative expected returns in equilibrium, because investors value the payoff in bad times.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 1: Factor Theory
Learning objective
Explain the implications of using the CAPM to value assets, including equilibrium and optimal holdings, exposure to factor risk, its treatment of diversification benefits, and shortcomings of the CAPM
Question 84

IM 2 Factors

An analyst at Briarwood Investment Partners models the annual return of each of 100 value stocks as the sum of two parts that are independent of each other and of the market: a common value component with a volatility of 20%, shared by every value stock, and a firm-specific component with a volatility of 30%, independent across stocks. A colleague argues that an equally weighted portfolio of all 100 stocks diversifies the value risk away, so in equilibrium a value tilt should earn no premium. What is the volatility of the 100-stock portfolio, and how should the colleague's argument be assessed?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. About 20.2%; the colleague is wrong, because the common value component cannot be diversified away, so it must be priced.

The rational story of value starts from the fact that value stocks move together after controlling for market exposure. Holding many of them shrinks the firm-specific part of the risk, but it leaves the common part untouched.

The variance of a single stock equals the common variance plus the firm-specific variance:

0.20 × 0.20 + 0.30 × 0.30 = 0.13

so a single stock has a volatility of about 36.1%.

In an equally weighted portfolio of 100 independent firm-specific components, the firm-specific variance is divided by 100, while the common component is held in full:

0.04 + 0.09 / 100 = 0.0409

The square root gives the portfolio volatility:

0.0409 ^ 0.5 = 0.2022

Part of the riskSingle stock (variance)100-stock portfolio (variance)
Common value component0.04000.0400
Firm-specific component0.09000.0009
Total0.13000.0409
Volatility36.1%20.2%

The common component carries about 98% of the portfolio's variance, 0.0400 out of 0.0409. Some value risk can be diversified by building portfolios, but a large amount of value movement cannot. In the context of the arbitrage pricing theory, or APT, risk that cannot be diversified away must be priced in equilibrium, and that gives a value premium. The colleague is therefore wrong. Fama and French use this same common movement when they construct the high minus low, or HML, factor.

Note

The Fama-French model itself is silent on why value carries a premium. The rational stories supply the reason by defining the bad times in which value loses money, such as periods of low investment growth, labor income risk or housing risk.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 3.6% divides the single-stock volatility of 36.1% by 10, shrinking the common component along with the rest. Only the independent firm-specific part shrinks with the number of stocks, and the common value component stays in full.
  • B. Correctly computes 20.2% but incorrectly sends the remaining risk to the market factor. The common value component is independent of the market in this model, so it is a separate source of risk that must earn its own premium.
  • D. 36.1% is the volatility of a single stock, reported as if diversification did nothing. The firm-specific components are independent, so their contribution falls from 0.0900 to 0.0009 in the portfolio.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 2: Factors
Learning objective
Describe the process of value investing and explain why a value premium may exist
Question 85

IM 3 Alpha (and the Low-Risk Anomaly)

A portfolio manager at Kestrel Point Advisers runs an equity portfolio benchmarked to a broad index. The firm's risk team has the following five years of annual returns, together with the portfolio's beta with respect to the benchmark each year:

YearPortfolio returnBenchmark returnPortfolio beta with respect to the benchmark
10.0810.0740.91
20.0460.0490.87
30.0630.0550.93
40.0580.0580.88
50.0710.0580.90

Using the sample standard deviation, what is the approximate value of the manager's information ratio?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 0.78

The information ratio, or IR, equals the average excess return over the benchmark divided by tracking error, the standard deviation of those excess returns. The first step is the yearly excess return, portfolio minus benchmark.

YearPortfolio returnBenchmark returnExcess returnDeviation from meanSquared deviation
10.0810.0740.0070.0020.000004
20.0460.049-0.003-0.0080.000064
30.0630.0550.0080.0030.000009
40.0580.0580.000-0.0050.000025
50.0710.0580.0130.0080.000064
Sum0.0250.000166

The average excess return is the alpha:

Alpha = 0.025 / 5 = 0.0050

Tracking error uses the sample standard deviation, dividing by five minus one:

Tracking error = (0.000166 / 4)^0.5 = 0.00644

The IR follows:

IR = 0.0050 / 0.00644 = 0.78

The beta column plays no part in this calculation. The IR here measures active return against the benchmark as given, so the yearly betas, which average about 0.90, are extra data.

Note

Tracking error here uses the sample standard deviation, dividing by four rather than five, because the five years are a sample of the manager's returns.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. 1.09 divides the average portfolio return by the average benchmark return. 0.0638 / 0.0588 = 1.09 compares return levels and contains no risk measure at all.
  • C. 0.90 is the average of the five betas. It describes market sensitivity and is not a ratio of return to risk.
  • D. Incorrectly divides by the volatility of the portfolio's own returns. Their sample standard deviation is 0.0132, and 0.0050 / 0.0132 = 0.38 measures active return per unit of total risk, not per unit of tracking error.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 3: Alpha (and the Low-Risk Anomaly)
Learning objective
Define and calculate alpha, tracking error, the information ratio, and the Sharpe ratio
Question 86

IM 4 Portfolio Construction

Halvard Asset Management runs an active equity strategy with a long list of optimizer constraints: no short sales, a cap on each stock at 4% above its benchmark weight, sector weights held within 1% of the benchmark, and a turnover limit of 30% a year. At a board review, the chief investment officer argues that the length of this list shows how sophisticated the process is, and that the constraints are the reason the strategy can be trusted. A consultant to the board disagrees with the reason he gives. Which statement best reflects the consultant's position?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. The constraints act partly as a safeguard against unreasonable and noisy inputs, and the same protection can be pursued more directly by refining the alphas before optimizing.

Implementation schemes are, in part, safeguards against poor research. A sophisticated set of constraints moves the portfolio toward the benchmark and away from the bets that unreasonable or noisy alphas would otherwise create.

Any constrained procedure can be replaced by a simpler one. A process that first refines the alphas and then runs a simple unconstrained mean/variance optimization reaches the same active positions. So the constraints are a reason to look at the inputs. They are not proof that the inputs are good.

Implementation must answer two questions:

QuestionDifficulty
Which portfolio would be chosen if alphas, covariances, risk aversion and transactions costs were known without error?The easier dilemma. With no transactions costs, the goal is to maximize value added within the client's limits
Which procedures make portfolio construction robust when the inputs are unreasonable and noisy?The harder question, and the main focus of the analysis

Many of the procedures used in portfolio construction are indirect methods of coping with noisy data. The direct attack is either to refine the alphas first, which is preprocessing, or to design the implementation so that it openly acts as an "input moderator."

The consultant is correct and the chief investment officer is not. A long constraint list says that the process is compensating for something. It does not say that the alphas going into it can be trusted.

Remember

Limits on active positions, turnover caps and benchmark-matched categories are valid tools, provided their purpose is recognized as compensating for faulty inputs. Removing biases, trimming outliers and scaling the alphas attacks the cause rather than the symptom.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly reverses which problem is harder. Handling perfect data is the easier dilemma, and the constraints address noisy and unreasonable inputs rather than transactions costs.
  • C. Incorrectly denies the equivalence. Any constrained portfolio can be reached by an unconstrained optimization run on modified alphas with an appropriate risk aversion.
  • D. Incorrectly reverses the role of the constraints. They protect the portfolio most when the alphas are noisy, so dropping them and optimizing raw forecasts exposes the portfolio to the errors they were containing.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 4: Portfolio Construction
Learning objective
Describe the inputs to the portfolio construction process and explain challenges faced when using these inputs
Question 87

IM 5 Portfolio Risk: Analytical Methods

A foundation holds EUR 40 million in a European equity sleeve with annual return volatility of 16% and EUR 25 million in a euro government bond sleeve with annual return volatility of 7%. The correlation between the returns of the two sleeves is 0.35, and returns are jointly normal. The risk report, which measures value at risk, or VaR, shows undiversified VaR, diversified VaR and the diversification benefit at the one-year 99% level, using a standard normal deviate of 2.326. A trustee wants to know how much VaR the foundation saves by holding the two sleeves together rather than measuring each on its own. What is the diversification benefit?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. EUR 2.206 million.

The diversification benefit equals undiversified value at risk, or VaR, minus diversified VaR. Both start from the individual VaR of each sleeve.

For the equity sleeve:

2.326 × 16% × 40 = 14.8864

For the bond sleeve:

2.326 × 7% × 25 = 4.0705

Undiversified VaR adds the two:

14.8864 + 4.0705 = 18.9569

Diversified VaR combines them with the correlation, and the cross term carries a factor of two:

√(14.8864² + 4.0705² + 2 × 0.35 × 14.8864 × 4.0705) = 16.7508

The benefit is the difference:

18.9569 − 16.7508 = 2.2061

MeasureEUR million
Individual VaR, equity sleeve14.886
Individual VaR, bond sleeve4.071
Undiversified VaR18.957
Diversified VaR16.751
Diversification benefit2.206

The benefit is modest because the bond sleeve is small and the correlation is positive. A lower correlation would widen the difference between the two VaR figures, and a correlation of 1 would remove it completely, since diversified VaR then equals the sum of the individual VaRs.

Remember

Undiversified VaR does not depend on correlation at all. Any change in diversified VaR caused by a change in correlation is therefore matched by an equal and opposite change in the diversification benefit.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats the two sleeves as uncorrelated. Diversified VaR becomes the square root of 14.886² + 4.071², or 15.433, which overstates the benefit at 3.524.
  • B. Incorrectly drops the factor of two on the cross term. The variance then contains only 0.35 x 14.886 x 4.071, diversified VaR comes out at 16.105, and the benefit is overstated at 2.852.
  • C. 16.751 is the diversified VaR, not the benefit. The benefit is the difference between undiversified and diversified VaR.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 5: Portfolio Risk: Analytical Methods
Learning objective
Define, calculate, and compare the following portfolio VaR measures: diversified and undiversified portfolio VaR, individual VaR, incremental VaR, marginal VaR, and component VaR
Question 88

IM 6 VaR and Risk Budgeting in Investment Management

Corrander Pension Trust has just introduced risk budgeting, and four statements are made at its first investment committee meeting under the new framework.

I. Risk budgeting is a new idea that did not exist before value at risk, or VaR, systems.

II. Risk budgeting provides a dynamic comparison of current risk profiles with prespecified risk budgets.

III. As long as each manager stays within its risk guidelines, it can execute new transactions without requiring approval of senior management.

IV. Once the risk budget of an asset class is set, the budgets of the active managers inside it must add up exactly to that class budget.

Which statements are correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. II and III only

Statements II and III are correct, and statements I and IV are incorrect.

StatementVerdictReason
I. New idea that did not exist before value at risk, or VaRIncorrectLike VaR, the concept is not new
II. Dynamic comparison of current risk with budgetsCorrectThe process compares current risk profiles with prespecified budgets
III. Managers within guidelines need no senior approvalCorrectThe approach avoids micromanaging the investment process
IV. Manager budgets add up exactly to the class budgetIncorrectManager budgets add up to more than the class budget when their returns are not perfectly correlated

Statement I is incorrect. Risk budgeting is spreading fast as a best-practice method, but like VaR, the concept itself is not new. Like VaR, its main advantage is to provide a top-down, comprehensive and practical method to manage risk.

Statement II is correct. The process compares each unit's current risk profile with the budget set for it.

Statement III is correct. A manager inside its risk guidelines can execute new transactions without senior approval, so the approach avoids micromanaging the investment process.

Statement IV is incorrect. The class budget is a diversified VaR. When two managers' returns are less than perfectly correlated, the managers' individual budgets sum to more than the class budget, because part of their risk offsets inside the class.

Note

Each manager is then charged to earn the highest return on the risk units it has been given. The budget is a quantity of risk to be spent, not a quantity of capital to be invested.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly accepts statement I. Like VaR, the concept is not new; what is recent is its spread as a best-practice method.
  • B. Incorrectly rejects statement III. Avoiding micromanagement of the investment process is one of the stated advantages of the approach, provided managers stay within their risk guidelines.
  • D. Incorrectly accepts statement IV. Manager budgets add up to more than the class budget whenever the managers' returns are less than perfectly correlated, because the class budget already reflects diversification.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 6: VaR and Risk Budgeting in Investment Management
Learning objective
Define risk budgeting
Question 89

IM 7 Portfolio Performance Evaluation

A fact sheet for the Cormac Global Fund quotes an information ratio of 1.73. Over the period the fund returned 13.4% with a beta of 0.90 and a residual standard deviation of 6%, the market index returned 11% with a standard deviation of 14%, and the risk-free interest rate was 3%. The fund's total standard deviation was 13.96%. An investment committee wants the information ratio defined as the ratio of alpha to the standard deviation of residual returns. What is the information ratio on that definition, and what did the fact sheet compute?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. 0.53. The fact sheet divided the fund's excess return over the risk-free interest rate, 10.4%, by the residual standard deviation.

On the committee's definition the reward is alpha, the return above what the capital asset pricing model, or CAPM, predicts for the fund's beta, and the risk is residual standard deviation.

The fund's alpha is:

13.4 − (3 + 0.90 × (11 − 3)) = 3.20

The information ratio is:

3.20 / 6 = 0.533

The fact sheet's 1.73 comes from a looser definition that some practitioners use: excess return, rather than alpha, per unit of nonsystematic risk. Excess return here is the fund's return over the risk-free interest rate:

(13.4 − 3) / 6 = 1.73

VersionNumeratorDenominatorResult
Alpha over residual risk3.20%6%0.53
Excess return over residual risk10.40%6%1.73

The two versions differ by the return the fund earned for bearing market risk, 0.90 x 8 = 7.20%. The looser version credits that return to the manager, even though an index position would have delivered it, and divides it by a risk measure that leaves market risk out. Terminology in the profession is not uniform: some writers use "appraisal ratio" for alpha over residual risk and keep "information ratio" for the excess-return version. Checking which definition a document uses comes before comparing two quoted figures.

Note

The total standard deviation of 13.96% plays no part in either version of the ratio. It is consistent with the other data, because 0.90² x 14² + 6² = 194.76 and the square root of 194.76 is 13.96. Dividing alpha by it gives 0.23, which is not what either version measures.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly explains the fact sheet's 1.73 but incorrectly computes the committee's ratio as 0.23 by dividing alpha by the total standard deviation of 13.96%. Total risk includes the systematic risk that an index position already carries, and only the residual 6% belongs in the denominator.
  • B. Incorrectly accepts the quoted 1.73 as alpha over residual risk. Alpha is 3.20%, and 3.20 / 6 gives 0.53, so the 1.73 must use the full 10.4% excess return.
  • C. Correctly computes 0.53 but incorrectly explains the fact sheet's figure. Alpha over total standard deviation gives 3.20 / 13.96 = 0.23, not 1.73, and only the 10.4% excess return divided by 6% reproduces the quoted figure.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 7: Portfolio Performance Evaluation
Learning objective
Describe risk-adjusted performance measures, such as Sharpe's measure, Treynor's measure, Jensen's measure (Jensen's alpha), and the information ratio, and identify the circumstances under which the use of each measure is most relevant
Question 90

IM 8 Hedge Fund Investment Strategies

Aldersgate Arbitrage buys a newly issued USD 1,000 convertible bond of Marchetti Dairy at par. The bond pays a 3.0% annual coupon and converts into 18 shares. Marchetti stock trades at USD 50 with a 1.5% dividend yield, and the fund holds a short stock position equal to 60% of the shares the bond converts into. The fund earns 3.0% interest on its short sale proceeds and pays a stock borrow cost of 0.30% of those proceeds. Ignoring price changes, leverage and the costs of hedging interest rate or credit risk, what is the income from the delta-hedged position over one year?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. USD 36.48, or about 3.6% of the convertible.

Income from a convertible hedge comes from four flows: the coupon received, plus interest on the short sale proceeds, minus the dividend paid to the stock lender, minus the stock borrow cost. The last three are computed on the short sale proceeds, not on the face value.

The shares the bond converts into have a value of:

18 × 50 = 900

The short position is 60% of that:

900 × 60% = 540

FlowRateBase (USD)Amount (USD)
Coupon3.0%1,000+30.00
Interest on short proceeds3.0%540+16.20
Dividend paid on short stock1.5%540-8.10
Stock borrow cost0.30%540-1.62
Total income36.48

30.00 + 16.20 − 8.10 − 1.62 = 36.48

36.48 / 1,000 = 3.6%

The income rises if the arbitrageur leverages the investment, and two or three times leverage is common. Hedging interest rate risk or credit risk reduces it.

Note

The dividend is a cost to the convertible arbitrageur, because the fund has borrowed shares and must pay the lender any dividend the stock pays. A higher dividend yield on the stock lowers the income of the hedge, even though it is income to an ordinary shareholder.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Incorrectly charges the dividend on the full USD 900 conversion value, giving USD 13.50. Only 540 of stock is sold short, so the dividend paid is USD 8.10.
  • C. USD 52.68 incorrectly adds the dividend as income. The fund is short the stock and pays the USD 8.10 dividend to the lender, so adding it overstates income by twice that amount.
  • D. Incorrectly charges the borrow cost on the USD 1,000 face value, giving USD 3.00. The borrow cost applies to the USD 540 of short proceeds, so it is USD 1.62.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 8: Hedge Fund Investment Strategies
Learning objective
Compare different types of arbitrage strategies and describe the mechanics of convertible arbitrage strategies
Question 91

IM 9 Risk, Regulation and Organizational Structure

A fund of hedge funds managed by Ostrander Advisory holds USD 200 million of equity in a relative value fund and USD 200 million of equity in a macro fund. Its analyst assumes each fund runs at the median financial leverage reported for its strategy in an official survey: 3.0 times NAV for relative value and 2.1 times NAV for macro, where NAV is net asset value and the multiple is asset value divided by equity capital. The investment committee asks how much borrowed money sits under Ostrander's USD 400 million, and how that borrowing is typically secured across the hedge fund industry. Which answer is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. USD 620 million, most of it collateralized by the funds' securities and cash.

A multiple of NAV is assets per unit of equity. Borrowing equals assets less equity, so each fund borrows its multiple minus one times its equity.

FundEquityMultiple of NAVAssetsBorrowing
Relative valueUSD 200 million3.0USD 600 millionUSD 400 million
MacroUSD 200 million2.1USD 420 millionUSD 220 million
TotalUSD 400 millionUSD 1,020 millionUSD 620 million

For the relative value fund:

200 × 3.0 − 200 = 400

For the macro fund:

200 × 2.1 − 200 = 220

Total borrowing is:

400 + 220 = 620

On how the borrowing is secured, the vast majority of hedge fund leverage is collateralized by assets. The lender is usually secured by all of the securities in the portfolio together with cash, or by cash posted as collateral on derivative contracts. So although notional leverage can be very large, uncollateralized borrowing within the industry is relatively small.

Typical leverage runs from 40% to 60% for many equity long/short strategies to over 200% for relative value strategies and well over 500% for some fixed income arbitrage strategies. The amount used depends greatly on the underlying portfolio risk, including the types of assets and whether the portfolio holds long and short positions expected to be highly correlated.

Note

In the survey relative value carries the highest median multiple, at 3.0, and managed futures and other strategies the lowest, both at 1.4. The macro multiple of 2.1 means that for the median fund in that category more than half of the assets were funded with borrowed money.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. USD 1,020 million is the total of assets, not the borrowing. The USD 400 million of equity is part of those assets and must be subtracted.
  • C. Incorrectly reports total assets as the borrowing and incorrectly calls it uncollateralized. Borrowing is USD 620 million, and most hedge fund borrowing is secured.
  • D. Correctly computes USD 620 million of borrowing but incorrectly calls most of it uncollateralized. Hedge fund borrowing is mostly secured by the portfolio's securities and cash, and large notional leverage does not change that.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 9: Risk, Regulation and Organizational Structure
Learning objective
Describe different risks faced by investors in hedge funds
Question 92

IM 10 The Rise and Risks of Private Credit

An analyst at Quarrington Asset Management reads that global private credit reached approximately USD 2.1 trillion in 2023 in combined assets and undeployed capital commitments, and that this is comparable to about three-quarters of the global high-yield bond market. Assume that undeployed commitments, or dry powder, are USD 0.5 trillion of the total. She needs the implied size of the global high-yield market and the amount of private credit actually deployed. Which pair is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. High-yield market of about USD 2.8 trillion, and deployed private credit of about USD 1.6 trillion.

If private credit equals about three-quarters of the high-yield market, the high-yield market is private credit divided by 0.75:

2.1 / 0.75 = 2.8

The USD 2.1 trillion combines loans already made with capital investors have committed but managers have not yet deployed. Removing the dry powder gives:

2.1 − 0.5 = 1.6

QuantityUSD trillionHow it is obtained
Private credit, assets plus undeployed commitments2.1Given
Global high-yield bond market2.82.1 / 0.75
Dry powder0.5Given
Private credit deployed1.62.1 - 0.5

High yield is a useful yardstick because it is a more mature but similarly risky market. Private credit has grown to a comparable scale, but it remains unrated, rarely traded and lightly regulated.

The dry powder matters for risk as well as for size. A large stock of committed but uninvested capital can add to the pressure on managers to deploy, and that pressure can push down risk premiums and weaken covenants.

Note

Dry powder is also a claim on investors. Capital calls on uncalled commitments can arrive within days, so the same USD 0.5 trillion that is not yet lent is a potential liquidity demand on the investors who committed it, among them pension funds and insurers.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly multiplies by three-quarters and incorrectly treats the full USD 2.1 trillion as deployed. Both halves of the pair are wrong.
  • B. Correctly separates the dry powder but incorrectly multiplies by three-quarters, 2.1 x 0.75 = 1.6. Private credit is three-quarters of the high-yield market, so high yield is the larger figure.
  • D. Correctly computes the high-yield market but incorrectly treats the full USD 2.1 trillion as deployed. The total includes USD 0.5 trillion of undeployed commitments.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 10: The Rise and Risks of Private Credit
Learning objective
Explain the return profile and growth profile of the private credit asset class, and compare the historical returns of private credit to those of other asset classes
Question 93

IM 11 Private Markets Investing

Thornbury Capital closes its first buyout fund, which has a ten-year life, at USD 400 million of commitments. The limited partnership agreement charges a management fee of 2% a year on committed capital during the five-year investment period, caps organizational expenses at 1% of fund size, and allows the manager to recycle early distributions during the investment period. Assume management fees and organizational expenses are paid out of called capital. A limited partner asks how much of the early distributions Thornbury would have to recycle for the fund to invest an amount equal to its full commitment. What is the answer?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. USD 44 million, recycled during the investment period.

Capital called to pay fees and expenses is not invested in companies. During the investment period the management fee is:

2% × 400 × 5 = USD 40 million

The organizational expenses at their cap are:

1% × 400 = USD 4 million

So the capital left to invest from commitments alone is:

400 − 40 − 4 = USD 356 million

This is 89% of the commitment. To invest USD 400 million, the fund must reinvest:

400 − 356 = USD 44 million

ItemAmount (USD million)
Commitments400
Management fees, five years at 2%40
Organizational expenses, capped at 1%4
Invested from commitments356
Recycled early distributions needed44
Total invested400

Recycling is allowed only during the investment period. At the end of that period the fund may not make new investments, although it can reinvest in existing assets if necessary.

Note

Recycling is the mechanism that lets a fund compensate for management fees and reach an effective rate of 100% of capital paid in and invested. After the investment period, fees are usually scaled down, either by charging them on invested capital or by lowering the rate.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly charges the 2% fee on commitments for all ten years. Recycling is allowed only during the investment period, so only the fees charged in that period matter here, and the fee on committed capital is usually scaled down after it.
  • B. Correctly computes USD 44 million but incorrectly places the recycling in the divestment period. New investments stop at the end of the investment period, so recycling must happen before it ends.
  • D. Incorrectly leaves out the USD 4 million of organizational expenses. Those expenses are also paid from called capital, so 40 + 4 = USD 44 million must be recycled.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 11: Private Markets Investing
Learning objective
Describe different investment structures that can be used to invest in private assets and compare their characteristics
Question 94

IM 12 Performing Due Diligence on Specific Managers and Funds

The operational due diligence team at Harwell Capital recommends rejecting Elmstead Partners, a U.S. equity variable bias fund launched four months ago with USD 120 million of assets. The investment team rates Elmstead's strategy highly. The operational team's four findings are:

I. Elmstead uses a single prime broker.

II. Elmstead has no real-time disaster recovery or hot backup site.

III. Elmstead has no succession plan for its founder.

IV. Elmstead calculates its own net asset value and has no independent administrator.

Which of the findings justify rejecting the fund at this stage?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. IV only

Only finding IV justifies rejection now. Findings I, II and III are infrastructure that a newly launched fund of this kind may reasonably lack.

The heavy focus on operations, credit risk and liquidity has made it possible for investors to overemphasize parts of due diligence. An investor can stress operational due diligence so much that it ends up choosing managers with great controls that add little return. The answer is a balance between the investment opportunity and the fund's risk profile, kept in place by a set of minimum standards, or bright lines. The bright lines stop the balance tipping the other way, toward great strategies with poor controls.

FindingBright line or matched to life cycleJustifies rejection now
I. Single prime brokerMatched to strategy and life cycleNo
II. No real-time disaster recovery or hot backupMatched to strategy and life cycleNo
III. No succession planMatched to strategy and life cycleNo
IV. No independent administratorBright line, generally not negotiableYes

Independent administration, audits and top-tier service providers are generally not negotiable. Infrastructure and business models, however, should be strategy and life cycle specific. Elmstead is the case in point. A recently launched equity variable bias fund in the United States may not need multiple prime brokers, real-time disaster recovery, and a hot backup or succession plan, certainly not all on day one.

So rejecting Elmstead for findings I to III would overweight infrastructure in the way investors are warned against. Investors invest to increase return and reduce risk, and that purpose can easily be forgotten.

Note

Findings I to III are not ruled out for good. Because infrastructure is matched to the life cycle, they become reasonable questions to revisit as Elmstead grows, while independent administration is generally not negotiable.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Incorrectly treats a single prime broker as grounds for rejection. Multiple prime brokers are among the items a recently launched equity variable bias fund may not yet need.
  • C. Incorrectly treats the missing disaster recovery site and succession plan as grounds for rejection. Both are infrastructure matched to the fund's strategy and life cycle, unlike independent administration.
  • D. Incorrectly treats every finding as a bright line. A new U.S. equity variable bias fund may not need multiple prime brokers, real-time disaster recovery, a hot backup or a succession plan on day one.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 12: Performing Due Diligence on Specific Managers and Funds
Learning objective
Explain elements of the due diligence process used to assess investment managers
Question 95

IM 13 Distress Symptoms and Remedies

Kettering Wire's bonds are quoted at a bid of 54.0. A hedge fund holding USD 20 million of face value expects Kettering to buy back debt, so its trader calls Kettering's treasurer directly and offers the bonds at 54.5. Selling the same bonds through a dealer at the quoted bid would cost the fund a commission of 0.75 points. What does the fund receive by selling directly to Kettering, and how does that compare with selling in the market?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. USD 10.90 million directly, against USD 10.65 million in the market, because no broker fee is payable

Selling directly at 54.5, with no intermediary:

20 × 0.545 = 10.90

Selling to a dealer at the bid, less the commission:

54.0 − 0.75 = 53.25

20 × 0.5325 = 10.65

RoutePrice per 100Fee per 100Net per 100Proceeds (USD million)
Direct to Kettering54.5054.510.90
Through a dealer54.00.7553.2510.65

10.90 − 10.65 = 0.25

A firm can make individually negotiated purchases directly from holders. In those cases the holder, anticipating that the firm may want to buy, normally calls and offers the securities. Holders, including distressed investors, do this hoping for a higher net price, because no fee is payable to an intermediary broker.

Kettering also gains from the trade. It retires USD 20 million of face value for USD 10.90 million:

20 − 10.90 = 9.10

Note

The direct purchase starts with the holder, not the firm. A holder who expects the firm to buy calls and offers its bonds, and the price both sides can accept beats the holder's net price through a dealer because no broker fee is payable.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. USD 10.75 million incorrectly deducts the commission from the direct sale as well, 20 x 0.5375. A direct sale to the issuer involves no intermediary broker, so no fee is payable.
  • B. Correctly computes both figures but incorrectly says Kettering pays the fee. In a direct purchase there is no intermediary broker, so there is no fee for anyone to pay.
  • C. USD 10.80 million incorrectly ignores the 0.75-point commission on the market sale, 20 x 0.54. The dealer route costs the fee, which lowers the fund's net proceeds to USD 10.65 million.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 13: Distress Symptoms and Remedies
Learning objective
Describe methods firms can use to remedy a financial distress situation at different stages of distress and explain the potential implications and challenges to using each method
Question 96

IM 14 Madoff: A Riot of Red Flags

The investment committee of Brookhaven Endowment holds USD 20 million of large-capitalization stocks and wants protection against a fall over the next month. Its adviser quotes two hedges on a notional of USD 20 million. The first is to buy out-of-the-money index puts alone, at a premium of 1.5% of notional. The second is to buy the same puts and sell out-of-the-money index calls at a premium of 1.2% of notional. One trustee says the second hedge is better in every respect, because it is cheaper and gives up nothing. Which assessment is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. The collar costs USD 60,000 against USD 300,000 for the puts alone, but the trustee is incorrect because the short calls cap gains above their strike.

The aim of a collar is usually to provide some downside protection at a cost lower than that of buying puts alone. The cost of buying the puts is reduced by the proceeds from selling the calls.

The puts alone cost:

20,000,000 × 1.5% = 300,000

The calls bring in:

20,000,000 × 1.2% = 240,000

So the collar costs, net:

300,000 − 240,000 = 60,000

The trustee is correct on cost and incorrect on what is given up. Selling the calls creates a ceiling: above the call strike, further gains on the stocks are offset by the rising liability on the short calls. The endowment pays USD 240,000 less for its protection and gives up the upside beyond the call strike in exchange.

HedgePremium paidPremium receivedNet costUpside above the call strike
Puts alone300,0000300,000Kept
Collar300,000240,00060,000Given up
Note

The cost of a collar is not fixed. It varies with the relative levels of the two exercise prices, the implied volatility smiles of the options, and the maturity of the strategy. A call struck closer to the current price brings in more premium and lowers the ceiling at the same time.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. USD 540,000 incorrectly adds the call premium to the put premium. Selling the calls brings premium in, so 300,000 + 240,000 = 540,000 treats income as a cost.
  • C. Correctly identifies the cap but incorrectly reports the call premium received as the net cost. USD 240,000 equals the premium the calls bring in, and the net cost equals 300,000 - 240,000 = 60,000.
  • D. Correctly computes the two costs but incorrectly accepts that nothing is given up. The short calls create a ceiling above which gains on the stocks are offset.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 14: Madoff: A Riot of Red Flags
Learning objective
Explain the history of Bernie Madoff's hedge fund and describe the fund's reported strategy and its reported performance
Question 97

IM 15 Market-Driven Scenarios: An Approach for Plausible Scenario Construction

Ashcombe Investment Partners runs a factor risk model with 40 risk factors. For a market-driven scenario on a sovereign rating downgrade, the scenario team specifies shocks to 6 of those factors, which serve as the policy variables. Every other factor's shock is implied through a multivariate regression of that factor's return on the policy variables. A junior quant prepares to estimate the regression coefficients.

Which statement correctly gives the number of beta coefficients the scenario requires and how those betas relate to the factor covariance matrix?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. 204 betas are required, and estimating them is mathematically equivalent to estimating the covariance matrix of the 40 factor returns.

The market-driven scenario is a conditional stress test. The K policy factors are shocked by the scenario team, and each of the remaining M minus K factors receives an implied shock through a regression on the policy factors. In the literature the policy factors are called core factors and the implied ones are peripheral factors.

Each implied factor needs one beta per policy factor. The number of implied factors is:

40 − 6 = 34

With 6 policy factors each, the number of betas is:

34 × 6 = 204

The 6 policy factors need no betas, because their shocks are specified directly rather than implied.

Factor groupCountShock comes fromBetas needed
Policy (core) factors6The scenario team's viewNone
Implied (peripheral) factors34Regression on the 6 policy factors34 x 6 = 204

The link to the covariance matrix matters as much as the count. Estimating the beta coefficients is mathematically equivalent to estimating the covariance matrix of the M factor returns. The covariance matrix pins down every beta. For this reason its calibration receives close attention. A different matrix gives a different perturbation vector.

Note

In the regression, each implied factor also carries an error term. The scenario takes the regression's prediction for each implied factor. The choice of covariance matrix therefore feeds straight into every implied shock in the scenario.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly counts betas for the policy factors and incorrectly separates the betas from the covariance matrix. Only the 34 implied factors need betas, and the covariance matrix pins every one of them down.
  • C. Incorrectly counts a beta for every one of the 40 factors on each policy variable. The 6 policy factors are shocked directly, so only the 34 implied factors need betas.
  • D. Correctly counts the 204 betas but incorrectly separates them from the covariance matrix. Estimating the betas is mathematically equivalent to estimating the covariance matrix, which governs the implied shocks as well as the plausibility test.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 15: Market-Driven Scenarios: An Approach for Plausible Scenario Construction
Learning objective
Describe and evaluate the market-driven scenario (MDS) approach used to develop scenarios for stress testing investment portfolios
Question 98

IM 16 Liquidity Risk Management

Harwell Asset Management runs eleven open-end bond funds. After a sister firm suffered a redemption shock, the board asks for a liquidity risk governance framework built on the three lines of defense model. A consultant sets out four ways to divide the work among the portfolio management teams, the independent risk management function and internal audit. The board wants the division that matches the three lines of defense model as applied to fund liquidity risk. Which division should the board adopt?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. Portfolio teams own their funds' liquidity risk; risk managers agree limits with them and escalate to senior officers; audit validates controls.

The first line of defense is the portfolio management team. Each team takes primary responsibility for the liquidity risk of its own portfolios.

The second line is the risk management function. It must be independent of portfolio management, so that every risk, liquidity included, is managed properly. Risk managers regularly evaluate and discuss risks with the portfolio managers and set limits that both sides regard as sensible. The limits cover portfolio asset liquidity in absolute terms and relative to redemption risk, and there are escalation channels to the chief risk officer, or CRO, and the chief investment officer, or CIO, where needed.

The third line is audit. It validates, independently, that the investment businesses follow the key controls and policies.

LineWhoRole in fund liquidity risk
FirstPortfolio management teamsPrimary responsibility for the liquidity risk of their portfolios
SecondIndependent risk managementEvaluate and discuss risks; set agreed limits on asset liquidity, absolute and relative to redemption risk; escalate to the CRO and CIO
ThirdAuditIndependently validate adherence to key controls and policies

Only the division that keeps limit setting and escalation with an independent risk function puts each duty with the correct line. The other three each move one duty to a line that cannot perform it.

Remember

Independence is what makes the second line work. A risk function that reports to the portfolio teams it oversees cannot reliably escalate a breach against them, so its limits stop being limits.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly hands limit setting and escalation to audit. Audit is the third line and validates controls; setting limits with the portfolio managers is the second line's work.
  • C. Incorrectly gives primary ownership to risk managers. The portfolio teams are the first line and own the liquidity risk of their own portfolios.
  • D. Incorrectly makes risk management report to the portfolio teams. The risk function must be independent of portfolio management to provide an effective second line.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 16: Liquidity Risk Management
Learning objective
Explain best practices for managing liquidity risk in an investment fund
Question 99

IM 17 Illiquid Assets

A pension fund holds units in an open-ended real estate fund whose quarterly returns are based on appraisals. The fund's risk team fits a first-order autoregressive model to the reported returns and estimates the autocorrelation parameter at 0.6. The fund reported a return of 2.0% last quarter and 3.0% this quarter. The pension fund's risk analyst assumes the smoothing involves only this quarter's and last quarter's returns, and wants the true return for this quarter before she estimates the fund's volatility. What is her estimate of the true return this quarter?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. 4.5%

Unsmoothing reverses the smoothing that appraisals put into reported returns. With autocorrelation parameter phi, the true return this quarter is estimated from the reported return this quarter and the reported return last quarter:

r(t) = r*(t) / (1 − phi) − phi / (1 − phi) × r*(t-1)

Here r*(t) is the reported return this quarter, r*(t-1) the reported return last quarter, and r(t) the true return. With phi of 0.6, the denominator is:

1 − 0.6 = 0.4

Subtracting the lagged term from this quarter's reported return gives:

3.0 − 0.6 × 2.0 = 1.8

Dividing by 0.4 gives the true return:

1.8 / 0.4 = 4.5

A check uses the smoothing relation the other way round. The reported return is a weighted average of the true return this quarter and the reported return last quarter, with weights 1 - phi and phi:

0.4 × 4.5 + 0.6 × 2.0 = 3.0

The weighted average reproduces the reported 3.0%, so the true return of 4.5% is consistent with the reported series.

QuantityValue
Reported return last quarter2.0%
Reported return this quarter3.0%
Weight on the current true return, 1 - phi0.4
Weight on last quarter's reported return, phi0.6
Estimated true return this quarter4.5%

The true return moves further than the reported return in the same direction, because reported returns update slowly.

Note

The first unsmoothing algorithms were developed for real estate by David Geltner and by Stephen Ross and Randall Zisler. The method has since been extended to hedge fund returns with higher-order autocorrelation corrections.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. 1.8% incorrectly stops before dividing by 1 - phi, taking 3.0 - 0.6 x 2.0 as the answer. Without the division by 0.4, the estimate stays smoother than the true return.
  • B. 2.4% incorrectly applies the smoothing weights to the reported returns, 0.4 x 3.0 + 0.6 x 2.0. This produces a smoothed figure, not an unsmoothed one.
  • D. 7.5% incorrectly divides this quarter's reported return by 0.4 and ignores last quarter's reported return. The lagged term carries the part of the reported return that comes from earlier quarters.
Module
Risk Management and Investment Management
Chapter
IM 17: Illiquid Assets
Learning objective
Explain the process of unsmoothing returns and the effects of unsmoothing

Current Issues in Financial Markets 8 questions

Artificial intelligence in capital markets and its stability implications, private credit, the IMF Global Financial Stability Report, monetary and fiscal policy, crypto regulation, tokenization and digital resilience.

Question 100

CI 1 Advances in Artificial Intelligence: Implications for Capital Markets Activities

The investment committee of Fenwick Pension Fund has a budget for AI pilots in two of the four asset classes it holds. Its staff summarize how each asset class trades.

Asset classWhere it tradesPrice dataVolume of transactions
Listed equitiesExchangesReal time and publicly visibleHigh
Government bondsDealer markets with transparent quotesReal timeHigh
Private real estatePrivate transactionsQuarterly appraisalsLow
Infrastructure debtPrivate placementsOccasional valuationsLow

The head of private markets argues that both pilots should go to real estate and infrastructure debt, where she expects AI to add the most value.

Which choice of pilots, with its reasoning, is consistent with the IMF's assessment of where prospects for creating value through AI currently look most promising?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. Listed equities and government bonds, because real-time data, transparency and high trading volume let AI systems keep learning and adapting.

Listed equities and government bonds are the pilots that fit the IMF's assessment. Prospects for creating value through AI appear most promising in publicly traded liquid asset classes. Equities, government bonds and listed derivatives offer a wealth of real-time data and transparency, and the high volume of transactions and the dynamic nature of these markets enable AI systems to continuously learn and adapt, potentially offering more accurate and timely insights.

FeatureListed equities and government bondsPrivate real estate and infrastructure debt
Data available to train modelsA wealth of real-time dataQuarterly appraisals or occasional valuations
TransparencyHighLow
Volume of transactionsHigh, so AI systems keep learning and adaptingLow
Prospects for AI value creationMost promisingLess promising on current evidence

Survey responses on AI value creation opportunities point the same way. Publicly traded assets rank above privately traded ones such as real estate and infrastructure, and there is a strong correlation between market liquidity and current adoption of AI by investment managers.

The IMF outreach gives a similar ordering by market. Participants pointed to equities and derivatives as the most likely areas where AI will be adopted in the investment process, followed by fixed income and foreign exchange, which are primarily traded over the counter. Some participants also highlighted that advances in AI and its processing capabilities could benefit less liquid markets such as private credit and some emerging market segments, but that was a possibility some of them raised, not the main ordering.

Note

AI already has a role at the illiquid end of the market. Some market participants apply AI techniques to price movements in other asset classes or instruments to estimate valuations and executable prices for some illiquid instruments.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats sparse pricing as an advantage for AI. AI systems learn and adapt from a wealth of real-time data and a high volume of transactions, and market liquidity is strongly correlated with current AI adoption, so the appraisal-based asset classes rank lower.
  • B. Incorrectly ranks less liquid markets first in the outreach. Participants named equities and derivatives as the most likely areas of adoption, followed by fixed income and foreign exchange, and only some participants saw possible benefits for less liquid markets such as private credit.
  • C. Chooses the right pilots for the wrong reason. The value in these markets comes from real-time data and transparency, not from information hidden from other investors.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 1: Advances in Artificial Intelligence: Implications for Capital Markets Activities
Learning objective
Describe current uses of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in capital markets, and potential future uses of sophisticated AI models including GenAI
Question 101

CI 2 The Financial Stability Implications of Artificial Intelligence

Model validators at Stanford Hill Bank test the bank's GenAI customer assistant, which runs on a pre-trained vendor LLM whose training data sources the vendor will not disclose. They sample 400 answers, and reviewers find 26 that give a seemingly confident but inaccurate response.

The business line argues that outcomes analysis cannot be performed on unstructured text, and that model risk management standards do not apply because the vendor built the model.

What is the error rate in the sample, and how should the validators respond?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. 6.5%; the sample shows outcomes analysis can be done, and using a vendor's model does not absolve the bank of risk management expectations.

The error rate in the sample is 6.5%. Both of the business line's arguments fail: LLM output makes outcomes analysis more challenging but not impossible, and the use of AI does not absolve institutions of applicable risk management expectations.

The error rate is the inaccurate answers divided by all answers sampled:

26 / 400 = 6.5%

Dividing by the accurate answers instead gives:

26 / (400 − 26) = 26 / 374 = 7.0%

That is a ratio of errors to correct answers, not an error rate.

Outcomes analysis generally evaluates the accuracy of model outputs. LLM outputs are typically unstructured text, which makes it more challenging, though not impossible, to generate error rates and conduct effective outcomes analysis. The sample here does it. GenAI has also given rise to a new type of inaccuracy, the hallucination, in which a model gives a seemingly confident but inaccurate response, and hallucinations can be difficult to detect and evaluate.

Business line argumentAssessmentReason
Outcomes analysis cannot be done on textIncorrectHarder with unstructured output, but not impossible
Model risk standards do not apply to a vendor's modelIncorrectRegulated institutions remain responsible for AI-related model risk and data quality; the use of AI does not absolve them

The undisclosed training data is a real difficulty. Training data sources are often opaque or unavailable for pre-trained models, which makes data quality, a key part of model risk management, hard to assess. Model risk management standards typically set expectations for validation, ongoing monitoring, outcomes analysis and data quality assessment, and they may recommend mitigation techniques for challenging cases, such as when data are limited or unavailable.

Note

Excessive complexity and lack of transparency can make it hard to find independent validators able to challenge a model, and limited explainability can make it hard to diagnose and quickly address significant inaccuracies, which may be more likely during extreme volatility or crisis periods.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly computes 6.5% but incorrectly places the vendor's model outside the bank's expectations. Regulated institutions remain responsible for AI-related model risk, and the use of AI does not absolve them of applicable risk management expectations.
  • B. 7.0% divides by the accurate answers, 26 / 374, although the response to both arguments is correct. The error rate divides the 26 inaccurate answers by all 400 sampled.
  • D. Incorrectly divides by the 374 accurate answers to get 7.0% and places the vendor's model outside the bank's expectations. The error rate is 26 / 400 = 6.5%, and the bank stays responsible for model risk.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 2: The Financial Stability Implications of Artificial Intelligence
Learning objective
Assess the potential implications of AI for financial stability, with a focus on the following vulnerabilities: third-party dependencies and service provider concentration; market correlations; cyber risks; model risk, data, and governance; other vulnerabilities, such as fraud, disinformation, and misalignment
Question 102

CI 3 The Global Drivers of Private Credit

The investment committee of Tarnwell Pension Fund is reviewing a proposed commitment of USD 400 million to a closed-end direct lending fund. The fund locks in investor capital for seven years and offers no redemptions before the end of its life. Its shares are not listed, and its loans have an average maturity of about six years.

A committee member argues: "A bank funds long-term loans with short-term deposits. This fund also holds long-term loans until they mature, so it carries the same liquidity and maturity transformation risk as a bank. The seven-year lock-up does nothing to change that."

Which assessment of the argument is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: D. It is incorrect, because the lock-up broadly matches the fund's life to its loan maturities, which mitigates liquidity and maturity transformation risks.

The fund's capital is locked in for seven years and its loans mature in about six, so its funding cannot leave before its assets pay off.

The life of the fund exceeds the average loan maturity by:

7 − 6 = 1 year

A bank is in a different position. It funds long-term loans with short-term deposits, and depositors can withdraw long before the loans mature. That mismatch is liquidity and maturity transformation. Uninsured deposits are also prone to runs, which makes the mismatch dangerous in stress.

FeatureBankClosed-end private credit fund
Main fundingShort-term depositsInvestor capital committed for the life of the fund, typically five to eight years
Can funding leave before the loans mature?YesNo, there are no redemptions before the end of the fund's life
Liquidity and maturity transformationPresentLargely mitigated, because the fund's life usually matches the average maturity of its loans

The committee member is right that the fund holds its loans to maturity. In private credit, deals are usually negotiated directly between borrower and lender, and the originator holds the loan on its balance sheet until maturity. Holding a loan to maturity is not the risk, though. The risk comes from funding that can be withdrawn before the loan is repaid, and the lock-up removes that.

The fund is illiquid for its investors, but that is a cost they bear, not a funding mismatch for the fund. Their capital is tied up, and they cannot sell their stake on an exchange. The main sources of capital for private credit funds are institutional investors with long-term horizons and low liquidity needs, such as pension funds, insurance companies and sovereign wealth funds.

Note

The same features explain the lighter regulation of most private credit funds. They do not trade on exchanges and are not available to retail investors, which makes them illiquid and subject to lighter regulation.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats holding loans to maturity as the cause of maturity transformation. The transformation arises when funding can leave before the assets mature, and the lock-up prevents that.
  • B. Correctly rejects the argument but incorrectly gives floating rates as the reason. A floating rate changes how the interest on a loan resets and does not change when investors can withdraw their capital.
  • C. Confuses illiquidity for the investor with a funding mismatch for the lender. The investor cannot sell easily, but the fund itself cannot be asked to return capital before its loans mature.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 3: The Global Drivers of Private Credit
Learning objective
Describe the structure and characteristics of private credit funds, as well as the patterns in the global growth of the asset class
Question 103

CI 4 Global Financial Stability Report

An IMF-style surveillance team is preparing recommendations for three economies facing elevated geopolitical risk.

EconomyMain vulnerability
XAn emerging market economy with shallow local financial and derivatives markets, so investors cannot easily hedge exposure to geopolitical shocks
YAn economy that relies heavily on external financing and holds a low level of international reserves
ZAn economy with high public debt, where a geopolitical shock could raise sovereign borrowing costs sharply

Which set of recommendations is consistent with the policy priorities for managing the effects of geopolitical risk events?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. X: deepen financial markets under robust regulatory frameworks; Y: build adequate international reserves; Z: contain fiscal vulnerabilities to preserve policy space

Economy X needs deeper financial markets under robust regulation, economy Y needs adequate international reserves, and economy Z needs contained fiscal vulnerabilities.

EconomyRecommendationWhy
XDeepen and develop financial markets, accompanied by robust regulatory frameworksDeeper markets and more developed derivatives markets help investors manage and hedge financial risks, and regulation keeps hedging safe and transparent
YHold an adequate level of international reservesReserves cushion adverse geopolitical shocks and help manage risks from capital flow volatility
ZContain fiscal vulnerabilities and keep adequate fiscal spaceHigh public debt amplifies the effect of geopolitical risk on sovereign borrowing costs

For economy X, market deepening is only half of the recommendation. Robust regulatory frameworks should accompany it so that hedging is conducted safely and transparently, for example through clear guidelines for the use of derivatives and other financial instruments. Relaxing regulation to speed up hedging removes the condition that makes the deepening safe.

For economy Y, a country that relies on external financing is exposed to capital flow volatility when a geopolitical shock hits, and reserves are the cushion.

For economy Z, high public debt can amplify the effect of a geopolitical shock on sovereign borrowing costs. Containing fiscal vulnerabilities limits that amplification, and expanding spending ahead of a shock runs against it.

Note

Adequate macroeconomic policy space and international reserve buffers are listed together as ways to mitigate the adverse effects of geopolitical risk events, so the recommendations for Y and Z are two halves of one policy priority rather than separate ideas.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Correctly keeps reserves and fiscal restraint but incorrectly relaxes regulation for economy X. Market deepening is meant to be accompanied by robust regulation, so that hedging is conducted safely and transparently.
  • C. Correctly pairs deepening with regulation but incorrectly recommends fiscal expansion for economy Z. The priority for a high-debt economy is to contain fiscal vulnerabilities, which limits the amplifying effect of high public debt on sovereign borrowing costs.
  • D. Incorrectly relaxes regulation for economy X and incorrectly expands fiscal support for economy Z. Both choices remove a condition the policy priorities attach, the regulatory framework in one case and fiscal space in the other.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 4: Global Financial Stability Report
Learning objective
Identify and explain the key channels through which geopolitical risk influences asset prices and financial stability and discuss policy measures to address potential consequences
Question 104

CI 5 Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Safeguarding Stability and Trust

A risk committee at the Bank of Vessa reviews four developments for their effect on the country's region of stability.

1. Population aging that will change the labor market gradually over the next two decades.

2. A sudden loss of investor confidence in the policy framework, first visible as a sharp depreciation of the currency.

3. A program of structural reforms that raises potential growth.

4. Several years of expansionary monetary and fiscal settings that have encouraged leverage and risk-taking.

The committee uses five labels: Slow (the region shifts gradually), Abrupt (the region shrinks suddenly), Widens (the region expands), Narrows (the region shrinks over time as the policies' own effects accumulate), and No effect (the region is unchanged).

Which classification is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 1 Slow, 2 Abrupt, 3 Widens, 4 Narrows

Some forces move the region slowly, some move it abruptly, other policies can widen it, and the monetary and fiscal settings themselves can narrow it over time.

DevelopmentType of forceEffect on the region
1. Population agingStructural and demographic, changing labor markets slowly but profoundlySlow
2. Sudden loss of confidence, sharp depreciationConfidence effect; a sharp depreciation is often the first sign of lost confidenceAbrupt
3. Structural reformsA policy other than monetary and fiscal policy, which boosts potential growth and reduces pressure on the two policies to support activityWidens
4. Prolonged expansionary settingsThe cumulative impact of the two policies themselves, building leverage and risk-takingNarrows

Development 4 is an effect that is even more important than the others, although much less appreciated. Settings that look stabilizing in the near term can, over time, shrink the region by encouraging leverage and risk-taking. They can also create misperceptions about economic fundamentals, for example the impression that real interest rates have fallen permanently.

Development 3 does have an effect. Structural reforms can considerably expand the region, in the same family as prudential regulation and well calibrated foreign exchange intervention, which also preserve space for the two policies.

Note

The rapid growth of the financial system has made sudden shifts in the region more likely. As the system became more sophisticated and fast-paced, leverage and liquidity mismatches grew, and confidence in such a system can evaporate suddenly.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Correctly classifies reforms and prolonged stimulus but incorrectly swaps the speed of the first two. Demographic change is slow-moving, and a loss of confidence can shrink the region abruptly.
  • C. Correctly times the first two but incorrectly treats reforms as having no effect and prolonged stimulus as widening. Reforms expand the region, and prolonged expansionary settings shrink it over time through leverage and risk-taking.
  • D. Incorrectly classifies all four. It swaps the speed of demographic change and confidence effects, ignores the effect of reforms, and reads prolonged stimulus as widening the region when it narrows it.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 5: Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Safeguarding Stability and Trust
Learning objective
Compare and contrast the channels through which fiscal policy and monetary policy influence a country's economic activity and financial markets, and define the "region of stability" in terms of their joint policy stances
Question 105

CI 6 Regulating the Crypto Ecosystem: The Case of Unbacked Crypto Assets

The Republic of Casmir has made a token called Veltro legal tender alongside its own currency. Over one quarter the price of Veltro moved from USD 52,000 to USD 33,800 before recovering to USD 47,000.

A payments survey finds that Veltro is used in about 4% of domestic payments, mostly by people who already hold bank accounts. Most holders keep their Veltro, and online forums urge others to hold rather than spend it.

The finance minister states: "Because Veltro is legal tender, it now performs the functions of money."

Which assessment of the minister's statement is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: B. The statement fails, because a 35% fall within one quarter makes Veltro a poor store of value and unit of account, and its payment use remains small.

The three functions of money are unit of account, store of value and medium of exchange, and Veltro falls short on all three even with legal tender status. The fall from peak to low was:

(33,800 − 52,000) / 52,000 = −0.35, a fall of 35%

A price that can lose 35% within one quarter is a poor store of value. It is also a poor unit of account, because a price quoted in Veltro would change sharply within a quarter.

On medium of exchange, 4% of domestic payments is small. Even where some crypto assets are legal tender, their use as a payment or remittance tool remains very small, and they are still not considered a viable medium of exchange.

The advice to hold rather than spend points the same way. Holding pushes up the price and the token's use as a speculative tool, while spending would build its use for payments.

Function of moneyEvidence on VeltroMet?
Store of value35% fall within one quarterNo
Unit of accountPrices in Veltro would swing with the tokenNo
Medium of exchangeAbout 4% of domestic paymentsNo
Remember

Legal tender status does not by itself make a crypto asset a viable medium of exchange, and such assets are less likely to be used by vulnerable or unbanked consumers despite a focus on financial inclusion.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrectly treats legal tender status as settling the question. The functions of money depend on how the token behaves and is used, and a 35% quarterly fall rules out a reliable store of value or unit of account.
  • C. Correctly identifies the failure as a store of value but incorrectly reads 4% of payments as a working medium of exchange. With payment use this small, the token is not considered a viable medium of exchange.
  • D. Incorrectly assumes legal tender status brings unbanked users in. The survey shows use mostly among people who already hold bank accounts, and crypto assets with legal tender status are less likely to be used by vulnerable or unbanked consumers.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 6: Regulating the Crypto Ecosystem: The Case of Unbacked Crypto Assets
Learning objective
Define and describe crypto assets, including the categories broadly used by global financial regulators to classify them
Question 106

CI 7 Tokenization and Financial Market Inefficiencies

A developer at Wrenfield Capital describes four behaviors of the smart contracts running on the firm's tokenized ledger.

1. A dealer's contract receives a client's payment and then initiates the onward payment to the seller. Both payments are executed as one inseparable transaction, so either both happen or neither does.

2. An interest rate swap contract and a foreign exchange forward contract, written separately by two different teams, are reused as building blocks in a single new hedging application.

3. A bond pledged as collateral in one repo cannot be pledged in a second repo until the release conditions of the first repo are met.

4. A high-yield bond token cannot be transferred to any account that the ledger does not record as belonging to a qualified investor.

Which description of the four behaviors is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: A. 1 atomicity, 2 composability, 3 internal consistency, 4 immutable logic enforced at transfer

Behaviors 1 and 2 both join several pieces together, and the difference between them lies in the all-or-nothing condition in behavior 1.

BehaviorWhat the program doesProperty
1Executes several steps as a single inseparable transaction that settles only if every step canAtomicity
2Combines and reuses separately written applicationsComposability
3Keeps applications consistent with one another inside the ledger's data and execution environmentInternal consistency
4Blocks a transfer unless the rule written into the token's code is metImmutable logic enforced at transfer

Atomicity means that multiple steps of a transaction, such as receiving one payment before initiating another, are executed in a single inseparable transaction. In behavior 1 the dealer cannot be left having received the client's payment without paying the seller, or the reverse.

Composability is the ability to combine and reuse applications. Reusing an interest rate swap and a foreign exchange forward inside a new hedging application is behavior 2. Nothing in behavior 2 makes one payment conditional on another.

Within the ledger's environment, applications must be internally consistent. An asset held as collateral in one operation cannot be reused in another unless its release conditions are fulfilled, which is behavior 3.

Smart contracts can also carry immutable logic that is enforced every time an asset is transferred. This logic can strictly enforce rules, for example to comply with a regulation allowing only qualified investors to transact riskier assets, which is behavior 4.

Note

Internal consistency is a constraint on how applications relate to one another, while immutable logic, where a contract carries it, can be enforced automatically every time the asset is transferred. The repo rule in behavior 3 governs two applications that use the same bond, and the investor rule in behavior 4 applies at each transfer of the token.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Swaps atomicity and composability. The all-or-nothing pair of payments in behavior 1 is atomicity, and reusing two separately written contracts in behavior 2 is composability.
  • C. Correctly identifies atomicity and composability but incorrectly swaps the last two properties. The collateral rule keeps two repos consistent with each other, and the investor restriction is immutable logic enforced at every transfer.
  • D. Swaps both pairs. Behavior 1 is atomicity, behavior 2 is composability, behavior 3 is internal consistency, and behavior 4 is immutable logic enforced at transfer.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 7: Tokenization and Financial Market Inefficiencies
Learning objective
Explain the process of tokenization and describe the fundamental features of tokenized assets and digital ledgers
Question 107

CI 8 Digital Resilience and Financial Stability. The Quest for Policy Tools in The Financial Sector

Forensic investigators at Marlow Trust Bank report on a destructive attack. The attackers entered the network undetected and copied about 15,000 customer records a day for six weeks, 42 days in all. They then triggered malware that wiped two settlement servers on the morning of the bank's quarter-end settlement run.

At the board meeting, the head of IT says: "The 42 days are an ordinary detection lag, the same kind of delay we see before we spot a failing disk. Better monitoring will close it, and the timing of the wipe was bad luck."

How many records were copied before the wipe, and which assessment of the head of IT's statement is correct?

Show answer and detailed solution

Correct answer: C. About 630,000 records, and the statement is incorrect, because the attackers chose how long to stay hidden and when to wipe the servers.

The attackers copied records every day throughout the period before the wipe:

15,000 × 42 = 630,000 records

The head of IT treats the 42 days as a passive delay, like the time before a failing disk is noticed. A cyber shock follows a logic of intent that guides its occurrence, timing and magnitude. Its life cycle and impact depend on the attacker's original aim and on how the attack mutates if it is not neutralized.

This is smart latency: the lapse of time between a breach and its identification, its materialization or the neutralization of its economic consequences, set by the attackers' strategic calculations. Here the attackers stayed hidden while they copied data and then chose the one morning when losing the settlement servers would do the most damage. Latency of this kind can reach extreme levels. NotPetya, one of the most damaging attacks ever recorded, is argued to have been present in the targeted hardware for several weeks.

FeatureA failing diskThe Marlow attack
CauseAn engineering faultAn attacker with a purpose
Length of the delaySet by how quickly monitoring spots itExtended by the attacker to copy data
Timing of the damageRandomChosen for the quarter-end settlement run
Response to defenseNoneCan react to the bank's response and deterrence

Better monitoring still helps. It does not turn a purposeful attack into a random fault, so the timing was not bad luck.

Remember

The diffusion-based model of shock propagation used for credit and market risk cannot capture the purpose, intent and ingenuity that drive a cyber attack.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. The 630,000 count is correct, but the statement treats the lag and the timing as outside anyone's control. The attackers chose how long to stay hidden and when to strike.
  • B. 90,000 comes from multiplying by the 6 weeks rather than the 42 days. The lag was also not a monitoring failure alone, because the attackers extended it on purpose.
  • D. Multiplies by 6 weeks instead of 42 days and incorrectly accepts the statement. The attackers chose how long to stay hidden and when to strike.
Module
Current Issues in Financial Markets
Chapter
CI 8: Digital Resilience and Financial Stability. The Quest for Policy Tools in The Financial Sector
Learning objective
Describe characteristics of cyber risks and information/communication technology (ICT) risks faced by financial institutions

More than 3,850 questions like these in the full course

The MidhaFin FRM Part 2 courses give you a chapter-wise question bank of more than 3,850 questions across all 107 chapters of the curriculum. Every question comes with the same detailed solution and the reason each wrong option is wrong, and the bank comes with both the live classes and the self-paced course.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How many sample questions are on this page?

There are 107 questions, one from each of the 107 chapters of the FRM Part 2 curriculum: 18 from Market Risk Measurement and Management, 23 from Credit Risk Measurement and Management, 24 from Operational Risk and Resilience, 17 from Liquidity and Treasury Risk Measurement and Management, 17 from Risk Management and Investment Management and 8 from Current Issues in Financial Markets.

Are these questions in the same format as the FRM Part 2 exam?

Yes. The FRM Part 2 exam has 80 equally weighted multiple-choice questions to be answered in four hours, and every question here has four options with exactly one correct answer. The set mixes calculation questions with conceptual ones, and many of them ask you to assess a statement or a proposal as well as work out a number.

How should I use these sample questions?

Attempt each question before opening the solution, and time yourself at about three minutes per question, which is the pace the four-hour exam allows. Then read the whole solution, including why the other three options are wrong. A wrong option usually matches a specific mistake, and knowing which mistake it represents is what stops you from repeating it.

How many practice questions should I solve for FRM Part 2?

Plan for 2,000 to 2,500 practice questions for the part, plus four to five full-length mock exams under timed conditions in the last six to eight weeks. The MidhaFin FRM Part 2 chapter-wise question bank carries more than 3,850 questions across all 107 chapters, and the questions on this page are drawn from it.

How long should I prepare for FRM Part 2?

Around 600 hours of study is the figure MidhaFin recommends for each FRM part. Spread that across the months you have, and start practice questions in the first week rather than leaving them for the end.

Which calculator should I practice with?

Practice with the same calculator you will take into the exam, since GARP allows only certain approved models. The free online BA II Plus calculator on the MidhaFin website is useful for learning the keystrokes for time value of money, cash flow, NPV and IRR problems.

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